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Ya, considering 19 days gap + approx 1000 candidates of 600+ It wasn’t a bad show

Correct, From 24th July to 2nd Aug, 600+ = 474 From 2nd Aug to 12th Aug, 600= may be 500 Total approx 1000

Only positive things we can count on are: 1. Draw on 14th Aug 2. B2b on 21st Aug 3. ITA 3900 4. Ontario pnp approval process gets slow ie they become unable to process so many PNP at once Let’s see how much we get

Next draw 14th August

Ok that’s good

Ok, if 85k is PR target, then it can be achieved by just 60k ITA as most of the ita applicant bring dependent spouse and kids, I mean 1 ITA can mean 3 or 4 PR. What’s ur take on this?

In October, I guess

465 +\- 1

No relationship, already proved many times However next draw should be happening on Wednesday, I am just say no relationship wid maintenance notice.

Looks like 2019 is paying for the extra ITAs issued in 2018

Unfortunately not necessary. They can achieve targets by issuing 3600 ITA in next 10 draws 49000 + 36000= 85000

2018 draws patterns: Total draws: 25 Mon draws: 3 Tue draws: 1 Thu draws: 2 Total non-wed draw: 6 B2b draw: 1 3 week gap: 2 (none followed by b2b, instead, followed by next Mon and Tue draw) edited 2019 pattern: Total draws till now: 14 Thu draws: 1 Total non-wed draw: 1 B2b draw: 1 3 week...

It simply means that they are not working on Saturday/Sunday.

Scary but I hv assumed 280 451+ Per day candidates as a negative case based on past experiences. Someone above posted that this figure is 230, so if we go by that the CRS should be 461

Ya cic trends has been a mixture of negative and positive trends and from last few months we have seen only negative trends so probability of something positive is higher now than something negative

No chance on 14th aug 29 years + 364 days is counted as 29years

Moreover seeing the past of 3 week gap, it is usually followed by b2b draw, First of all let’s pray for draw on 14 th aug

463 will get ita very next draw after 14th August. Don’t forget there was a sharp decrease from 470-465 Points in favour Of sharp decrease: 1. 3 week gap instead of 4 week hence lesser accumulation 2. Increased ita 3600/3900 as compared to 3350 at that time of 470-465 Points against sharp...

However it will be interesting to see that when the last 3 week gap occurred at that time there was a 3350/21= 160 per day addition of 457+ candidates and now I am considering 172 per day addition of 465+ candidates

There has to be 3600/21= 171.42 per day addition of 465+ candidates if CRS going to be around 465 on 14th August, which is quite realistic. For example, Rough idea of per day addition of 451+ is 280, from which it can be calculated that 465+ is 175 Hence CRS is going to lie somewhere 466 +/- 1...