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ImpatientAlligator

Hero Member
Sep 7, 2021
782
1,376
Since they're planning just ~ 50k landings for FSW and that's pretty much the current backlog, will they spread the processing of it through the year at 1k per week (the current rate)?
 

GandiBaat

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Dec 23, 2014
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Since they're planning just ~ 50k landings for FSW and that's pretty much the current backlog, will they spread the processing of it through the year at 1k per week (the current rate)?
Possible, they can delay CECs for one whole year since FSWs were delayed too... BUT, they are stupid bean counters....

So most likely they will process whom so ever is ready to be processed. Thats all.
 

Alysson

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2019
1,225
2,131
Well, on 1st Feb remaining CEC + FSW are 49751 + 15139... That means 64890. Assuming about 12-14 K processed in Jan, we are still short by some 13-14K at max...

That also means, no CEC or FSW draw this year. Sorry Pre-ITA folks, this is totally fucked up for you folks.

And PNP is indeed master race now.
That public policy category (cute name to not have to call them federal useless class) says only include TR2PR. I might be reading too much into it, but my guess is that is their extra quota where they don’t have to justify distribution, so they can use it to deal with backlogs the fucked up in. So my guess is they will clear all backlog this year and no draws to land this year(hopefully).
 

wonderbly

VIP Member
Aug 26, 2020
3,875
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CuckNews Says: https://www.cicnews.com/2022/02/canada-immigration-levels-plan-2022-2024-0221165.html

BREAKING NEWS: Canada increases target to 432,000 immigrants in 2022 under Immigration Levels Plan 2022-2024

Canada is increasing its immigration targets yet again. It will look to welcome almost 432,000 new immigrants this year instead of its initial plan to welcome 411,000 this year.

Some 60 per cent of these immigrants will arrive under economic class pathways such as Express Entry and the Provincial Nominee Program (PNP).
HAPPY FREAKING VALENTINE'S DAY GUYS!!!!
 
Last edited:

GandiBaat

VIP Member
Dec 23, 2014
3,705
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That public policy category (cute name to not have to call them federal useless class) says only include TR2PR. I might be reading too much into it, but my guess is that is their extra quota where they don’t have to justify distribution, so they can use it to deal with backlogs the fucked up in. So my guess is they will clear all backlog this year and no draws to land this year(hopefully).
Or .... please do not shoot me.... They can invite more TR2PR.....

Remember, whom we are dealing with?
 

Buho09

Star Member
Mar 8, 2021
91
64
Yes, most probably. As of February 1, about 15000 CEC and 50000 FSW in backlog. I'am assuming these assholes will process all the CEC this year. From Dec 15 - Feb 1, about 14000 CEC + FSW were processed, most of which will eat up into this years FHS target (let's say 10000). So the remaining quota for FSW this year us 55900 - (15000 + 10000) = 30,900. So only roughly 60% of FSW backlog will be processed this year. And this is assuming there are no more CEC draws. Maybe someone can double-check my math.
does this mean that folks with AOR Jan2021 like me are screwed?? we are at the bottom of the fsw queue
 

slavicgirl

Hero Member
Oct 27, 2021
301
223
No... What is official is that if you are not in the processing queue right now, there is Zero chance you will be landing this year as HSW. Thats all. Most likely there will be no CEC, no FSW draw till the very end of the year. Interestingly, there MAY be a TR2PR invitation... There was just an inventory of 15K or so TR2PR in Dec 2021... Why is there space for 30K this year? Why 48K next?
If I were them I would just do an all program mega-draw in September and that is all. The more time they have without invitations, the better - backlog can be cleared. By September it must be clear how many people are left from the backlog who couldn't fit in the target of 2022. September ITA means that medical expires around November 2023-landing is secured. Win-win.
Hate that I try to be logical but IRCC tends to be illogical from time to time.
 

GandiBaat

VIP Member
Dec 23, 2014
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VISA ISSUED...
22-02-2022
LANDED..........
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If I were them I would just do an all program mega-draw in September and that is all. The more time they have without invitations, the better - backlog can be cleared. By September it must be clear how many people are left from the backlog who couldn't fit in the target of 2022. September ITA means that medical expires around November 2023-landing is secured. Win-win.
Hate that I try to be logical but IRCC tends to be illogical from time to time.
They way things are structured it seems, they do not want to take more FSWs or CECs or FST till the end of the year once the current quota is expired.
 

Alysson

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2019
1,225
2,131
Or .... please do not shoot me.... They can invite more TR2PR.....

Remember, whom we are dealing with?
Yes, can happen. In the description it also says “admitted until end of 2023” which might mean they have more of the useless class until 2023. But it still says in description “category includes TR2PR” which means the numbers can be used for something else. Like federal we pay taxes class.
 

Imposter69

Star Member
Aug 26, 2021
101
159
Possible, they can delay CECs for one whole year since FSWs were delayed too... BUT, they are stupid bean counters....

So most likely they will process whom so ever is ready to be processed. Thats all.
No one can say for sure. There may be more CEC draws and they could be processed before the FSW files just like last year. What we can say for sure is that these announcements are good news for PNP and TRPR applicants. Other streams are still in limbo.
 

seadrag0n

Champion Member
Mar 6, 2018
2,785
2,491
Possible, they can delay CECs for one whole year since FSWs were delayed too... BUT, they are stupid bean counters....

So most likely they will process whom so ever is ready to be processed. Thats all.
So zero chance of FSW draw this year because FHS backlog is greater than the target?