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Jaycejay

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Jan 4, 2020
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For the first time in a long while, I found Kubeir’s live stream very informative. His latest video logically explaining the recent backlog update from CICnews is worth listening to (except for the lags though). Just like i said earlier, the media tries to portray the situation in the worst possible light but in reality it’s not that bad really. Suggest you guys browse through that video see what you think about it
 
D

Deleted member 1050918

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Just like i said earlier, the media tries to portray the situation in the worst possible light but in reality it’s not that bad really.
Do we need the media to tell us how good or bad is it though? MEP/BIL takes 4-5 months, very few PPRs per day, leaked IRCC documents stating average processing times as high as 21 months etc. I personally fail to see any good news here.
 
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Jaycejay

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Jan 4, 2020
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Do we need the media to tell us how good or bad is it though? MEP/BIL takes 4-5 months, very few PPRs per day, leaked IRCC documents stating average processing times as high as 21 months etc. I personally fail to see any good news here.
We all know how bad things became but there’s some progress being made and it’s not even 2022 yet (when I actually expect us to see a more significant positive development). Recently BIL has dropped from 6months to 4months, PPRs have gone from almost nothing in Q1-Q3 to drizzling amounts in Q4. Depends on perspectives, but I’m quite optimistic going forward
 
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Santaclause

Star Member
Jan 29, 2020
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I think the logical approach should be, now that IRCC has achieved quota for 2021, they should focus on clearing backlog at full speed atleast for the rest of 2021.
 

Caprio

Star Member
Jul 4, 2021
187
181
For the first time in a long while, I found Kubeir’s live stream very informative. His latest video logically explaining the recent backlog update from CICnews is worth listening to (except for the lags though). Just like i said earlier, the media tries to portray the situation in the worst possible light but in reality it’s not that bad really. Suggest you guys browse through that video see what you think about it
Can you break it down for us? Just a summary please
 

Alysson

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2019
1,225
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For the first time in a long while, I found Kubeir’s live stream very informative. His latest video logically explaining the recent backlog update from CICnews is worth listening to (except for the lags though). Just like i said earlier, the media tries to portray the situation in the worst possible light but in reality it’s not that bad really. Suggest you guys browse through that video see what you think about it
Media comes saying there is a 1.8mi backlog, but the large portion of that is TR. then we look at the PR backlog, 1/3 are refugees, that they have no way of landing, since it depends on refugees to get out of Afghanistan on their own, that’s why they only landed 3k. FSW PR are only 10% of the PR backlog, which they seem to have resumed. They will probably give out blanked TRV to spouses, so they can go back to that later, without so much criticism. There is only 65k CEC/TR2PR in the processing pool, which would probably get ecopr this year to meet their target.
 
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Jaycejay

Champion Member
Jan 4, 2020
2,296
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Media comes saying there is a 1.8mi backlog, but the large portion of that is TR. then we look at the PR backlog, 1/3 are refugees, that they have no way of landing, since it depends on refugees to get out of Afghanistan on their own, that’s why they only landed 3k. FSW PR are only 10% of the PR backlog, which they seem to have resumed. They will probably give out blanked TRV to spouses, so they can go back to that later, without so much criticism. There is only 65k CEC/TR2PR in the processing pool, which would probably get ecopr this year to meet their target.
You’ve literally said it all. And then when you realize that the 1.8M isn’t the number of backlogged applications but the number of people (in-persons) affected. For example, a single application (in-case) can have 2-3 dependents and this would count as 3-4 applicants. The reporter chose to highlight the number of Persons instead of the number of applications just to have a more catchy headline and trigger fear
 
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Alysson

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Apr 17, 2019
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You’ve literally said it all. And then when you realize that the 1.8M isn’t the number of backlogged applications but the number of people (in-persons) affected. For example, a single application (in-case) can have 2-3 dependents and this would count as 3-4 applicants. The reporter chose to highlight the number of Persons instead of applicants just to have a more catchy headline and trigger fear
Even if they resume CEC draws in January, giving them priority again. From ITA to AOR is 1-2 months. Then one month of medical check before going for officer review. That’s 2-3 months they have to process something else. At current rate they could mostly finish PNP and FSW if they wanted to next year.
 
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Deleted member 1050918

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Even if they resume CEC draws in January, giving them priority again. From ITA to AOR is 1-2 months. Then one month of medical check before going for officer review. That’s 2-3 months they have to process something else. At current rate they could mostly finish PNP and FSW if they wanted to next year.
If CEC draws ever come back in 2022 it'll mean IRCC has decided outland apps be buried in an ever growing pile so 2-3 year waiting times would be the new standard for outland apps. Why? Because if there are CEC draws then there's no incentives for IRCC to spare more resources to process outland apps; in other words, inland-only is the new standard.

I doubt this will be the case though. The new minister said he sees these difficulties as an "opportunity to make a difference" so I guess he wants to be the "savior of immigrants". He mostly talked about family reunion and Afghans though so I don't know. He said that here https://www.cicnews.com/2021/11/sean-fraser-prepared-to-increase-canadas-immigration-levels-even-as-46000-immigrants-landed-in-october-1119662.html#gs.gz5k1b

Fraser knows there are a lot of challenges ahead of him, but sees an opportunity to make a positive difference on Canada's immigration system.

The only good news I ever saw was how they stated inlands won't get as much of an attention in 2022.
 

Alysson

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2019
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They are now accepting sinovac, sinopharm, and covaxin for travel and border entry in Canada, starting November 30th. Also, they’ll remove required covid test when trip to the US is short. So it’s good for those in border cities.
 

dankboi

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Apr 19, 2021
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The inland-only call sort of came from JT then. TR2PR and CEC are different streams but CEC candidates are temporary workers as well; maybe that's how they got lucky. I kind of get the feeling that JT needs to change his mind about inland-only first for us to see solid changes. Like it may not be best news for us if there's a mention of temporary foreign workers in the new mandate letter.
it was lobbyist prik oldje's recommendation to go inland and create an exclusive tr to pr pathway without crs. so he can benefit from pandemic situation and deal with less shit on behalf of his clients