To add to this, it looks like the first week of October 2020 people are receiving their 'In Progress' updates as of this Friday (19 Feb 2021).
This is good news, because it means we
theoretically could begin receiving 'In Progress' updates for our applications by the third week of March or so (at least, for the folks who submitted their apps in the first week of November 2020). I am curious to see if whatever demarcation happened to application processing around end-October for our applications will likely result in a different rate of 'In process' updates for November 2020 applicants, but there's a few weeks to go before we collectively find out.
I would be a bit careful planning an overseas stay between now and when it's likely that our cohort will be able to do their tests and oath - safe travels!