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December 2018 AOR - join here

USProgrammer

Champion Member
Oct 29, 2018
1,041
1,336
Texas, USA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
CIO-Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
2174
AOR Received.
01-12-2018
Passport Req..
25-03-2019
LANDED..........
24-08-2019
About your prediction, I see IP2 is all over the place for today and yesterday. It includes Sep and late Dec. There is only a couple of early Dec

That's why I picked and chose from November 2018 AOR to make my informed prediction, which was correct. The IP2 data is mostly garbage from MyImmiTracker.

Most people there don't seem to know what IP2 really is, and IP2 seems to be non-indicative at all for people who must give biometrics (everyone after Dec 31), those who had an RPRF request (didn't pay up front) and CEC. Possibly other inlands as well, but I don't know.

IP2 seems to only be meaningful if you are non-CEC (and possibly only outland), paid your RPRF up front, and you don't have to give biometrics. At least, that's what I've deduced from the data available to me and is what I used to make my prediction.
 
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jm90

Hero Member
Jan 10, 2019
200
50
That's why I picked and chose from November 2018 AOR to make my informed prediction, which was correct. The IP2 data is mostly garbage from MyImmiTracker.

Most people there don't seem to know what IP2 really is, and IP2 seems to be non-indicative at all for people who must give biometrics (everyone after Dec 31), those who had an RPRF request (didn't pay up front) and CEC. Possibly other inlands as well, but I don't know.

IP2 seems to only be meaningful if you are non-CEC (and possibly only outland), paid your RPRF up front, and you don't have to give biometrics. At least, that's what I've deduced from the data available to me and is what I used to make my prediction.
Precisely my thoughts.
We have late Dec AOR, FSW-O people getting IP2s as well...
Can't really figure out much. Atleast I'm a 24 Dec AOR. I am expecting my IP2 in the next few weeks atleast...
 

vbedi

Star Member
Feb 4, 2019
53
69
How do I see what status my application is IP1 or Ip2 ?I have a dec 18 AOR and here's what I see as of now in my profile . My Medical got cleared on Feb 1st . FSW - Inland application , also how do I tell what center is processing my application ?

Application step Current status Help
Review of eligibility We are reviewing whether you meet the eligibility requirements
Review of medical results You passed the medical exam.
Review of additional documents We do not need additional documents.
Interview You do not need an interview. We will send you a message if this changes.
Biometrics We do not need your fingerprints. We will send you a message if this changes.
Background check Your application is in progress. We will send you a message when we start your background check.
Final decision Your application is in progress. We will send you a message once the final decision has been made.
 

USProgrammer

Champion Member
Oct 29, 2018
1,041
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Texas, USA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
CIO-Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
2174
AOR Received.
01-12-2018
Passport Req..
25-03-2019
LANDED..........
24-08-2019
Pulling from MyImmiTracker's aggregated data, this is the recent time (I'm ignoring their long-term average that says 18 days) it takes from IP2 to PPR. As I said previously in this thread, I think a lot of the IP2 data on MyImmiTracker is garbage, so take this with a truckload of salt.

MonthDays from IP2 to PPR
February 201970
January 201976
December 201844
November 201851
October 201825

That gives us:

Most Recent 5 Month Average53.2
Most Recent 4 Month Average60.25
Most Recent 3 Month Average63.33
Most Recent 2 Month Average73
 
Last edited:

USProgrammer

Champion Member
Oct 29, 2018
1,041
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Texas, USA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
CIO-Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
2174
AOR Received.
01-12-2018
Passport Req..
25-03-2019
LANDED..........
24-08-2019
How do I see what status my application is IP1 or Ip2 ?I have a dec 18 AOR and here's what I see as of now in my profile . My Medical got cleared on Feb 1st . FSW - Inland application , also how do I tell what center is processing my application ?

Application step Current status Help
Review of eligibility We are reviewing whether you meet the eligibility requirements
Review of medical results You passed the medical exam.
Review of additional documents We do not need additional documents.
Interview You do not need an interview. We will send you a message if this changes.
Biometrics We do not need your fingerprints. We will send you a message if this changes.
Background check Your application is in progress. We will send you a message when we start your background check.
Final decision Your application is in progress. We will send you a message once the final decision has been made.
You're at IP1. You'd have to call or do a CSE to find out where it's being processed, but you probably want to wait for IP2 to ask, since it can get transferred at IP2 anyway.

Edit: Fixed. You are at IP1, not IP2. Oops.
 

moniquemansur

Member
May 3, 2018
10
28
Thanks!!! But I think I'll be stuck for some time at IP2... I don't know, it's moving faster than I thought it'd be, lol. Also, it usually takes longer than that to Brazilians
 
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vinay16

Hero Member
Dec 30, 2018
379
171
I think FSW-O and Current country - INDIA.. We will have to wait longer for IP2 as compared to US guys..!! Glad to hear that you guys are moving to IP2 faster..!!!
 

jm90

Hero Member
Jan 10, 2019
200
50
I think FSW-O and Current country - INDIA.. We will have to wait longer for IP2 as compared to US guys..!! Glad to hear that you guys are moving to IP2 faster..!!!
Do you think current country has more of an impact rather than nationality? I would guess it is, but can't say based on the immitracker data because it is so flimsy.
 
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immitk

Full Member
Jan 31, 2019
39
56
My first "Ghost update" today. Nothing changed. Good to see that application moves. I am CEC inland, Background check went to IP2 on the same day with MEP. AOR Dec 8.
 

USProgrammer

Champion Member
Oct 29, 2018
1,041
1,336
Texas, USA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
CIO-Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
2174
AOR Received.
01-12-2018
Passport Req..
25-03-2019
LANDED..........
24-08-2019
I think FSW-O and Current country - INDIA.. We will have to wait longer for IP2 as compared to US guys..!! Glad to hear that you guys are moving to IP2 faster..!!!
We shall see. You're the same stream as me and only 5 days behind me in both AOR and MEP. If you track along with me, you should receive yours next Monday-Thursday, right? (Depends if you're counting days or business days and giving an extra day)
 

USProgrammer

Champion Member
Oct 29, 2018
1,041
1,336
Texas, USA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
CIO-Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
2174
AOR Received.
01-12-2018
Passport Req..
25-03-2019
LANDED..........
24-08-2019
My first "Ghost update" today. Nothing changed. Good to see that application moves. I am CEC inland, Background check went to IP2 on the same day with MEP. AOR Dec 8.
I would bet these ghost updates you guys with IP2 since day 1 are getting that are CEC, people who had RPRF requests, people who had to give biometrics, and possibly other inland are the equivalent of moving to IP2. I saw the "ghost update" status when I logged in (
Application/profile updated), but then my BG had changed to IP2.

I bet the "ghost update" you're seeing is the equivalent, since the timelines are pretty close. Standard disclaimer: Who knows/tea leaves/trucks full of salt.
 
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immitk

Full Member
Jan 31, 2019
39
56
I would bet these ghost updates you guys with IP2 since day 1 are getting that are CEC, people who had RPRF requests, people who had to give biometrics, and possibly other inland are the equivalent of moving to IP2. I saw the "ghost update" status when I logged in (
Application/profile updated), but then my BG had changed to IP2.

I bet the "ghost update" you're seeing is the equivalent, since the timelines are pretty close. Standard disclaimer: Who knows/tea leaves/trucks full of salt.
Agree. Although I paid all fees beforehand. And don't think that I need biometrics.