Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

[Rob13]

I just got up after a 2 hr sleep and I literally dreamt that I checked the score and it was 441 .

@Aarti123 please go back to sleep and dream a 440 pls

 

[ishangodbole]

Good luck to everyone in the draw!

 

[go4sacchi]

@Reddiered07 @at4446 @Rob13 @Aarti123 @Mayur_M here's wholeheartedly hoping and wishing that all of you get ITA today
Did I miss any of the others waiting for long-time on 440? Please tag them to the wish!
@abhishek_89 need your official prediction man, and please give a real hopeful one

Yes, you did missed me, lol. I am on 440 since feb-24

 

[yellowhornet]

Out of curiosity, according to the Canada Immigration Plan for 2018-2020, Canada wants 250k immigrants from the fed level programs. That's 83k per year and nearly 7000 per month to fill the numbers. So far IRCC draws score that takes in half that amount, plus not 100% of those receive an ITA will actually land.

I don't know how serious the 250k number is, but if it is to be followed through, shouldn't we see lower scores that gets more and more people invited in the coming months?

 

[ishangodbole]

Out of curiosity, according to the Canada Immigration Plan for 2018-2020, Canada wants 250k immigrants from the fed level programs. That's 83k per year and nearly 7000 per month to fill the numbers. So far IRCC draws score that takes in half that amount, plus not 100% of those receive an ITA will actually land.

I don't know how serious the 250k number is, but if it is to be followed through, shouldn't we see lower scores that gets more and more people invited in the coming months?

I think that also includes family members. Not just people who get ITA.

 

[yellowhornet]

I think that also includes family members. Not just people who get ITA.

Ah, makes sense.

 

[priteshmparmar]

May be new entrants are either few or silent hope the former!

Yeah....I am one of the few new entrants and definitely silent since we are awaiting the draw

 

[AlliBatista]

Out of curiosity, according to the Canada Immigration Plan for 2018-2020, Canada wants 250k immigrants from the fed level programs. That's 83k per year and nearly 7000 per month to fill the numbers. So far IRCC draws score that takes in half that amount, plus not 100% of those receive an ITA will actually land.

I don't know how serious the 250k number is, but if it is to be followed through, shouldn't we see lower scores that gets more and more people invited in the coming months?

They have to consider the number of applicants per ITA. Let's say, they consider the average of 2 applicants per ITA, since a lot of people apply with their family.

 

[abhishek_89]

JULY 25, 2018 - DRAW PREDICTION:

I have come up with the prediction for the 95th draw.

If it happens today (Jul 25) with:
3750 ITAs - CRS 441
4000 ITAs - CRS 440
4250 ITAs - CRS 440

The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

 

[go4sacchi]

FYI, the last bit on Native English speakers struggling to get a 7.0 ain't true - i got an 8 in Writing on my first attempt (not a native speaker obviously). Having said that, I would add that the way they score it ain't easy. It's pretty strict.

They mark coherence based on both language and structure.

So true, I had to spent sleepless nights and work my butt off to get a band 8 in writing.

 

[yellowhornet]

Now I am anxious no draw will take place today.

 

[Gibacho]

Now I am anxious no draw will take place today.

Me too a bit. I read they had some ministerial shuffle earlier last week...
May be... could be... second thoughts

 

[Midnight Blessing]

Guys, get ready for a draw today !! Yes undoubtedly there would be a draw today ! Cutoff will most probably be 443-444 with tiebreaker of June.

Best of luck to all & advance congratulations to the people in that range & above !!!!

 

[Rob13]

So much optimism and positivity today! Keep up guys!!!

 

[journey21]

All the best for everybody here, folks!