Ray of Hope - 90th Draw

[noname7]

LOL nooo please! That would be a total catastrophe hahaha

Why would that be a catastrophe? The total number of ITAs will be the same and will be made up by significantly increasing the draw sizes later on.
That means if there is no draw for a month (which is highly unlikely), the several next draws will be around 6000 each which will bring down the score to the same level as continuous draws.

 

[noname7]

Sorry, I didn´t wrote it but it is contemplated it. Here it is:

2,750: jan 10, jan 24
3,000: feb 7, feb 21, march 14, march 26
3,500: april 11, april 25, may 9, and... possible may 23
3,750: jun 6 & 20; jul 4 & 18
4,000: august 1, 15 & 29; sept 12
3,750: sept 26, oct. 10 & 24, nov 7
3,500: nov. 21; dec 5 & 19
Total: 88,000

Thanks for the observation. I added it in the original post.

How did you get 88000 for 2018? I see only 74500 + 3%-5% for declined ITAs, total should be around 80,000.
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2018.html

 

[MISSL12]

How did you get 88000 for 2018? I see only 74500 + 3%-5% for declined ITAs, total should be around 80,000.
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2018.html

That means all draws will be around 3,500 to meet 74,500 economic class immigrants

 

[SumH12]

How did you get 88000 for 2018? I see only 74500 + 3%-5% for declined ITAs, total should be around 80,000.
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2018.html

Hi,

88,000 is an estimated of ITAs for 2018, that results from an informal and simple premise about releasing 4 times the same quotas 3000, 3500,3750 and 4000, and then the inverse 3750,3500,3000 and 2750.

It may be a simple estimation without much analysis, but comparing to year 2017, the target of PRs last year was 71700 but they issued 81,370 ITAs. So, who knows... the number of ITAs for 2018 could be more than 81,370, maybe close to 88,000? Just maybe...

74500 is the target number for PRs to be issued this year, not the same as the number of ITAs to be issued.

Although,1 ITA could include 1 or more PRs, and some of the PRs issued this year could be ITAs received in 2017 and process completed until this year... all that makes it really difficult to know what will be the real quota for ITAs.

 

[Polarbear1]

Why would that be a catastrophe? The total number of ITAs will be the same and will be made up by significantly increasing the draw sizes later on.
That means if there is no draw for a month (which is highly unlikely), the several next draws will be around 6000 each which will bring down the score to the same level as continuous draws.

It might be a catastrophe as the pool will get further replenished by people with high scores...more so with Australia n Britain getting tougher...and and we losing points due to ' not so happy birthday '

 

[Reddiered07]

I think 440 with tie break

I hope that 440 is the worst case!!! Lets hope for 439 or even 438 with a high time in pool..way back to nov 2017..

 

[ersandee]

Need Help URGENTLY:-
I need to get a reference letter from employer, without disclosing that am filing PR. What other options are there to request same ?

I was thinking of reaching out to HR saying need to some part time study ?

Can someone share exact word that HR will can put inline to help use same for PR ?

Thank you

Or link to relevant forum.

 

[samikdg]

Need Help URGENTLY:-
I need to get a reference letter from employer, without disclosing that am filing PR. What other options are there to request same ?

I was thinking of reaching out to HR saying need to some part time study ?

Can someone share exact word that HR will can put inline to help use same for PR ?

Thank you

Or link to relevant forum.

This forum should give you good idea.
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/nail-the-challenge-of-getting-reference-letter-from-current-employer.397796/page-44#post-6940880

 

[abnzyr18]

I hope that 440 is the worst case!!! Lets hope for 439 or even 438 with a high time in pool..way back to nov 2017..

Yes they need to hit atleast 439 this time. Then only will we see those numbers coming down. Otherwise below 440 looks like next to impossible.

 

[Reddiered07]

Yes they need to hit atleast 439 this time. Then only will we see those numbers coming down. Otherwise below 440 looks like next to impossible.

The next draw will give us what's actually going on..what is the pace of new entrants...expecting that new entrants would be low because of no ielts results out..if still we find increase in entrants then we need to worry....still i guess ircc will touch atleast 437 if not in near time but later somewhere in october..

 

[lightning_crashes]

The next draw will give us what's actually going on..what is the pace of new entrants...expecting that new entrants would be low because of no ielts results out..if still we find increase in entrants then we need to worry....still i guess ircc will touch atleast 437 if not in near time but later somewhere in october..

I think it's a steady increase of applicants and it's keeping the score high. That is a big big factor. Unless that abates the scores won't come down too much. Only chance is to be picked up be OINP etc if scores low 430s

 

[lightning_crashes]

It might be a catastrophe as the pool will get further replenished by people with high scores...more so with Australia n Britain getting tougher...and and we losing points due to ' not so happy birthday '

Could you please clarify how's Australia becoming tougher. I was thinking about Australia next

 

[Reddiered07]

Could you please clarify how's Australia becoming tougher. I was thinking about Australia next

Whats ur crs lightning?

 

[lightning_crashes]

Whats ur crs lightning?

I'm at 434

 

[northern sunshine]

Keep in mind that Monday, May 21st is Victoria Day (federal holiday in Canada), so it's possible that the draw won't come when we expect it.