Ray of Hope - 90th Draw

[Reddiered07]

B

Use 14 days not 15 days (since draws typically occur every two weeks). 220 x 14 = 3080ppl.

But there will be people entering on draw day too right? Like on 9th may and also on 23rd may..hence considered 15 days...even the rate of new entrants calculated by alexross is based on 15 days i guess..coz even i gt 219 number using 15 days

 

[Reddiered07]

Use 14 days not 15 days (since draws typically occur every two weeks). 220 x 14 = 3080ppl.

Also, using 220ppl/day for above 440 is high IMO. Look at the last few draws. I think better to use 200ppl/day for above 440 and 200ppl/day for above 430.

But according to alexross we observed 220+ ppl/day in the past too..like Feb 1st to Mar 8th...were there any PNP's that time too? I was not in forum at that time so no idea what happened then! Can somebody please explain?

 

[Polarbear1]

Very very depressing draw for those of us who woke up late to the canadian dream and can only repent not trying last year...even with excellent ielts scores and education, crs scores are low (433) in late 30s.I believe learning french can be the last desparate or else maybe Australia.

 

[Reddiered07]

Very very depressing draw for those of us who woke up late to the canadian dream and can only repent not trying last year...even with excellent ielts scores and education, crs scores are low (433) in late 30s.I believe learning french can be the last desparate or else maybe Australia.

French is not easy if you are completely new..Australia is a good chance if you have ielts band 8 i have heard! All the best! And last but not the least..don't lose hope..crs can reach 433..its just a matter of time and 1 back to back draw would do the trick

 

[Hassan.Fahm]

TEF certificate hasn't arrived yet. Next one it is, for sure.

Best of luck bro. But please don't stop creating a "RAY OF HOPE" for the future draws.

 

[Polarbear1]

French is not easy if you are completely new..Australia is a good chance if you have ielts band 8 i have heard! All the best! And last but not the least..don't lose hope..crs can reach 433..its just a matter of time and 1 back to back draw would do the trick

I know its not easy....but maybe its an only hope. I would like to believe I can do it. My ielts is R9L9S8.5and W 7.5..dont know band. Actually most of my family is in US so anyday I would prefer Canada. Thanks...

 

[spartanz]

download Cambridge practice tests..I have one..give me you email, ill try to email you.

Please give me
my email id : lemonguru@gmail.com

 

[calky360]

B

But there will be people entering on draw day too right? Like on 9th may and also on 23rd may..hence considered 15 days...even the rate of new entrants calculated by alexross is based on 15 days i guess..coz even i gt 219 number using 15 days

From May 9th to the same time on May 23rd is 14 days. Not sure how you can count 15 full days of ppl entering.

edit: looking at alexross' calcs, yes he has 15 days from April 19th to May 4th, but that is actually 15 days, that is from a Thursday to a Friday (15 days later). But we're talking about new entrants per draw, which is 14 days typically.

 

[Vivu]

Please give me
my email id : lemonguru@gmail.com

Hi Spartanz,
I have many pdfs of Cambridge tests. Let me know and I will forward it to you.

 

[Reddiered07]

I think you need a job offer for Australia though right? And even than, it is a work visa not PR.


From May 9th to the same time on May 23rd is 14 days. Not sure how you can count 15 full days of ppl entering.

edit: looking at alexross' calcs, yes he has 15 days from April 19th to May 4th, but that is actually 15 days, that is from a Thursday to a Friday (15 days later). But we're talking about new entrants per draw, which is 14 days typically.

Thanks for correcting me..that means you are right..cut-off gonna be atleast 440 for sure..lets hope that new entrants are far less this time keeping in mind no ielts results getting out 439 please attend the may 23rd draw

 

[ShahidWS]

We were discussing the other day on the 89th thread exactly about how there were ~750 new OINP nominations in the last month and that most of them were given out very recently. That's one of the more sound theories.

Applications suddenlly increasing threefold just by itself makes no sense.

Yes that's what makes sense right now.
Also i think OINP and CIC are pretty much in sync this year and the whole thing is pretty planned out unlike the previous year.

The reason i say this is Ontario sent out NOI's to people between Jan-Mar with CRS ranging 435-441, and most of these people i believe have either received the nomination or close to receiving one. If we look at it now, if the CRS had to fall below 440 before may, then most of them would have preferred to reject the NOI and get a direct ITA. I guess that is the reason why there was a 3 week gap in March to ensure CRS stays above 440.

It would be interesting to see what range OINP targets next when they resume sending out the NOI's again, because that i believe will give us a fair idea of what to expect from CIC in the next 3-4 months.

Again all this is just theory and i could well be wrong. Just my two cents!
Lets keep hoping for the best and lets keep marching on!!

 

[SokieBia]

whats the secret to get 9 in listening

Use Official IELTS Listening on YouTube. It’s hard. But if you practice with patience you will make it big when you take the exam

 

[Aarti123]

I am at 437.

I got my masters evaluated as a master's and ACCA as a degree . In my profile I stated my highest level of education as masters .

For this question
''In addition to the certificate selected above, have you completed a 2nd post-secondary diploma/certificate?'' Can I state yes because I have my ACCA degree?????

If yes I can move up to 440!!! Please advise me please!

 

[Aarti123]

Hi Spartanz,
I have many pdfs of Cambridge tests. Let me know and I will forward it to you.

Hi I'm interested in getting as well! Would you be able to send to me too. Aartimahabir@yahoo.com

 

[NOMAD2017]

Yes that's what makes sense right now.
Also i think OINP and CIC are pretty much in sync this year and the whole thing is pretty planned out unlike the previous year.

The reason i say this is Ontario sent out NOI's to people between Jan-Mar with CRS ranging 435-441, and most of these people i believe have either received the nomination or close to receiving one. If we look at it now, if the CRS had to fall below 440 before may, then most of them would have preferred to reject the NOI and get a direct ITA. I guess that is the reason why there was a 3 week gap in March to ensure CRS stays above 440.

It would be interesting to see what range OINP targets next when they resume sending out the NOI's again, because that i believe will give us a fair idea of what to expect from CIC in the next 3-4 months.

Again all this is just theory and i could well be wrong. Just my two cents!
Lets keep hoping for the best and lets keep marching on!!

This is by far the best theory I have read on this forum. I also received NOI from Ontario when my points were 444 in January after the first draw. I chose to ignore it and received ITA on 25th January. By keeping the cut-off stable, they are getting people desperate for NOIs. I am anxiously waiting for Ontario to re-open HCS. They have now learned their lessons from last year's random draws and scores. Now they are playing a very intelligent game with us, now that they have clear and well-defined goals.