Ray of Hope - 88th Draw

[toykatyal]

Lets start a whatsapp group for those who got ITA in 88 draw. Drop ur numbers here or if there is an existing group then pls convey

 

[Sun2shine]

I am still waiting on ITA . Hopefully I will get it by tomorrow. By the way, my score is 450 and my profile was accepted last week. So I am hoping to get ITA from current draw #88
I hope they have considered my profile for this draw.

 

[ishq74]

I have a question which probably has been addressed many times before - I created my express entry profile yesterday and it says EE profile active date to be 25th April. I have seen the cut off score today and as per my profile I should clear it. I want to know if I will be eligible in this draw? (I haven't received ITA and I know one needs to wait for 24 hours, but from logistic stand point am I still eligible for the draw on 25th?)

Login your account and check the profile submission time. It is UTC time. If the submission time is before the draw time then you should get it, otherwise you gotta wait couple of weeks. For your reference draw time is-
Date and time of round: April 25, 2018 at 12:40:15 UTC

Good luck!

 

[seth007]

Hi, I got my ITA. I am starting to put my application together.
I need some guidance on getting the medical done. (how to proceed)
Do I just got to a hospital and get the Medical done? or Do I need to wait for an email from CIC?
Please clarify my questions. Thanks!

 

[WoundedTiger]

Got the ITA Email early morning at 3:38 India time.

Fun time begins...CANADA here I come....

Let's rock!!

 

[strikeharsh]

Got the ITA Email early morning at 3:38 India time.

Fun time begins...CANADA here I come....

Let's rock!!

Too early to say that. Let’s count 2 months prep time and 6 month average processing time after AOR. One month for passport. 9 months counting

 

[WoundedTiger]

Too early to say that. Let’s count 2 months prep time and 6 month average processing time after AOR. One month for passport. 9 months counting

Well...you can enjoy what you have achieved so far...Who says you cannot go to Canada before getting the PR...

 

[strikeharsh]

Well...you can enjoy what you have achieved so far...Who says you cannot go to Canada before getting the PR...

Agreeed haha

 

[Apex_Sid]

Lets start a whatsapp group for those who got ITA in 88 draw. Drop ur numbers here or if there is an existing group then pls convey

I just created a Watsapp group. Find below the link:

‎https://chat.whatsapp.com/IBPLE6d9lW2JgxH7jRs4aX

 

[strikeharsh]

I mysteriously received an ITA in yesterday's draw despite having a CRS score of only 431. Could this be an error? Has this ever happened to anyone before? Should I:

1. Submit my application and hope for the best.
OR
2. Call CIC and let them know the error.

Any advice given would be greatly appreciated. Thanks

It might be your previous profile if your previous profile has higher CRS then this is error just reject because you won’t pass eligibility waste of time

 

[tristonz]

This is getting so damn interesting folks.
Sitting at 440.

I hope next draw will bring rays of hope for everyone below 440.
Need a time machine now.

 

[abhishek_89]

Hi @abhishek_89

Hope you are doing great. After last draw I am sure people are much more excited than the start of the year. There are many people who are stuck in several checkpoint specifically compared to other marks. Checkpoints like CRS 441, CRS 438, CRS 435 will observe more people compared to the other marks.

My Question to you will be as we know there are 6551 people as per CIC report in the pool from 431-440, what can be the percentage of people from 435-440? Is the number of people in the lower 430's more than mid/high 430's? What is your analysis on this? thank you

In an ideal scenario, 431 and 432 should have higher number of people as they have not been picked after May 31, 2017. But due to increase in scores, the folks in the pool keep shifting, so there is no way to exactly calculate the number of folks stuck at each score. Also, there could be some scores like 429, 432, 435, 438 & 441 which have higher number of folks due to the IELTS points which increases by 3.

 

[abhishek_89]

Hi @abhishek_89,

Where did you get that breakdown from? I could only find the "rounds of invitation info" but they only show from this to that say 441 - 450.

I would love to have more details...

Good luck everybody !!!

I estimates a draw today of 3 500 ITA's with score 442.

For my calculation, I assume equal number of folks enter the pool at each score from 441-450 each day. That's easier for calculation.
For example, if in 2 weeks 800 folks get added to the 441-450 range, I assume 80 folks get added to each score.

 

[abhishek_89]

The no of people 440 and above has reduced considerably .Does that mean we can expect the cutoff to be around 439 in the next draw .Your inputs @abhishek_89

Just after the draw, 442 and above scores are empty as they all get ITA and some folks are remaining in the pool with 441. So yes 441-450 range would be less now. But the next draw happens after 2 weeks, and by then there could be a lot of people added into the 442-1200 range which means the decrease in cut off would be limited.

I am expecting the cut off to be 439/440 if the next draw happens on May 9th with 3500 ITAs.

 

[abhishek_89]

APR 25, 2018 - DRAW PREDICTION:

I have come up with the prediction for the 88th draw.

If it happens today (Apr 25) with:
3500 ITAs - CRS 441
3750 ITAs - CRS 441
4000 ITAs - CRS 440

The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

Congrats to all those who got ITAs yesterday!
The next month should see the cut off breaking into the 430s if they continue with 3500 ITAs and 2 week gap draws.