Ray Of Hope-86th Draw

[yourfather]

This online service will be unavailable from 3:30 a.m. to 5:30 a.m. Eastern time, on Tuesday, March 20, 2018, in order to perform system maintenance.

I suppose there will be a poll this Wednesday. Good luck to all you guys!!!

 

[Fhussain]

how did u get these numbers, may I ask?

Yes.. its based on the candidates pool data released by CIC.. on 8th March candidates above 450 were 2674 (2184+490).. draw of 21st Feb cleared all the candidates above 450.. so in 15 days 2674 new candidates applied avg of 178.. so i took a round figure of 180.. last draw was on 14th March so the total numbers above 450 should hv been 3780 (180×21days)..ITAs were 3000 leaving 780(3780-3000) in the pool above 450..if the trend continues in next 14 days till 28th March 2520 candidate (180x14) will enter the pool and total above 450 crs would be 3300 (2520+780)...with 3000 ITAs crs would be around 452 and with 3250 or 3500 ITAs score should be bw 449-451..all r based on my assumptions and calculations ..

 

[ankurrana]

Yes.. its based on the candidates pool data released by CIC.. on 8th March candidates above 450 were 2674 (2184+490).. draw of 21st Feb cleared all the candidates above 450.. so in 15 days 2674 new candidates applied avg of 178.. so i took a round figure of 180.. last draw was on 14th March so the total numbers above 450 should hv been 3780 (180×21days)..ITAs were 3000 leaving 780(3780-3000) in the pool above 450..if the trend continues in next 14 days till 28th March 2520 candidate (180x14) will enter the pool and total above 450 crs would be 3300 (2520+780)...with 3000 ITAs crs would be around 452 and with 3250 or 3500 ITAs score should be bw 449-451..all r based on my assumptions and calculations ..

Thats logical based on the last draws' data but there is a high probability that 180 number which you have assumed may change up or down as its been varying since last few draws. Neverthless this is a fair prediction with the data available.

 

[rohitpahwa]

Any chance of score dipping to 441 in next couple of months?

 

[Fhussain]

Hello All,

Please how long does it take to receive NOI from Ontario? I recreated my EE profile on March 16. My CRS is 433.

Thanks!

Same here recreated the profile at

Thats logical based on the last draws' data but there is a high probability that 180 number which you have assumed may change up or down as its been varying since last few draws. Neverthless this is a fair prediction with the data available.

I wish it is much lower than 180 but unfortunately since the begining of this year it has been between 165-180... lets hope it is lower...

 

[EguinhaPocoto]

"This online service will be unavailable from 3:30 a.m. to 5:30 a.m. Eastern time, on Tuesday, March 20, 2018, in order to perform system maintenance."
Does this indicates a draw this week? *Being optimistic

From what I observed, those service outages seem to correlate with the time around which they collect data for the pool. You usually see the updated report on the CRS draw page with a time around that of those system maintenances...

A draw is not out of question still, though. Here's hoping.

 

[Fhussain]

Any chance of score dipping to 441 in next couple of months?

Consistent draws every 14 days with 3000 ITAs.. by end of April or early May.. if no of ITAs increases may be earlier.. and if 3 weeks gap somewhere in bw ... then may by June..

 

[EguinhaPocoto]

Any chance of score dipping to 441 in next couple of months?

Yes there is always a chance. That chance might be virtually indistinguishable from zero, but there is a chance nonetheless...

 

[AJ2186]

People....in your own opinion/knowledge....do you think CRS scores will drop to 430 ? and when ?

 

[OdinNguyen]

Early 30s + At least 8 years of experience sounds like a norm bachelor graduate only. You can always improve the score by taking up master. Most of the youngsters don't have that exp points to begin with.

Not true.
I'm 30. Masters. I'll complete 8 years of experience this July.

I'm doubting that you understood what I wrote in English. The key phrase is "sounds like a norm bachelor graduate". Don't just conveniently ignore one or two words.

P/S: The rest of the world will graduate at the age of 22-23 and will spend around one year after graduation to find a suitable job (not counting military service and everything else). Please don't assume India is the only country in the world.

 

[BEA78]

Hello All,

Please how long does it take to receive NOI from Ontario? I recreated my EE profile on March 16. My CRS is 433.

Thanks!

There are no set dates for Ontario to select profiles and send NOI. Check here frequently to see if there are news of selections: http://www.ontarioimmigration.ca/en/pnp/OI_PNPNEW.html

Also it seems to be a bit of a mystery how Ontatio chooses profiles, if it's just based on CRS or if they select specific NOC codes.

 

[OdinNguyen]

People....in your own opinion/knowledge....do you think CRS scores will drop to 430 ? and when ?

My gut tells me around 10% of the chance

 

[AJ2186]

My gut tells me around 10% of the chance

Lool! You never know...it might drop to 420's..even 410's just like last year

 

[NishuP]

Hi Folks,

Need urgent HELP !!

I was marking my wife as not accompanying & while doing so I thought even my fund requirements can be shown less. We are 3 people family & considering I am single applicant, I changed my funds from 19500 to 12750 in fund required field. On submitting my profile I became ineligible.

1. Do I now have to create new profile? Any way to bring back existing profile to life?

2. If I create new profile & my CRS score is more than cut off score in next draw but not within cutoff date than Do I still get invite?

Please advise members. Thank you in advance.

Hey RiseUp ! Since, your partner is not accompanying you, would you be asked to provide an evidence supporting why she isn't accompanying ? I am just curious since i am in the same situation too. Any assistance would be appreciated.

 

[cookie.monster]

Yes.. its based on the candidates pool data released by CIC.. on 8th March candidates above 450 were 2674 (2184+490).. draw of 21st Feb cleared all the candidates above 450.. so in 15 days 2674 new candidates applied avg of 178.. so i took a round figure of 180.. last draw was on 14th March so the total numbers above 450 should hv been 3780 (180×21days)..ITAs were 3000 leaving 780(3780-3000) in the pool above 450..if the trend continues in next 14 days till 28th March 2520 candidate (180x14) will enter the pool and total above 450 crs would be 3300 (2520+780)...with 3000 ITAs crs would be around 452 and with 3250 or 3500 ITAs score should be bw 449-451..all r based on my assumptions and calculations ..

My prediction for the draw on 28 March would be 448 +/- 2.