Very nicely explained. But, do you think there is a chance that even 20% people from the H1B(around 750K) might want to have a back up by applying for the Canadian PR? If it happens, an additional amount of 150000 people will be trying to apply for their Canadian PR & even considering 10% have Masters, the high CRS score in the pool might be 75000 people at least from US in the coming months. Do you think thats a possibility? If it is, then for us at mid 430's and below will surely not get ITA's in this year for sure.
Also, do you think CIC can change their drawing policy by having less draws in the first few months in order to just to wait for the high CRS scorers from US to get into the pool so that they can get invitation and Canada gets highly qualified Silicon valley executives, for instance, rather than somone doing not so porche job in India or other parts of the developing world?
With no draws for the last 3 weeks and this sorts of information about H1B is definitely not a good news for people who have been waiting for their ITA for the last 6 months. In fact, this is noting lesser than a disaster knocking at the door. Everthing now seems to be quite uncertain. May the good force help us
There are a lot of factors at play here:
1. People who have H1B visas aren't there in the US with a primary motive to become residents there. They are fully aware of the backlog when they decide to live in the US. In most cases, their offspring will be able to sponsor them to a green cards since they're citizens of the United States by virtue of being born there. This will take 18 odd years instead of the 60 they're looking at now through the H1B pathways. Trump, as he is wont to do, is making an issue out of nothing, to gain sympathy with Fox News and their audience (incidentally also his voter base). Nobody in their right minds is misusing the H1B visas to gain residency, at least no one from overpopulated countries that Trump views as enemies.
2. These H1B holders from the US aren't much better off CRS scorewise than a lot of us at 400+, realistically speaking. Their experience is still outside Canada and for the purposes of CRS, counts just as much as experience in any other country. They might have better IELTS scores, but if you're 400+, you're closed to have maxed it out already. So not a distinct advantage there for them either. Next criteria is age, and if you're H1B, you probably have atleast 4-6 years with the company before they send you out on site to the US, which puts them in the late 20s stage at best. They're not much ahead of us in the CRS
3. The most ominous point is that of numbers: i.e. More people competing for the seemingly fixed number of Express Entry slots. I agree this may be bad for us hopefuls, but hang on a sec, aren't we grossly exaggerating the amount of people? Let's profile them. If they're already working a great job in a developed country legally, and they have families settled there: The spouse has a job, the children have been enrolled in schools, so these people aren't going to uproot their lives and move to yet another country and start their careers from scratch, just to get something they weren't realistically going to get in the US either. This leaves those of them, who like me, can just pack up and move out of country because they don't really have ties to their home country besides some savings and properties, which can be easily liquidated. Don't you think these guys were already on their way over to Canada the day Trump got elected?
@trumprefugee is our resident flagbearer for these applicants.
In my view, as with anything else Trump threatens to do, this is a pile of burning horseshit. Designed to strike fear into people who genuinely want to better their lives by following due process, and sell some more red hats. But as is the case with real horseshit, it doesn't have much calorific value, and the fire dies out just as quickly it started off.
Stay on course, don't worry or give up. You've come this far, it makes no sense to cast doubts on our future at this stage.
