July draw predictions
- Thread starter aommnd
- Start date
Not bad, 15 points drop from last time, and 250 more invites. Maybe next time there will be 2000 invites and then 2250.
Yeah, this is not bad. The score was expected, they did not miss a draw and they invited a bit larger batch.
Yeah, I'm not optimistic about hearing anything before October at the earliest, yet I will continue refreshing the relevant webpages every two weeks like a fool regardless lol.
Considering there are 9500+ people in the pool with scores above 501, and assuming that draws of 1750 continue to happen biweekly... It would take 10-12 weeks with no new candidates to even get to 500. (Hopefully I got the math right there, but even if I'm off, you get the gist.)
Considering there are 9500+ people in the pool with scores above 501, and assuming that draws of 1750 continue to happen biweekly... It would take 10-12 weeks with no new candidates to even get to 500. (Hopefully I got the math right there, but even if I'm off, you get the gist.)
It could have been a wise move by !RCC if they did extra large draws in Jul, Aug & Sep. Done for 2022 and resume again in mid 2023 or whatever it makes sense regards to "wait times" so those who waited since Dec 2020 in FSW and Sep 2021 in CEC deserved ITA after long wait. Waiting Clock would reset from Oct 2022 meaning those waited (deserved) got ITA so those added starting Oct 2022 need to wait to get ITA. fair-fair. win-win. wait, you might think it's not first-in-first-out, but again "fair" chance to >480 in my opinion.
Anyways, dumb move by !RCC.
fyi, I'm at 524 so I may get in couple draws so it's not "just" about me.
Anyways, dumb move by !RCC.
fyi, I'm at 524 so I may get in couple draws so it's not "just" about me.
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I think they want to invite ppl for 2023's target under the new law, since from IRCC's point of view (not mine) the new law would help Canada economy to solve labour shortage in some certain sectors. That's why they are conducting very small draws at this point when they are not ready for the new policy just yet.
Ah, that's a really good point and I suspect you're right. I understand why C-19 is something IRCC has been pushing, but I'm not sure it'll have the effect they're looking for lol.