I don't think it's possible for anyone here to give you the chances.Forgive me for writing here.Probably remember me.
Soon it will be 3 years as my daughter in Canada. and did not leave at all. Status -"in process" from August 2019 .
Application for renewal of Prcard from August 2019.(The 720 day rule was violated) The application has been forwarded to the local office.
In September, the daughter can already apply for Citizenship. -and the application for renewal of the Prcard has not yet been considered.
In my opinion, this is simply ABSURD!
The daughter wants to visit us and return to Canada for the start of the school year. She is a teacher.
Her application contains
1.letter of support from the school.
2..letter of support from a Member of Parliament..
3. Response to MP from IRCC ( in February)
Background of Inquiry:
• Applicant is a PR holder and is currently teaching at ..........
• Has applied for a renewal of her PR Card, and has been waiting for 2.5 years for response.
Resolution of Inquiry:
• Application has been received as is being processed in Vancouver.
• Officer is currently reviewing last submissions made by the applicant on February 24th, 2022.
• No further updates at this time, applicant can continue to operate as a PR holder within Canada until new decision is made.
Question.
What are the chances that my daughter will be able to get PRTD without any problems with these documents.??
Let me remind you that it will soon be 3 years since she did not leave Canada at all.
Of course, there is all other evidence of permanent residence (car.. work contract for the next year.. payments and insurance.. bank account and so on...
How short was she on the 2 year residency requirement? Just a bit or a lot?
You could try to go the mandamus route with a lawyer's help if you want to try to force a decision.
Good luck.