Third Draw!!
- Thread starter arvinderps
- Start date
toben
Star Member
It seems* they want a constant stream of applicants so I assume they won't linearly decrease the number of points but set it to the points that gives them the desired resulting number of ITA's. Since we have no knowledge of the distribution of the candidate's points, it's impossible to predict.
* that's what they actually said in the recording that floated around here somewhere
* that's what they actually said in the recording that floated around here somewhere
toben said:
I don't think, they won't be able to fill the quota this way, they have to drop the cutoff score to have desired number of applicants this year, and yes by the end of Feb/early March, it will be coming into 400+ scores I believe !
toben
Star Member
mbakhan said:
That's what I mean with "set it to the points that gives them the desired resulting number of ITA's". Of course it will drop below 600 because I don't think there are enough LMIA's and PNP's. It's just impossible to say when it will happen.
mbakhan said:
I agree with you. The only people that will have above 600 points will be those with LMIA or PNP but I would say not a huge amount of people have them. They only released about 1500 LMIA's last year and even those applying now for LMIA will have to wait about 3 months given the process. I can only see that score going down to something a tad more reasonable for non LMIA holders.
dobes said:
They have quite the sizeable quota to fill across the CEC and FSW/FTW programs. Like i mentioned before, the amount of people applying with LMIA's was about 1500 last year. The process of getting an LMIA is not full proof and not everyone gets one. My solicitor told me about 80% are accepted.
Getting an LMIA is weird if you are already working in the country. Your company have to advertise your job on job bank for 4 weeks then your HR have to prove you are the most qualified then it takes 6-8 for the process to go through. So you can see its not straight forward as some may think. Its even harder if you don't already have a job in Canada as you are depending on an employer to take you on.
Unless the CIC change their quota's I can only imagine the minimum points will go down.
raj veena said:
I personally got 477 which was based on my education, work experience, Canadian work experience, IELTS results etc. The 400-500 mark is just a "guesstimation". It could stay around 600 or go below 400. It all depends on peoples scores. Without knowing the average score that applied its hard to tell. I can only go by the minimum points required from the last two draws which saw that minimum drop by 70 points in one week. ALOT of people do not have LMIA's and there is not a huge amount of people that have them (and its going to get more competitive to get one). Once the majority PNP/LMIA holders have been sent ITA's then the score can only drop and by a fair bit. Of course i don't know this for sure but logic would have to dictate to me that this would be the case.