Spousal Sponsorship in-land Applications 2016 timeline and updates

[profiler]

2% is a very high sampling rate.....
they use way smaller samples to call national elections

therefore I would say if we see no move on this forum, then there is no move on any of the 2016 files...

cheers
ZumbaG

Uhm, I think first passed the post requires a little more than 2%...

Looking realistically at it, they are churning through cases very fast. Outland, inland, etc. They have a quota to fill of 62000... they'd look bad if they didn't...

 

[volkov]

getting confused in this thread are you often talking about outland applications in the inland thread?

so I'm not sure where we stand as far as timeframes others are reporting, applied inland in March 2016, got acknowledgement of receipt and "started processing" in May 2016...... since then nothing else, the status for Sponsor just shows "in process" and the PR status shows "application received", we later applied for OWP and got that separately (good for 2 years) but nothing about this shows up on the PR status page

I'm curious what month of acknowledgement of receipt they are working on now that has shown something new other than "in process" .... what is the next stage and how many months in is it averaging recently?

thanks

 

[profiler]

getting confused in this thread are you often talking about outland applications in the inland thread?

so I'm not sure where we stand as far as timeframes others are reporting, applied inland in March 2016, got acknowledgement of receipt in May 2016...... since then nothing else, the status for Sponsor just shows "in process" and the PR status shows "application received", we later applied for OWP and got that separately (good for 2 years) but nothing about this shows up on the PR status page

I'm curious what month of acknowledgement of receipt they are working on now that has shown something new other than "in process" .... what is the next stage and how many months in is it averaging recently?

thanks

It's an inland thread. Outland gets mentioned. You should look at and add yourself to the inland spreadsheet. Also your case is likely in SIR, so there really is no tracking progress by dates...

 

[volkov]

It's an inland thread. Outland gets mentioned. You should look at and add yourself to the inland spreadsheet. Also your case is likely in SIR, so there really is no tracking progress by dates...

thanks, I'll search for that spreadsheet

I'm not finding the acronym "SIR" anywhere

 

[profiler]

thanks, I'll search for that spreadsheet

I'm not finding the acronym "SIR" anywhere

Spreadaheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Yn3BFzI4q4xAy4EW3pG4CgQz9o3EzF5b18_tcSJwBhA/edit?pref=2&pli=1#gid=658237024

SIR notice: http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/notices/2016-06-13.asp

SIR operational bulletin: http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/manuals/bulletins/2016/ob624.asp

 

[mikegrayson]

Please add me to the Timeline

Date Application was mailed: July 21, 2015
Date received by CIC: July 22,2015
AOR1: October 14, 2015
IMM5669 & IMM5406 requested: November 5, 2015
Document resubmitted: November 15, 2015
AOR2: February 29,2016
Copy of Valid Passport requested: June 17, 2016
Copy of Valid Passport sent July 25,2016
Country of origin: Ivory Coast
Resident in Hamilton

 

[profiler]

Please add me to the Timeline

Date Application was mailed: July 21, 2015
Date received by CIC: July 22,2015
AOR1: October 14, 2015
IMM5669 & IMM5406 requested: November 5, 2015
Document resubmitted: November 15, 2015
AOR2: February 29,2016
Copy of Valid Passport requested: June 17, 2016
Copy of Valid Passport sent July 25,2016
Country of origin: Ivory Coast
Resident in Hamilton

I added you to the new/update tab. When one of the document maintainers signs in they will move your record to the 2015 tab.

 

[zumbagirl]

Uhm, I think first passed the post requires a little more than 2%...

Looking realistically at it, they are churning through cases very fast. Outland, inland, etc. They have a quota to fill of 62000... they'd look bad if they didn't...

More than 2 percent sampled in any survey???? In Canada that would be 600 000 people.....

In the US 5 million people!

The surveys published in Canada usuall based on few thousand people... a fraction of 600 000

your statment regarding their targets is sensible, however the numbers are just not there. If you look at the spreadsheet you can't reall see an increased rate of processing. What you can see are anomalies like the September to November processing from 2015 ( skipping March to August) or the few completed applications from this year.

If you see pattern pls share. I reall want to see it too!!!!
ZumbaG

 

[profiler]

More than 2 percent sampled in any survey???? In Canada that would be 600 000 people.....

In the US 5 million people!

The surveys published in Canada usuall based on few thousand people... a fraction of 600 000

You didn't say survey (or I sure didn't see it -- I am old and frail, so that's possible -- but my statement regarding first past the post would have given that away ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First-past-the-post_voting ) I do consider the sampling unreasonable totally -- considering about 30-40% have landed -- but that's the engineer talking. That would make the error margin astronomical.

your statment regarding their targets is sensible, however the numbers are just not there. If you look at the spreadsheet you can't reall see an increased rate of processing. What you can see are anomalies like the September to November processing from 2015 ( skipping March to August) or the few completed applications from this year.
ZumbaG

As I stated, you cannot look at the inland spreadsheet for too much information. You can see individual cases, but that's it. I already (re)described how they are processing SIR cases vs. normal cases. Looking at a spreadsheet with such a tiny sample and such a huge error margin really isn't that reliable, except for detecting patterns. Which I have previously described in detail. The spreadsheet is a collection of entropy, with a smattering of group members that are being processed (hint: they are processing groups and not chrono), and the odd AIP which indicates non-grouped processing.

 

[carolbb23]

@profiler and everyone happy Halloween everyone or my hubby say trick it treat day, read the first article about immigration that awesome and volkov sorry if I spelled your name wrong it's better to do medical results earlier plus fingers prints and pcc they know you mean business

 

[profiler]

@profiler and everyone happy Halloween everyone or my hubby say trick it treat day, read the first article about immigration that awesome and volkov sorry if I spelled your name wrong it's better to do medical results earlier plus fingers prints and pcc they know you mean business

Likewise... which article? It's been soo many hours since they were posted.. I cannot recall them all...

 

[carolbb23]

@Profiler were they letting more people to immigrate to Canada

 

[profiler]

@Profiler were they letting more people to immigrate to Canada

Oh. That one. Yeah well, I would like to see them actually act it out...

 

[carolbb23]

@profiler sounds good as my wacky mama would say I would see it as proof in the pudding

 

[profiler]

For anyone watching statistics, I found an interesting excel book that CIC issued to open.canada.ca ( http://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/ad975a26-df23-456a-8ada-756191a23695 ). According to this, YTD PR's issued (to August) was 39,490 spouses and partners and 2,714 Children. The level for this type of visa is 62,000. So, they have 19,796 left as of September 1.

Here is the totals by month:
Jan 3,644
Feb 4,021
Mar 4,593
Apr 4,637
May 5,161
Jun 5,970
Jul 6,182
Aug 5,282

And for Sponsored Children (also included in that level):
Jan 310
Feb 262
Mar 282
Apr 320
May 333
Jun 401
Jul 415
Aug 391

So, if they keep up the average of 4949 per month, they will make their quota.

EDIT: Current levels: http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/notices/2016-03-08.asp