+1(514) 937-9445 or Toll-free (Canada & US) +1 (888) 947-9445
Client Portal

September 2018 AOR - join here

Bandit Queen said:
I did not understand, not quite clear. I was in iP1 for 4 weeks, today I complete 4 weeks in IP2. FSWO USA resident. Every week I think I will get it in 2 more weeks but nothing, not even a ghost update. My latest thought is I will get it around 22nd December. But who am I kidding? My VO is CIO Sydney!!!!:mad::mad::mad::mad::mad::mad: if I get it within 180 days that would be a miracle
Click to expand...
well according to that data, 70% approved case, multiply 70% whithn 1 month makes only 50% of people are getting within a month

so...your wait time shoudnt be more than 1 month from now at least(with 85% of chance)

we are almost there buddy!
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bandit Queen
Looking at other threads it seems NDVO has sent PPR today. Hope there are more from September AORs.
 
showbit.jain said:
Can you please share what was your NOC and what your agent selected by mistake.
Click to expand...
Now you shouldn't worry about the rejection... congratulations :)
 
ain88 said:
Well I'm stupid enough to track last 6months cases to relieve myself.

I tracked 2 cases

Case 1) people ip1->ip2 gap is more than 1 months (all stream)
Case 2) people who's CEC, ip1->ip2 gap is more than 2 weeks

to track how long my application will take as I recently moved to ip2 from ip1 and inland cec applcant.

on both cases, appx. 20-30%% of people gets ppr in 3 days once they are changed to ip2 (or they didn't check their status for awhile which makes this a bit unaccurate but still probably they did get ppr in 2weeks after ip2, cos people usually check their application often)

Case 1) 70% approved(ppr stage), 30% still pending(ip2 stage)
from approved stage - 70% of cases gets their ppr in 1 month, 20% of cases gets their ppr in 2 months, 10% of cases gets thier ppr after 2 months.
from still pending stage- 8-90% cases they been waiting less than 2 months, 10-20% cases more than 2months waiting(or in security check or they forgot to update!)

Case 2) 70% approved(ppr stage), 30% still pending(ip2 stage)
from approved stage - 85% of cases get thier ppr in month(monstly within 3 days), 95% of cases get thier ppr in 2 months, 5%- over 2 months
from still pending stage- they been waiting less than 2 months or about that..

So i assure myself i will mostly get my ppr in December (50% of chance), or in January (35% of chance), in February(10% of chance), further :mad:

Everything is approximately and it's based myimmitracker with more than 100 cases(1st case), 20 cases(2nd case)

Edit: to elaborate my wording: most llikely if you are ip2 after long wait of ip1, with 50% of chance you will get ppr in 1 month, with 85% chance within 2 months!
Click to expand...
I hope I will not lose my sanity waiting for PPR :) just a thought on myself :D
 
  • Like
Reactions: williamps
Hi All,
My AOR is 16th September, 2018. I am a PNP applicant. I read somewhere that they take more time for PNP applicant. Is that true ? Already waited for 18 months for PNP nomination, still stuck at IP2...:(:(:(
 
nimeshp said:
Hi All,
My AOR is 16th September, 2018. I am a PNP applicant. I read somewhere that they take more time for PNP applicant. Is that true ? Already waited for 18 months for PNP nomination, still stuck at IP2...:(:(:(
Click to expand...

Mate ! Even i hv heard the same .. Though we never know Christmas can come early for us too
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

Ifillcavities
August 2018 AOR - Join here
Replies
170
Views
24K
Express Entry / Expression of Interest
na71
N
andy108
August 2018 AOR - join here
Replies
12K
Views
2M
Express Entry / Expression of Interest
Jules27
J
rockstar1989
April 2018 AOR - Join Here
Replies
13
Views
6K
Express Entry / Expression of Interest
Onomen
O
andy108
July 2018 AOR - join here
Replies
10K
Views
1M
Express Entry / Expression of Interest
Hannah43
H
andy108
June 2018 AOR - join here
Replies
29K
Views
3M
Express Entry / Expression of Interest
nuwan.chathuranga
N