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Since so many accounts are still being updated, May till 11th then. Although they conducted some draws very late in the past.
And we desperately need one back to back to balance the Crs score again.
 
In the last draw, over 4239 folks got added in the queue in 2 weeks who had 471 or more score (If they were in Q for more than 2 weeks, they would have got invite in sept 30). that means on a avg 2120 potential candidate with 471 or more per week. If draw happens on next wed, with 4 week backlog, there is a good chance, we will have 8480 candidates with >= 471.

If they invite only 4500, then, looking at candidate distribution, it cut off may be in the range of 480 / 81. I really hope we dont have to wait for another week and / or they invite a much larger batch of ppl in next draw.

Note: This assumes the number of candidates and their CRS score spread is similar to the last 2 draws. It may not be a good representation of actual facts.


will it go down from there?.. or shall we expect future draws to be 480s!!!!!!!!
 
will it go down from there?.. or shall we expect future draws to be 480s!!!!!!!!
I hope it comes down. Lets Hope for the best. There is nothing much we can do apart from wait and see. Apart from learning French of course.
 
The cases in Ontario and the whole of Canada is again creeping up like anything. Hope this does not cause any issue to the upcoming draws.
I know how hard it is to wait with uncertainty.
 
Since so many accounts are still being updated, May till 11th then. Although they conducted some draws very late in the past.
And we desperately need one back to back to balance the Crs score again.
There should be b2b draw in December
 
Hi Guys
Looks like I should get an invite through Ontario's French speaker stream.
In truth, I'd much rather go to British Colombia.. If I refuse the OINP, I still remain in the pool so would be eligible for future federal draws if I understand correctly?
I'm (luckily) sitting on 480 pts hence why I'm thinking of the gamble..
Cheers
 
Based on my personal analysis, i predict a cut off around 477-480 for the next draw if held next week.
 
Hi Guys
Looks like I should get an invite through Ontario's French speaker stream.
In truth, I'd much rather go to British Colombia.. If I refuse the OINP, I still remain in the pool so would be eligible for future federal draws if I understand correctly?
I'm (luckily) sitting on 480 pts hence why I'm thinking of the gamble..
Cheers
Personal advice : 480 is an amazing score. You will def be getting federal in the next or maybe couple of draws. Since you have 45 days to submit your OINP , lets wait for the next draw and see if you are selected for federal, otherwise, dont lose the chance because EE is becoming unpredictable.
And also, you dont refuse pnp. Even if you have been selected for PNP, you are stil eligible for future draws. So chill. You will be a contender for the next draw.
 
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