Ray of hope - FSW - 1

[Praveen32]

That's true buddy. Looking at past profile trends, and scrutinizing each category, it could be possible to see a draw between 473-476 for the July 16th, if so. Henceforth, a draw on July 30th may drop us further below to somewhat 467-468.

Well, obviously this is based on trends and some mathematical modelling, and I will still be skeptical.

Any comments and further analysis will be much appreciated.

How can u say that the next draw is slated for 16th July ?

 

[Sheena87]

Hi everyone, hope you are all safe. Since March, the total number of people in the express entry pool is fairly consistent..I think CRS increases only when fresh applicants keep entering the pool right? Do you think more people will be able to enter now in view of the current Covid crisis?

 

[InternationalMallu]

Yes otherwise what is the point of restarting FSW draws. Also pre pandemic the scores were consistently above 470.

The new game plan is to come as a masters student in Canada (ensure it’s a 2 year masters program to get a 3 year PGWP). Then gain additional points for Canadian experience. We can see numerous people starting to do this already. This will be the new normal.

 

[jrossi]

How can u say that the next draw is slated for 16th July ?

Usually months that have 5 wednesdays are months where IRCC deploys B2B draws. That was the case on April, when we had 3 draws in the same month, and might possibly be the case again in July, since there will be 5 Wednesdays again.

 

[|l|R|l|]

Usually months that have 5 wednesdays are months where IRCC deploys B2B draws. That was the case on April, when we had 3 draws in the same month, and might possibly be the case again in July, since there will be 5 Wednesdays again.

I really hope so as I'm at 468.

 

[EropbI4]

Hi all, when do you think PPRs for outlanders will be distributed?

 

[AverageIndianGuy]

Hi all, when do you think PPRs for outlanders will be distributed?

I think they are currently allowing expired copr people to come to Canada only if they are making a permanent move. If it is for so called "soft-landing" ,it is not allowed right now. When it comes to PPRs for outlanders, i belivew ecould see a good progress in August, VACs are starting to open up, lets wait and see

 

[AverageIndianGuy]

Brace for impact!!!
IELTS resuming in India from 16th July....

As per my prediction, we may see a major drop of CRS points in the very next draw, its gonna go up again after that. There would be more people than ever before joining the pool in the coming days.

Still, everyone cannot make 470+, right?
Hopefully 460-470 bracket may get cleared before October.

 

[tankala13]

Brace for impact!!!
IELTS resuming in India from 16th July....

As per my prediction, we may see a major drop of CRS points in the very next draw, its gonna go up again after that. There would be more people than ever before joining the pool in the coming days.

Still, everyone cannot make 470+, right?
Hopefully 460-470 bracket may get cleared before October.

I think there is a good chance it would drop down for the next couple of draws. Many people dont have their educational assessments....

 

[AverageIndianGuy]

I think there is a good chance it would drop down for the next couple of draws. Many people dont have their educational assessments....

I would like to this so too dear... But I also know very well abt my people.... haha...
They make things work somehow. Not to mention, they are very well at competing on scores!!!

 

[Impatient Dankaroo]

Brace for impact!!!
IELTS resuming in India from 16th July....

As per my prediction, we may see a major drop of CRS points in the very next draw, its gonna go up again after that. There would be more people than ever before joining the pool in the coming days.

Still, everyone cannot make 470+, right?
Hopefully 460-470 bracket may get cleared before October.

@chemistesa must be thrilled

 

[InternationalMallu]

470 is the new notm

 

[Timbuktu_14]

470 is the new notm

I beg to differ. There's no logic behind 470 being the new norm buddy. It's possible though, if the number of people joining the pool increases significantly in the coming weeks or, if IRCC decides to reduce the number of invites per draw. Anything aside these would see the score plummet as many are predicting.

I guess we'll keep our fingers crossed then, mate.

 

[mnukkiral]

Usually months that have 5 wednesdays are months where IRCC deploys B2B draws. That was the case on April, when we had 3 draws in the same month, and might possibly be the case again in July, since there will be 5 Wednesdays again.

As much as I would love to witness B2B draws, I doubt they would conduct these. Going by your logic there were 5 Wednesdays in Jan 2020 and in Oct 2019. Both of these months had a draw every other week. So it is safe to assume the next one takes place on July 22nd and not the 16th.

 

[rare.human]

A one week draw has happened in the past (at least in 2019) only when there has been a reason to do so - anticipating the Christmas break or to make up for a skipped draw.

This year, IRCC has been remarkably consistent with draw schedule and draw size. 3,900 every two weeks has been the norm since targets were declared and it seems exactly designed to enable them to invite just over 90,000 by mid December. 91,800 was the mid-target declared for the year for express entry (low was some 88,500 and high was 100,000). Even during covid lockdown, they managed to keep this rate consistent even though they skipped a few days when the crisis first started and then brought it back on track by doing a slightly early draw.

So I don’t think there will be a draw on the 15th. But there should be a draw on the 22nd.

May I ask if their target was to send out 90k invitations by that time, or was it to get that many immigrants? Because not everyone receiving an invitation is likely to suceed, and the rate of success is actually lower than we may think.

It's actually comparable to the diversity visa system of the US, where roughly 90k-100k invitations are sent, from which roughly 70k respond back by applying and only less than 49k actually make it.

I understand they want to get about 350k immigrants by 2022, derivatives included. That could be achieved by having roughly 3900 invitations sent out every 2 weeks, given tht everyone who applies will be given the visa and along with their derivatives they will make up a total number of 4900ish.

What I am trying to say that, they have good reasons to conduct draws more often or to issue more invitation depending on the rate of response or denials. But hey! What do we know of that .

Let's just get out points and keep put, lol