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Ray of Hope - 92nd Draw

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Looks like you are assuming the 431 to 440 points range is a linear distribution across the range. Is this based on an analysis of possible points combinations? Isn't it more likely that the distribution of candidates would be skewed towards the bottom end of this points range? Particularly as some of the 440 points candidates were taken two weeks ago. Not a criticism, just interested. Lets hope it doesn't fall back to 3000 or its not another week to go! Best of luck.
It is not possible to know the exact number of candidates at a particular score between 431-440. In my prediction, I have assumed lesser numbers for 440 considering the May 23rd draw.
There would be some CRS points which are likely to have more people stuck than others due to the way the scoring patterns work. For example, scores 429, 431, 432, 434, 435, 437, 438, 440, 441 and 443 should have more people stuck than on scores 430, 433, 436, 439 and 442.
 
May 9, 2018
10
1
Much clear(I am so foreign langue challenged) ... and man you have a lot of patience...
with the sarcasm aside...
I wish you all the best for the upcoming IELTS prep and exam.:)
I am also not very well versed as i am not a native english speaker.

And Thanks for the wishes. Hoping mission possible by this year..
 

Ronja5200

Hero Member
Feb 21, 2018
528
578
34
Denmark
NOC Code......
2133
I am somewhat a reserved person so speaking to anyone is something i would avoid unless necessary. So its kind of hard.
My BF is like this too, he's the one that did the IELTS score in the signature. As you can see he almost nailed everything - Apart from speaking. His English is great, but he's really reserved and hesitates when speaking, and I think that's why he only got a 7. We had to practice speaking without hesitating and just speaking your mind when a question is asked, because they judge hesitation as bad english :/ Anyways, good luck with your next IELTS!
 
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Reddiered07

Hero Member
May 3, 2018
613
499
It is not possible to know the exact number of candidates at a particular score between 431-440. In my prediction, I have assumed lesser numbers for 440 considering the May 23rd draw.
There would be some CRS points which are likely to have more people stuck than others due to the way the scoring patterns work. For example, scores 429, 431, 432, 434, 435, 437, 438, 440, 441 and 443 should have more people stuck than on scores 430, 433, 436, 439 and 442.
I observed that you had taken around 206 as new entrants per day for above 440..any particular reason?