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Ray of Hope - 81st Draw

virendera84 said:
Guys ... have patience and be positive .... year 2018 going to be good for everyone ... :)
Click to expand...
The start hasn't been good my man.. I hope something good comes on today or this month at least. This is giving me goosebumps now... the real ones. I hope IRCC goes back to fueling their draws with rocket fuel where they were sending out more than 3K invites in every goddamn draw.
 
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RahulMalpani said:
Good point about the number of rejections and its effect on the subsequent draws. This also draws attention towards the applications that get delayed. Somewhere I read (not reliable....since it is not from CIC) that atleast 5% applications get rejected and 20% delayed.

If one ASSUMES this to be true then I would lean towards a higher cut-off unless the draw invites significantly high number of applicants (which seems unlikely because Canada would not want to exaust their quota in less rounds.....they would rather wait for applicants with higher score to apply in future rounds).

But I agree.....all this is speculation with no real grounds.....best policy is to sit tight and wait for their invitation.
Click to expand...

The application rejection rate that was released from 2016 was 3% (wrong calculated points, medical or criminal inadmissibility). Application cancellation rate (document incompleteness) was never properly released (the only valid data are the application success rate from 2015 - between 84 and 92% depending on type of the applicant).
Their goal is to serve 80% of applications within 6 months (but with that said, they count all the applications included the cancelled and rejected). With the multi year target they can do some minor stretches, but they need to make sure to approve applications in batches.
So if there are lot of applications waiting, they need to balance ITA as well

Also from the point of view of those officers, you are just numbers (so it does not matter who will get ITA and PPR as long as he or she meets the criteria). So if they are told to release more to fill in quota and later on they find out that the calculation were a bit too generous they will cool down.

Good news is with the EE being around for 3 years already, the statistics they are getting should be more stable, so the amount of ITA shall be more stable (with less peaks and drops).
Bad news is, that the stabilisation of the system will give little hope to people with lower CRS points
 
this is not to dissapoint anyone ....but im confused myself now
since my grade 9 , my parents were trying for CAN PR, but their apps got returned in the yr 2011 after keeping in process time of 8 years. Then once i graduated i tried for myself, in FSW 2015, my app reached on 28 dec right exactly wen the caps reached. later i went to canada on visit for a short 6 month for my project but still i am stuck with waiting for dumb ita.
every month keeping eye on crs cutoff, finding hope in hope threads ....but m tired now ....really exhaustted ......
by now attempted ielts for 4times ....i get short on bands in either one of the LSRW all the f times, am at 414 ....
 
vensak said:
The application rejection rate that was released from 2016 was 3% (wrong calculated points, medical or criminal inadmissibility). Application cancellation rate (document incompleteness) was never properly released (the only valid data are the application success rate from 2015 - between 84 and 92% depending on type of the applicant).
Their goal is to serve 80% of applications within 6 months (but with that said, they count all the applications included the cancelled and rejected). With the multi year target they can do some minor stretches, but they need to make sure to approve applications in batches.
So if there are lot of applications waiting, they need to balance ITA as well

Also from the point of view of those officers, you are just numbers (so it does not matter who will get ITA and PPR as long as he or she meets the criteria). So if they are told to release more to fill in quota and later on they find out that the calculation were a bit too generous they will cool down.

Good news is with the EE being around for 3 years already, the statistics they are getting should be more stable, so the amount of ITA shall be more stable (with less peaks and drops).
Bad news is, that the stabilisation of the system will give little hope to people with lower CRS points
Click to expand...

Unless something drastic happens, I will put my money on the next cut-off between 441 and 450 with an intake of somewhere close to 3400 (+/- 50).
Only time will tell. Just a predication, don't hate me please.:rolleyes:
 
Guyzz...
I kn evry1 here are egarly waitng for draw today..
But just an observation n optimistis view...
Over last two years we had 3 draws in Jan.. Wednesdays of 1st, 2nd and 4th week out of 4 wednesdays in that month.

But if we see, this year we have 5 wednesdays in jan..
So my gut feeling is we might still have
3 back to back draws in jan, if not today..
 
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harshala said:
Guyzz...
I kn evry1 here are egarly waitng for draw today..
But just an observation n optimistis view...
Over last two years we had 3 draws in Jan.. Wednesdays of 1st, 2nd and 4th week out of 4 wednesdays in that month.

But if we see, this year we have 5 wednesdays in jan..
So my gut feeling is we might still have
3 back to back draws in jan, if not today..
Click to expand...
My thoughts exactly
 
is there any draw on friday before?
 
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