Ray of Hope - 71st Draw!

[Didier85]

So far, that's not how Canada has decided to handle it.


I don't know if the rate is still this high, but at one time it was officially reported that the non-acceptance of ITAs was almost 40%

If the decline rate is 40%, we still have ~33000 ITAs left for the year.

 

[Aypn]

Guys will ontorio send NOIs this year?

 

[tjsecondtry]

If the decline rate is 40%, we still have ~33000 ITAs left for the year.

I wish I could remember where I saw it, but I'm sure it was something official. At the time though, I wondered if some of the ITAs were just "not accepted yet."

 

[stevevutien]

I wish I could remember where I saw it, but I'm sure it was something official. At the time though, I wondered if some of the ITAs were just "not accepted yet."

If the remaining ITAs is 33000 -> we still have 10 draws. Hopefully there will be a draw on this August 30.

 

[pessacanada]

Math facts:

Suppose in 63,777 ITAs the decline rate is 15% -> Landed ~ 54210.45
71700-54210.45=17489.55
17489.55÷3000 = 5.8 draws

Setp: 1 draw
Oct: 1 draw
Nov: 2 draw
Dec: 2 draw

Fingers crossed!

With your prediction I can't cross my fingers There is no target for the issuance of ITA, but for the PR landings. In my opinion, there would be draws like this:
Sep: 2 draws for sure (1 can come as a surprise); = 6500 ITAS (3500)
Oct: 3 draws; = 11000 ITAs
Nov: 2 draws (+1 surprise); = 7300 ITAs (3700)
Dec: 3 draws (last one for Christmas or for New year)= 12000 ITAs

And there would be, probably, around 44.000 ITAs, so relax everybody and get smth to drink and think about it, if you can't imagine so, that is not my fault As you may see, I'm big dreamer and predict based on pure HOPE along with alive positivism

PS: Doing a good job and achieving the desired end result should be our primary motivation.
Always stay positive and hopeful! If you can't do that, so this ROH is not the place you want to be! PEACE

 

[Option Paralysis]

So far, that's not how Canada has decided to handle it.

I know... It's a shame.

Yes, there needs to be enforced punishment for entering illegally, which I believe there is.

What's the punishment? I prefer prevention, to be honest.

 

[qwerty69]

So based on this information, we are reaching the cap for this year in term of ITAs?

ITAs issued in 2017
63,777

2017 Target
71,700

Remaining ITAs ~ 7k.

So we have around 2-3 more draws for this year? This is scary since the CRS will not going down.

Sources:

http://www.canadavisa.com/news/august-23-express-entry-draw-invites-3035-candidates-with-minimum-crs-score-434

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-plan-2017.html

You also need to consider that a good amount of the ITAs issues are for PNP.

 

[tjsecondtry]

You also need to consider that a good amount of the ITAs issues are for PNP.

Yes, the Canada Visa page he found the 70k number on had more for PNP. Some of those are distributed through express entry but not all.

 

[Fishal2017]

Sitting at CRS 432! But with IELTS expiring on October 02, 2017. I need a miracle!

You better book IELTS ASAP, as you have to maintain or improve the score.

 

[Fishal2017]

I wrote this long post about rates of inflow and outflow, but just erased it all. It comes down to this: I prefer to make my own future, and will do everything I can to meet the necessary CRS to get in rather than just hope for the score to drop. My path is long. If things go really well, I'll get the ITA even before I graduate. But if not, I'm doing everything I can to earn those points.

Now that's what is called a real motivation.
I salute you for the spirit and the fire in you.

 

[shaun75]

Guys will ontorio send NOIs this year?

Yes they will. I expect them to start sending in Sept again, but that's just my own hopes and opinion.

 

[tjsecondtry]

Yes they will. I expect them to start sending in Sept again, but that's just my own hopes and opinion.

I'm curious about how many applications they are processing now. If it's for the sub-400 people from ITC week, I would expect most to accept the nomination.

 

[Fishal2017]

Friends as far as rejecting ITA is concerned, it's not that all have not done their paperwork. Sometimes the things are not suppose to happen as and when we want them. it's not always as smooth as we expect it to be.
The hurdles and falls keep the adrenaline rush going.
Had been active on the ray of Hope thread from last 2 months only.
These two months have changed a lot of things in life, most of it not expected.
Lets not leave the hope,
of getting through this,
of going to canada,
of keeping ourselves motivated...
Keep yourself focused and positive.
People will always laugh on your dreams, belittle your efforts and mock your determination but don't let them drain your energy and positivity.
".......how much you can take and keep moving forward"
Love Rocky balboa.
God bless us all.

 

[trumprefugee]

I'm curious about how many applications they are processing now. If it's for the sub-400 people from ITC week, I would expect most to accept the nomination.

Quite a few sub-400 ICT folks in the provincial nomination forums and whatsapp groups have been getting nominations this week, including many who received ITAs yesterday. I'm still checking the OINP site every day multiple times a day for updates.

 

[tjsecondtry]

Quite a few sub-400 ICT folks in the provincial nomination forums and whatsapp groups have been getting nominations this week, including many who received ITAs yesterday. I'm still checking the OINP site every day multiple times a day for updates.

Me too.