Hello everyone, I am glad to participate in such an optimistic discussion. The data here are so useful and it is very nice to share the same dream together. It is time now to contribute to your enormous efforts and strengthening our ray of hope together by making some effort.
I have prepared a thorough prediction of the coming draw#70, based on the last two rounds figures and the results came as follows:
If the draw happens on the 16th of August (hopefully):
- 2800 ITAs = 427 ±1
- 3000 ITAs = 426 ±1
- 3300 ITAs = 425 ±1
- 3600 ITAs = 424 ±1
While if the draw happens on the 23th of August (hopefully not):
- 2800 ITAs = 433 ±1
- 3000 ITAs = 432 ±1
- 3400 ITAs = 431 ±1
Please note that these are only my predictions based on previous rounds and some fine tuning to make them more reasonable. I am not saying I am right, but these numbers make sense to me according to my own calculations. Please also note that my prediction will be severely affected if nominations start to be sent to candidates within the coming two weeks.
I have seen other posts also came with the similar figures, which indicates that whatever our methods of forecasting are, we are close to figuring out the real picture a little bit. However, CIC is totally unpredictable, and the frequency of the new people entering/ leaving the pool is not necessarily constant. But based on the data we have, this is the best can be done.
Again, thank you all for your contributions. Hope to gather with you all there in Canada.
I have prepared a thorough prediction of the coming draw#70, based on the last two rounds figures and the results came as follows:
If the draw happens on the 16th of August (hopefully):
- 2800 ITAs = 427 ±1
- 3000 ITAs = 426 ±1
- 3300 ITAs = 425 ±1
- 3600 ITAs = 424 ±1
While if the draw happens on the 23th of August (hopefully not):
- 2800 ITAs = 433 ±1
- 3000 ITAs = 432 ±1
- 3400 ITAs = 431 ±1
Please note that these are only my predictions based on previous rounds and some fine tuning to make them more reasonable. I am not saying I am right, but these numbers make sense to me according to my own calculations. Please also note that my prediction will be severely affected if nominations start to be sent to candidates within the coming two weeks.
I have seen other posts also came with the similar figures, which indicates that whatever our methods of forecasting are, we are close to figuring out the real picture a little bit. However, CIC is totally unpredictable, and the frequency of the new people entering/ leaving the pool is not necessarily constant. But based on the data we have, this is the best can be done.
Again, thank you all for your contributions. Hope to gather with you all there in Canada.