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Ray of hope 58th draw?

Pawshi

Hero Member
Apr 2, 2016
704
156
New Delhi
Category........
Visa Office......
New Delhi
NOC Code......
0111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
April 2016
AlliBatista said:
This message is showing up on CIC website today, we know what this probably means.

yes indeed. The chances are very remote. By the way what is your CRS? Please update the list.
 

madhouseontheshore

Star Member
Jul 26, 2016
149
11
NOC Code......
2171
AOR Received.
19-08-2017
Passport Req..
23-08-2017
VISA ISSUED...
11-09-2017
Pawshi said:
If there is a back to back draw - on March 31, then the score may fall by 9 to 10 - 431 looks approaching. However, if the draw goes to April 5, then the score may touch 434 (+/- 2)
Please count me as well. CRS@463, new entrant.
 

tiwalope

Full Member
Feb 12, 2017
38
1
manvir.singh.parmar said:
Latest data
411-415: 1persons
416-420: 3 persons
421-425: 6 persons
426-430: 10 persons
431-435: 14 persons
436-440: 8 persons
440 above: 3 persons (They just keep pouring in...Lol)
Crs not mentioned-23 persons
Suppose, if there are 175 times the no. Of person against this, even then the score should fall to 432-433 as per below calculations.
411-415: 1persons*175=175
416-420: 3 persons*175=525
421-425: 6 persons*175=1050
426-430: 10 persons*175=1750
431-435: 14 persons*175=2450
436-440: 8 persons*175=1400
440 above: 3*175=525
This is just an assumption, please give ur view on this.

where is 410 on this analysis?
 

Pawshi

Hero Member
Apr 2, 2016
704
156
New Delhi
Category........
Visa Office......
New Delhi
NOC Code......
0111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
April 2016
http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/-t273928.0.html;msg5887622#msg5887622

Please read this thread, where another greedy guy has faked the WES just to get the ITA.
 

Pawshi

Hero Member
Apr 2, 2016
704
156
New Delhi
Category........
Visa Office......
New Delhi
NOC Code......
0111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
April 2016
Here is the latest sheet for reference.

1 rob83
2 zinder33
3 Iprabhjot 439
4 jasontan 426
5 robinsonjoel 424
6 prachi.j 439
7 andieqngel 408
8 anirr 433
9 MattyTj 437
10 heynow 437
11 CanadianHopeful! 429
12 BullDog
13 tj4canada
14 farhanyou123 431
15 karthik506
16 jackdawn
17 nthom 437
18 chente
19 fatani
20 _Aspirant
21 BoniM 425
22 Kekaritu 421
23 grapehair 440
24 mihirparker 433
25 DubaitoCanada 429
26 kamenashi
27 prvisit 434
28 Northstar88
29 harjotsingh93
30 benzboksas 431
31 manvir.singh.parmar 427
32 tj4canada
33 Jemin 432
34 Sralf
35 Manylivesmanymasters 430
36 foreversukhdeep 440
37 hopesarehigh 428
38 ajaysharma 431
39 specter_3012
40 romrumrira 423
41 yuanteo 430
42 hitesh.mulchandani 428
43 preet14 417
44 ajkidwai
45 gurvinder525 437
46 ssnvenkat
47 Tamie_British
48 Boviesam 431
49 chemEmanju
50 patN 419
51 nsharma22
52 Positive+ 432
53 MANISH89 434
54 Alii2017 456
55 Shaz1 426
56 Pushpaacna 429
57 Muhammad 428
58 Maverick28 456
59 Smclaren 432
60 MChahal 420
61 Jack Ma 435
62 iamxty
63 Iampositive 429
64 Jammie418 432
65 Chinthu 413
66 tiwalope 410
67 sandeepn 467
68 gzing 435
69 Nik2408 433
70 irosha 431
71 Titanium 414
72 kamiar 431 (426)
73 madhouseontheshore 463
74 vakatendeka 431
 

tiwalope

Full Member
Feb 12, 2017
38
1
Pawshi said:
http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/-t273928.0.html;msg5887622#msg5887622

Please read this thread, where another greedy guy has faked the WES just to get the ITA.
so unfair,i wish ircc can do something abt this.
 

Pawshi

Hero Member
Apr 2, 2016
704
156
New Delhi
Category........
Visa Office......
New Delhi
NOC Code......
0111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
April 2016
tiwalope said:
so unfair,i wish ircc can do something abt this.
Another one is here...

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/pending-only-due-to-wes-evaluation-t481877.0.html
 

Staterun

Star Member
Mar 28, 2017
95
3
Sorry guys unrelated question

I am new here I have question.

Q. I am working as a teacher NOC 4031/4032 and I have 5 years exp in this NOC. But I have not done B.Ed I have done Masters of arts in Economics and my degree is considered as 4 yrs bachelors in Canada according to my ECA.

I know teaching is a regulated profession in Canada and I dont want to do teaching once I land there as a PR. So my question is that can I claim points for my work experience?
 

kamiar

Newbie
Mar 21, 2017
8
0
What about this:
over 2 years of EE the score has never come below 450 until draw 54. after draw 56 it dropped to 434 by drawing about 11000 from the pool.
remember that the area between 434 and ~450 had been intact before the draws. so over two years only 11000 gathered in this area in worst case. the real number is less than 11000 because many were 450+. let's say it is 9000.
so 9000 in 2 years, how many in two weeks cat reside in this area?
I think most of people in previous draw were at 900-1000 because of provincial nominees.
the lower areas (434-500) are empty and if provinces stop giving nomination there is still hope for rapid drop.
there is another factor that is unknown: the job offer. people can easily jump from 400 to 450 by receiving 50 points from the job offer.
the actual figures are unknown so everything is possible. it depends on the CIC policies.

Although the given figure is so gross is not bad. it shows that the area below 434 is still dense because it is still virgin!
Also remember that this way of data sampling can not yield good estimates.


manvir.singh.parmar said:
...
Suppose, if there are 175 times the no. Of person against this, even then the score should fall to 432-433 as per below calculations.
411-415: 1persons*175=175
416-420: 3 persons*175=525
421-425: 6 persons*175=1050
426-430: 10 persons*175=1750
431-435: 14 persons*175=2450
436-440: 8 persons*175=1400
440 above: 3*175=525
This is just an assumption, please give ur view on this.
 

MattyTj

Hero Member
Mar 7, 2017
266
85
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Staterun said:
Sorry guys unrelated question

I am new here I have question.

Q. I am working as a teacher NOC 4031/4032 and I have 5 years exp in this NOC. But I have not done B.Ed I have done Masters of arts in Economics and my degree is considered as 4 yrs bachelors in Canada according to my ECA.

I know teaching is a regulated profession in Canada and I dont want to do teaching once I land there as a PR. So my question is that can I claim points for my work experience?
Claim those points! :) NOC 4031 is category A so it qualifies under the federal skilled worker program, and will allow you entry into express entry. You do not have to do the same job in Canada once you are admitted as a PR. Just make sure you can prove your NOC by having the required education and letter of employment as specified in the EE instructions. Best of luck!
 

Staterun

Star Member
Mar 28, 2017
95
3
MattyTj said:
Claim those points! :) NOC 4031 is category A so it qualifies under the federal skilled worker program, and will allow you entry into express entry. You do not have to do the same job in Canada once you are admitted as a PR. Just make sure you can prove your NOC by having the required education and letter of employment as specified in the EE instructions. Best of luck!
Having B.ed is not necessary to claim points for teacher's experience? Because I have read somewhere that you dont have to demonstrate that you meet employment requirements
 

manvir.singh.parmar

Star Member
Sep 8, 2016
84
8
Category........
NOC Code......
2132
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
kamiar said:
What about this:
over 2 years of EE the score has never come below 450 until draw 54. after draw 56 it dropped to 434 by drawing about 11000 from the pool.
remember that the area between 434 and ~450 had been intact before the draws. so over two years only 11000 gathered in this area in worst case. the real number is less than 11000 because many were 450+. let's say it is 9000.
so 9000 in 2 years, how many in two weeks cat reside in this area?
I think most of people in previous draw were at 900-1000 because of provincial nominees.
the lower areas (434-500) are empty and if provinces stop giving nomination there is still hope for rapid drop.
there is another factor that is unknown: the job offer. people can easily jump from 400 to 450 by receiving 50 points from the job offer.
the actual figures are unknown so everything is possible. it depends on the CIC policies.

Although the given figure is so gross is not bad. it shows that the area below 434 is still dense because it is still virgin!
Also remember that this way of data sampling can not yield good estimates.
You have a better way or method..???
Go ahead and share...