If the draw happens on March 29, Wed, below is my guess with some statistical modelling and also some assumptions:
No. of ITAs: 3700+ going by the trend.
CRS Cutoff: 432-435.
Calculations:
1. March 1 - March 24 (23 days): 3749 ppl got added above 441.
2. Assumption: Not more than 50%, got added between 434 and 440 during this period i.e. max 1900 ppl.
3. Now if the draw happens on March 29, i.e. 5 days proportionately in 5 days: Ppl added in 434-440 range: 1900*5/23 = 400 ppl and 441 plus: 3749*5/23=815 ppl.
4. This makes it a total of 1900+815+400=3115 ppl approx above 434 in the pool on March 29.
5. On point 3 above, I discounted the fact that there is no IELTS and CELPIP till then, hence in reality lesser ppl wud be added. And assumption is PNP will still be thr proportionate to last 23 day period.
6. Now going with the trend of around 3700 ITAs per draw, 3115 ppl will get the score down to 434 and additional 600 would mean another point or two below.
Hence my guess, 432-433 with arnd 3700 ITAs.
Thanks. Your views pls!