"I would expect a 8 point drop because we must consider that even though we estimate around 600 people per point, in fact, it could be 1100 at one CRS and 100 in another"
Whilst I can understand that a lot of theories and point drop speculation have been around for a very long time I just still don't see an 8 point drop occurring.
497?, 475?, 468?, 459?, then...453,447?,441?, 434? I am a healthcare worker, not a math person at all, still, i dont see an exact pattern in the drop of CRS scores, but rather a slight variation occurring occasionally. Thus, my ideas are certainly more a way for trying to find a ray of sunshine/hope amidst clouds than pure science.
Even if you provide no weight to the year end Jan 2016 pool figures, if you just do a like by like comparison comparing the number of people in the point ranges then against the draws done so far in 2017, it shows the figures have substantially increased.
I agree!!! Anyways, thinks are looking better than ever!!
I think 410 - 430 is going to be rammed full of people.
I agree with you that as the CRS scores drop, the number of people per point increases.
Also, I didnt mean to say that indeed the score will drop 6-8 points each draw. I meant to say that it is possible a 6-8 points drop, for there are not exactly 600people at each CRS, and small gaps in every system exists, and gaps in the EE pool can cause IRCC to drop points a little further somewhere along the way. Again, just trying to find gaps that could benefit us!
I get the positivity looking for gaps, im at 418 so need all I can get otherwise its IELTS again for me.
