Ray of hope 57th draw?

[prvisit]

It doesn't speak to how long the money need to be in your account. From my research it seems that they ask for 6 months worth of bank statements. The burden is on you to not give IRCC any reason to be suspicious of what you tell them. If your account had $200 in there 6 months ago and last week $25,000 magically appeared they are going to ask questions.

Yes. I too agree. That is why, better to deposit progressively from past 6 months and make it ready by that time.

 

[monnike]

If there is no decrease in CRS we will see a significant drop in ITA's. If they are taking a % into account of people being given ITA declining or failing to get PR then they need to keep this number around at least the 3000 mark I would presume.

To drop it to say 2500ish and keep their targets then attach rate would have to be 100%.t
That is one of the reasons why I believe that they will continue with the 3500+ Itas trend , and if they want to decrease it for some reason, they will do it gradually.

At the moment the volume of people with higher scores and by that I mean 430+ just isn't that huge, we can tell this by the fact the draws have hit 434 already.
I concur. [/b]

However I do believe that there are a much higher proportion of people sitting in the 420 - 430 range.


Such assumptions have been around since CRS scores were around 475, and all of those assumptions were proven wrong. ALso, I dont rely much on teh 2015 breakdown of ppl per point, but still, in that report there was not a substantial difference between 430s, 420s, and 410. (If I am not wrong, it was just a couple hundred people.)
IN addition, 400+ points is not an easy thing to achieve, and although its not rare, I dont believe in a flood of people in the pool with scores above 400.


With the extra week I think we will get a drop but a small one, however that won't then mean if the next draw is the following week we will be back to 6 points. Also I don't ever expect to see an 8 point drop in this range of CRS scores.

I would expect a 8 point drop because we must consider that even though we estimate around 600 people per point, in fact, it could be 1100 at one CRS and 100 in another.

If we continue by your logic we would be down to around 400 in about 4/5 months - which isn't going to happen, even if they continue to issue 3500 ITA's

Latest draws have shown that this type of logic were unfounded and wrong. THe same ideas strongly prevailed in most ray of hope threads before December 2016, and 2017 came to show a brand new Express Entry system. Therefore,
I do believe that 400+ people are highly skilled and fit the description of Canada's target for immigration, and they should be expecting an ITA this year.

Still, I appreciate your input on this, as we dont have certainties, what we do here is to share our ideas, hopes,and expectations. ;D

 

[hawk1301]

Do not worry.
1. I wrote IELTS in Feb 2017 and received TRF hard copy. My TRF# also start with 16 and ends with G. So you can enter the same what you are seeing online.
2. Do not worry about your proof of funds. You can modify at anytime. But it should be as per Proof of funds criteria mentioned in CIC website against your family size.
For instance, your family size is 5(including you) then you are supposed to show at least $25,923 CAD.
We have to provide 6 months bank statement when submitting PR docs. You should not borrow this entire money just before submitting bank statement. Even you want to borrow and show this proof, better to deposit monthly 5000$. Then it looks like genuine. But there are no exact guide lines for this in CIC.

Wow! this was helpful

Can you tell me that if I change it now to $12500 (which is little above the required amount)

Will my profile need time to update? Will I be out of the pool for hours?

 

[prvisit]

Wow! this was helpful

Can you tell me that if I change it now to $12500 (which is little above the required amount)

Will my profile need time to update? Will I be out of the pool for hours?

It seems there is no draw today. So you can update now. It wont take much time for its update as it wont impact your points.

 

[bindun2005]

Wow! this was helpful

Can you tell me that if I change it now to $12500 (which is little above the required amount)

Will my profile need time to update? Will I be out of the pool for hours?

Yes u can change it. It will take appr. 24hrs to update. However, You wont be out of the pool during that period.

 

[hawk1301]

Thanks guys!

When are we expecting the draw? Don't the CIC guys reveal the dates? Is my probability of getting ITA high? I am not using any consultants help and all my friends are so I am a little anxious ???

 

[prvisit]

Thanks guys!

When are we expecting the draw? Don't the CIC guys reveal the dates? Is my probability of getting ITA high? I am not using any consultants help and all my friends are so I am a little anxious ???

CIC do not announce any dates. Usually its a fortnightly draw. Mostly on Wednesdays and few draws happened on Fridays as well.
"Expecting" next draw on 22nd March.

 

[hawk1301]

CIC do not announce any dates. Usually its a fortnightly draw. Mostly on Wednesdays and few draws happened on Fridays as well.
"Expecting" next draw on 22nd March.

Got it! thanks for this info You got ur ITA?

 

[bindun2005]

Is it mandatory to input the TRF number ? My husband re-appeared for IELTS on 4th march and we have got the results online day before yesterday.but we haven't received the Certificate yet. With his new ielts score, my crs is increasing by 2points. Is it ok if i update his ielts score in the pool and keep the TRF field blank till I receive the original? I fear the certificate will not reach me before the ITA is out. Pls advise.

 

[Jemin]

Hey, one quick question.

Did you points drop on the same day of your birthday or on the next day.

Please reply soon as I'm nearing to mine :-[

It actually dropped on the same day of my birthday. Technically on my birthday i am a year older. I remember it was sometime in the morning that i got an email reflecting the change...i believe could be because of time difference.

 

[prvisit]

Got it! thanks for this info You got ur ITA?

Not yet. Entered in to pool on 7th march. waiting for next draw..

 

[hawk1301]

Is it mandatory to input the TRF number ? My husband re-appeared for IELTS on 4th march and we have got the results online day before yesterday.but we haven't received the Certificate yet. With his new ielts score, my crs is increasing by 2points. Is it ok if i update his ielts score in the pool and keep the TRF field blank till I receive the original? I fear the certificate will not reach me before the ITA is out. Pls advise.

Hey! You will need to enter the TRF number. Visit this to get new TRF : results.ieltsessentials.com

 

[hawk1301]

Not yet. Entered in to pool on 7th march. waiting for next draw..

Woah! All the best!

 

[bindun2005]

Hey! You will need to enter the TRF number. Visit this to get new TRF : results.ieltsessentials.com

He'd appeared for British Council IELTS. This site is only for IDP.

 

[prvisit]

Is it mandatory to input the TRF number ? My husband re-appeared for IELTS on 4th march and we have got the results online day before yesterday.but we haven't received the Certificate yet. With his new ielts score, my crs is increasing by 2points. Is it ok if i update his ielts score in the pool and keep the TRF field blank till I receive the original? I fear the certificate will not reach me before the ITA is out. Pls advise.

In general, CIC asks only the TRF#. Certificate copy is not in the checklist of docs to be submitted. In some rare cases, CIC will ask you to submit your certificate copy(not original) online. So you can go ahead and update your new TRF# and get the advantage of those 2 points.

One rare case scenario I have seen is: my friend submitted PR docs but he got query to submit his IELTS copy online. The reason is His score was going to be expired in few weeks at that time.