RAY of HOPE 55th Draw (Predictions)

[Pippin]

in general the low score for rounds will decline."


The good news is now official.

This is NOT official news. This is a blog produced by the legal firm who run this forum. They have cleverly chosen an address that mimics an official Canadian one. They are repeating what we already know.

 

[astralsource]

If as per last draw there are about 600 people per point, as the score goes down number of applicants may increase. How many people will be per point..700/800?

Maybe.

But its great that from 475 to 468 there was 414 candidates per point
468 to 459 - 370 candidates per point
459 to 453 - 580 candidates per point
453 to 447 - 600 cpp

and we re already under 450 so this is not so crowded even. I expected much more candidates and a slower dive.. really surprising.

 

[omar_ahmed21]

Realistically what is more likely for next draw - 443 or 442 or 441?
I really don't think it would be 440... but of course I would be happy to be wrong.

I think 443 is more realistic

 

[omar_ahmed21]

Sitting at 444... Hoping to get ITA very sooon!!!

You're next buddy 8)

 

[astralsource]

in general the low score for rounds will decline."


The good news is now official.

Yeah, this is a web of a consultant which owns this forum so they usually publish an article about the previous draw, based mostly on peoples analysis here, but they probably have some contacts with IRCC since they have stated it this way. Like the Edmonton CIC guy who gave a lecture on ExpressEntry, they have the right to speak their minds on future trends so probably they found someone from IRCC who gave their opinion for this article. This web is not known for publishing wild articles like oopnp.

 

[Boviesam]

I think next draws will be like this : (I hope so)

2nd draw - February 3100 440
1st draw - March 2900 432 (I am here : )
2nd draw - March 2900 426
1st draw - April 3000 418
2nd draw - April 2900 410
1st draw - May 2850 403
2nd draw - May 2800 397, so i think we are going to see this for the first time, the CRS score below 400 in may 2017,

.... Still waiting for the end of year report 2016

my previous expectation for the #53 draw missed by 1 point

Wow would it really come down to that level.I hope there will be no hurdles coming along way at that time

Experts please advise.

 

[Manylivesmanymasters]

This is NOT official news. This is a blog produced by the legal firm who run this forum. They have cleverly chosen an address that mimics an official Canadian one. They are repeating what we already know.

: My bad.

 

[Manakhly]

when is the next draw?

 

[omar_ahmed21]

when is the next draw?

Maybe FEB 15 &/or FEB 22

 

[arrayofhope]

Awww youll make me cry. Like a sissy. You make the music! Do we have some singers/producers out here?

YES!!

 

[astralsource]

Assuming that the current status of the pool is the same as 2015 report, we are looking at about 60,000 active candidate in the pool, if they continued pulling out average of 9,000 per month (3500 per draw and 5 draws every 2 months) the scores should hit rock bottom by the end of the year.

However that sounds too good to be true of course, not mentioning that there are new people everyday applies on the system.

Share your thoughts guys...

They'll stay at 2 draws a month, this extra draw was because they missed one draw in November.

MY FEAR: I am also afraid at one point they will reduce ITA number to 2000-2500 like before from 1500 to 1000-800. They are now filling up the quota and when they get to certain percentage they could slow down a bit.. depends on the number of ITAs

BUT, A BIG but

Considering the quota and clearing of the backlog there should be at least 60.000 ITAs issued through ExpressEntry, and that's minimum (before it was 30.000 ITAs and they said 50% of the quota came from Express Entry so now it should be 60.000 + the quota is higher than in 2016. so even more)

Also we know they started filling quota for 2017. around October (source: CIC guy) so looking at the numbers around 20.000 ITAs for 2017. is already issued (lets say that is 30.000 PR's (because someone said it was 1.5 PR per 1 ITA if I am not mistaken)..

that leaves us with about 30.000 ITAs through EE (45.000 PR's) since they plan 73,700 economic migrants..

+ there is another 30.000 PNP nominations planned (51.000 PNP PR's)..

that makes for another 60.000 ITA's until October 2017. when they will start filling quota for 2018.

Thats my calculation- it makes about 7.000 ITAs per month including PNPs (which is already happening). With this rate we'll hit 400.

Is this right? Am I missing something as usual? If the info about 1.5 PR per ITA is correct, then this might be true. Correct me!

Also if there is another 30.000 ITAs ready for economic immigrants through EE and if we have for example 600 applicants per point, we will exactly land at 400 CRS, and the rest can come through PNP. That means 400 is the new 450.

ps. I failed math once..

 

[DelPiero07]

My snake predicts 440 CRS.

 

[thejkhan]

443 or 444 cut-off is a good guess for next draw.

 

[astralsource]

I say 3500 - 442!

 

[ramansingh05]

Hi Guys,

Earlier my score was 453 but dropped to 422 as I got married 1 month ago. So any chances of CRS dropping to 422 in upcoming months..