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RAY of HOPE 53rd Draw (Predictions)

farhanyou123

Star Member
Dec 26, 2016
120
4
Dubai
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Almostther said:
Waiting at 457 now. was on 462 but lost 5 points to my birthday last month!! I hope it not to go up...
Even I hatted my bday this year, was on 10 Jan and draw was on 11, hows that? I was at 463 and now at 457, just missed by one day..

How do u feel now? Some better? Lol
 

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
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Croatia
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Ottawa, ON
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App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
farhanyou123 said:
Even I hatted my bday this year, was on 10 Jan and draw was on 11, hows that? I was at 463 and now at 457, just missed by one day..

How do u feel now? Some better? Lol
HE WINS
 

Almostther

Star Member
Jan 17, 2016
103
9
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farhanyou123 said:
Even I hatted my bday this year, was on 10 Jan and draw was on 11, hows that? I was at 463 and now at 457, just missed by one day..

How do u feel now? Some better? Lol
Can't think of worse than that.. Irrespective of what happens in the next draw, luck plays a cruel role at times... We will be through in the next draw!
 

farhanyou123

Star Member
Dec 26, 2016
120
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Dubai
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Almostther said:
Can't think of worse than that.. Irrespective of what happens in the next draw, luck plays a cruel role at times... We will be through in the next draw!
Man I donno how do K explain you. M very hopeful but same time anxious n worried n i donno wats not at the same time.. aaaahh cant wait for next draw.

So wats ur say, I believe even if we consider the worst case n assune ITAs only around 2k, I still feel cutoff has to come down.
 

Wolverine17

VIP Member
Mar 28, 2016
3,135
351
farhanyou123 said:
Even I hatted my bday this year, was on 10 Jan and draw was on 11, hows that? I was at 463 and now at 457, just missed by one day..

How do u feel now? Some better? Lol
Same here was at 463 now 458 due to birthday
 

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
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Croatia
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Ottawa, ON
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5122
App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
farhanyou123 said:
Man I donno how do K explain you. M very hopeful but same time anxious n worried n i donno wats not at the same time.. aaaahh cant wait for next draw.

So wats ur say, I believe even if we consider the worst case n assune ITAs only around 2k, I still feel cutoff has to come down.
IT HAS TO, at least 455
 

narindersahib

Hero Member
Nov 21, 2016
209
21
sitting at 469.. had to decline last 2 ITAs.. :eek: bcz of not completing actual 3 years of exp.. but finally completing same tomorrow. ;D
 

astralsource

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Jul 10, 2016
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22-04-2017
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19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
narindersahib said:
sitting at 469.. had to decline last 2 ITAs.. :eek: bcz of not completing actual 3 years of exp.. but finally completing same tomorrow. ;D
lucky you!
 

Pawshi

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Apr 2, 2016
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Folks,

Cut off has to come down if there is a consistency with the draw and each draw size is 2500+. Since, September 2016 almost 20000+ candidates have got the ITA. There was a report on October 1st week stating that 60000 is the size of the pool. If we consider today, I dont think, we should not have more than 50000+ candidates. Also, some wrote that 500+ candidates joins the queue every week. However, not all of them have the score in the range of 400+. Yes, everyone is trying hard to get into 400+ category. But, its not easy.

I do hope that score has to settle somewhere 410+ in next six months. Otherwise, opposition will create significant problems for the present govnt. Since, the changes were done for the betterment and to bring down the score, if the same objective is not achieved, the opposition will not leave a chance to embarrass the govnt.

So keep a faith and good will come to you.

Also, eagerly waiting for the end of year report.

By the way, any statistician on this group, who can do regression and progression to get the some idea. :D
 

astralsource

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Jul 10, 2016
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19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
Pawshi said:
Folks,

There was a report on October 1st week stating that 60000 is the size of the pool.
Are you sure? Where is that report? Isnt that for jan 2016. It hasnt come out since
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/reports/ee-year-end-2015.asp
 

myriadhope

Newbie
Nov 8, 2016
4
0
Next draw will be
ITA: 2500, CRS: 448

The biggest difference of 2017 and 2016 is that most of candidates who getting the ITA in 2017 are pure > 454 and usually students who havn't established the family with kids yet.
In 2016, most of ITA people were >600 which means, majority of people who recieved ITA in 2016 were through LMIA.
Those are usually from mostly India with 3~4 kids + wife. so 1 ITA filled up the 2~6 positions of immigration in 2016. That's the reason why # of ITA was so low compared to actual immigration #.

In 2017, Anybody below 350 without LMIA is now gone from competition (which was 40% of total ITA receiver in 2015 by 2015 express entry report)
(I would personally think that it would be more than 40% in 2016 because 2016 was the true year that # of fake LMIA was spontaneously increased).

It will encourage that Total # of ITA in 2017 will be doubled from 2016, and it will lower down the CRS eventually up to 430.
 

mic-mic

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May 7, 2015
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farhanyou123 said:
Lol there should be a special draw for us :p
Hoping it will be 450 with 3,000 ITAs next draw and I hope it comes soon before any birthdays to take place! ;D
 

Escobar Gaviria

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Oct 10, 2016
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Hopefully 2017
I hope it's 450. :(

Can't wait no more.