~~RAY of HOPE 51st Draw~~ (Predictions)

[dr.psr]

I think nxt draw shd be around 468-9. We had people above 470 cleared once so there wont be much congestion atm. People below 470 are going to be packed and i think @ 25k/draw jan end we will be somewhere around 466-7

 

[Agent_Dave]

So, what do you guys think about the % of people who got rejected after getting and ITA ? Does ITA mean that 99% sure you will get a PR. (Assuming, you haven't grossly lied on your EE profile)

Anybody wanna answer me ?

 

[mgnlky]

Anybody wanna answer me ?

Getting an ITA does not mean you get PR. CIC will reject applications for a variety of reasons, or rather deem them "incomplete" and reject them. Then you have to go back into the pool.

 

[dr.psr]

Anybody wanna answer me ?

I think its 100% pr assuming u havent botched up the info in your profile. Rejections r pretty rare

 

[Alexios07]

I think nxt draw shd be around 468-9. We had people above 470 cleared once so there wont be much congestion atm. People below 470 are going to be packed and i think @ 25k/draw jan end we will be somewhere around 466-7

There is no such thing as clear "all people with 470" or "all people with PNP". Every day there will be new blood join in the pool. Therefore, depends on the time between each draw, cut off score can be drastically difference.

 

[Agent_Dave]

Getting an ITA does not mean you get PR. CIC will reject applications for a variety of reasons, or rather deem them "incomplete" and reject them. Then you have to go back into the pool.

ouch !! you gotta go back in the pool eh , if the application is not complete.

 

[Agent_Dave]

I think its 100% pr assuming u havent botched up the info in your profile. Rejections r pretty rare

pretty rare is what I wanted to here

 

[Alexios07]

Anybody wanna answer me ?

I think its 100% pr assuming u havent botched up the info in your profile. Rejections r pretty rare

Depends entirely on the stream you apply. Based on IRCC data, the approval rate for 2016 (as of September 30th) are as follow:

• FSW: 95%
• FST : 91%
• PNP : 96%
• CEC : 89%

So I don't think rejections are rare.

Source: http://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/0186868b-a04d-4a0e-962e-bdfbac51bfb3

 

[dr.psr]

There is no such thing as clear "all people with 470" or "all people with PNP". Every day there will be new blood join in the pool. Therefore, depends on the time between each draw, cut off score can be drastically difference.

I know but point drop in today's draw explains my point. There were not that many candidates like it was on nov16 draw. We dropped less points then with 2.4k ita. New people come but not all of them are above 470.

 

[ashu1710]

Depends entirely on the stream you apply. Based on IRCC data, the approval rate for 2016 (as of September 30th) are as follow:

• FSW: 95%
• FST : 91%
• PNP : 96%
• CEC : 89%

Source: http://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/0186868b-a04d-4a0e-962e-bdfbac51bfb3

Thanks for the info. Very encouraging. I wonder why CEC has a lower approval rate...

 

[dr.psr]

pretty rare is what I wanted to here

Its ray of hope thread isn't it..

 

[Agent_Dave]

Its ray of hope thread isn't it..

yes sir, it is

 

[Agent_Dave]

Depends entirely on the stream you apply. Based on IRCC data, the approval rate for 2016 (as of September 30th) are as follow:

• FSW: 95%
• FST : 91%
• PNP : 96%
• CEC : 89%

So I don't think rejections are rare.

Source: http://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/0186868b-a04d-4a0e-962e-bdfbac51bfb3

thats a good research

 

[cjsinngh]

Feeling sad, missed by 1 point.

I know your pain. but on the other hand got a new iPhone as christmas gift lol!!

 

[Agent_Dave]

I know your pain. but on the other hand got a new iPhone as christmas gift lol!!