Ray of HOPE *50th Draw*(Score Prediction)

[johnsyk]

@467 and for last 6 month thats i have been reading this forum, i have deduced few things
1. We know fakiyng nothing
2. Ircc is biatych
3. I am Batman.
And Castillo's argument actually makes sense. But who am i to judge.

I have been here for 6 months too. And I can assure you that you are truly the enlightened one. The only one who makes any sense. LOL

 

[vensak]

I have 1 year post grad and 1 year of work experience. 474 points and I am 33. Agreed to most of things Slovak guys says. There is so many people above 470 that are younger than me, have 2 years post grad, masters or PhD, better English tests score. I don't see how we can hope that cut off will drop bellow 470 in next few months at this draw rate. Just because someone is monitoring the pool for a long time doesn't mean that cut cut off must eventually drop.

On the other hand I entered the pool in April 2016 and expect another bunch of students to enter it in April 2017. To all those who are referring to January 2016 government report best of luck in their dreams, but that report is garbage at present day.

In your case you have still the score in the possible range. plus you can still think of ways how to get maybe additional 2 to 5 points, which can make difference. However there are so many in the range 400 to 450 that think, that quota will drop there like within half year.
Here is another fact. I have compared numbers of my 2 EE. (one i did not do properly at the beginning of August and it became ineligible fast and one from mid October). There was 40k number difference between that. That is 40k try out for 3 months. So if we say like 1/2 are either renewals or failures, you still have 20k fresh incomes there. And for these you can take the standard picture of the pool from October to app. guess their point distribuion. And at the same time some people repeated language test or got their year of work experience and that way got more points. These point jumps are in general higher than age losses.
One thing that was surely encouraged with the new rule was the wish of international students to sign in.

 

[johnsyk]

In your case you have still the score in the possible range. plus you can still think of ways how to get maybe additional 2 to 5 points, which can make difference. However there are so many in the range 400 to 450 that think, that quota will drop there like within half year.
Here is another fact. I have compared numbers of my 2 EE. (one i did not do properly at the beginning of August and it became ineligible fast and one from mid October). There was 40k number difference between that. That is 40k try out for 3 months. So if we say like 1/2 are either renewals or failures, you still have 20k fresh incomes there. And for these you can take the standard picture of the pool from October to app. guess their point distribuion. And at the same time some people repeated language test or got their year of work experience and that way got more points. These point jumps are in general higher than age losses.
One thing that was surely encouraged with the new rule was the wish of international students to sign in.

Didn't understand a word of what you just said.

 

[johnsyk]

And here is my two cents.

1 - It is too early to predict anything.
2 - Even if we have enough data, we could still be wrong ( proven multiple times in the past).
3 - CIC is unpredictable. They will do anything anytime.
4 - Sometimes the analysis here makes sense. Most don't.
5 - Even the best analysis with data backing is based on a trend. I used to see a lot sensible analysis a few months back. I see less and less of that off-late. Maybe many got their ITA and moved on or they are waiting for more data instead of posting drivel.
6 - We have not had enough ITA's after the November 19th changes to make any sense of anything. Hence till the middle of March or till the year end report comes in, it's all mostly going to be drivel. Please take everything with a pinch of salt.
7 - Your Hamster or Crystal balls might be more accurate considering that we have no data to back up any of this at the moment.
8 - If you do not own a Hamster or crystal ball, there are people who claim to speak to agents every single day on the phone. They are as accurate as the hamster.
9 - This is the Ray of Hope thread. Hope is an emotional feeling which goes beyond logic and hard facts most of the time. Even when everything seems to go against us, we still live on hope. Looking for that ray to shine through. So enjoy that feeling.
10 - End of the day, do whatever it takes to increase your scores. Try LIMA. Try PNP. Go to study. Learn French. Improve your English. Whatever it takes. And then hope for the best.
11 - You're welcome.

 

[Marty_]

And here is my two cents.

1 - It is too early to predict anything.
2 - Even if we have enough data, we could still be wrong ( proven multiple times in the past).
3 - CIC is unpredictable. They will do anything anytime.
4 - Sometimes the analysis here makes sense. Most don't.
5 - Even the best analysis with data backing is based on a trend. I used to see a lot sensible analysis a few months back. I see less and less of that off-late. Maybe many got their ITA and moved on or they are waiting for more data instead of posting drivel.
6 - We have not had enough ITA's after the November 19th changes to make any sense of anything. Hence till the middle of March or till the year end report comes in, it's all mostly going to be drivel. Please take everything with a pinch of salt.
7 - Your Hamster or Crystal balls might be more accurate considering that we have no data to back up any of this at the moment.
8 - If you do not own a Hamster or crystal ball, there are people who claim to speak to agents every single day on the phone. They are as accurate as the hamster.
9 - This is the Ray of Hope thread. Hope is an emotional feeling which goes beyond logic and hard facts most of the time. Even when everything seems to go against us, we still live on hope. Looking for that ray to shine through. So enjoy that feeling.
10 - End of the day, do whatever it takes to increase your scores. Try LIMA. Try PNP. Go to study. Learn French. Improve your English. Whatever it takes. And then hope for the best.
11 - Your welcome.

point 7 & 8 Epic!!! lol

 

[babyblue09]

And here is my two cents.

1 - It is too early to predict anything.
2 - Even if we have enough data, we could still be wrong ( proven multiple times in the past).
3 - CIC is unpredictable. They will do anything anytime.
4 - Sometimes the analysis here makes sense. Most don't.
5 - Even the best analysis with data backing is based on a trend. I used to see a lot sensible analysis a few months back. I see less and less of that off-late. Maybe many got their ITA and moved on or they are waiting for more data instead of posting drivel.
6 - We have not had enough ITA's after the November 19th changes to make any sense of anything. Hence till the middle of March or till the year end report comes in, it's all mostly going to be drivel. Please take everything with a pinch of salt.
7 - Your Hamster or Crystal balls might be more accurate considering that we have no data to back up any of this at the moment.
8 - If you do not own a Hamster or crystal ball, there are people who claim to speak to agents every single day on the phone. They are as accurate as the hamster.
9 - This is the Ray of Hope thread. Hope is an emotional feeling which goes beyond logic and hard facts most of the time. Even when everything seems to go against us, we still live on hope. Looking for that ray to shine through. So enjoy that feeling.
10 - End of the day, do whatever it takes to increase your scores. Try LIMA. Try PNP. Go to study. Learn French. Improve your English. Whatever it takes. And then hope for the best.
11 - Your welcome.

im in love with you!

 

[johnsyk]

im in love with you!

Does that mean that I will have a ray of hope of gaining extra spouse points? Hahaha ;D

 

[kryt0n]

And here is my two cents.

1 - It is too early to predict anything.
2 - Even if we have enough data, we could still be wrong ( proven multiple times in the past).
3 - CIC is unpredictable. They will do anything anytime.
4 - Sometimes the analysis here makes sense. Most don't.
5 - Even the best analysis with data backing is based on a trend. I used to see a lot sensible analysis a few months back. I see less and less of that off-late. Maybe many got their ITA and moved on or they are waiting for more data instead of posting drivel.
6 - We have not had enough ITA's after the November 19th changes to make any sense of anything. Hence till the middle of March or till the year end report comes in, it's all mostly going to be drivel. Please take everything with a pinch of salt.
7 - Your Hamster or Crystal balls might be more accurate considering that we have no data to back up any of this at the moment.
8 - If you do not own a Hamster or crystal ball, there are people who claim to speak to agents every single day on the phone. They are as accurate as the hamster.
9 - This is the Ray of Hope thread. Hope is an emotional feeling which goes beyond logic and hard facts most of the time. Even when everything seems to go against us, we still live on hope. Looking for that ray to shine through. So enjoy that feeling.
10 - End of the day, do whatever it takes to increase your scores. Try LIMA. Try PNP. Go to study. Learn French. Improve your English. Whatever it takes. And then hope for the best.
11 - Your welcome.

* You're welcome

Also, the hamster rules.
Next draw 481 and 2100 ITAs x

 

[dr.psr]

And here is my two cents.

1 - It is too early to predict anything.
2 - Even if we have enough data, we could still be wrong ( proven multiple times in the past).
3 - CIC is unpredictable. They will do anything anytime.
4 - Sometimes the analysis here makes sense. Most don't.
5 - Even the best analysis with data backing is based on a trend. I used to see a lot sensible analysis a few months back. I see less and less of that off-late. Maybe many got their ITA and moved on or they are waiting for more data instead of posting drivel.
6 - We have not had enough ITA's after the November 19th changes to make any sense of anything. Hence till the middle of March or till the year end report comes in, it's all mostly going to be drivel. Please take everything with a pinch of salt.
7 - Your Hamster or Crystal balls might be more accurate considering that we have no data to back up any of this at the moment.
8 - If you do not own a Hamster or crystal ball, there are people who claim to speak to agents every single day on the phone. They are as accurate as the hamster.
9 - This is the Ray of Hope thread. Hope is an emotional feeling which goes beyond logic and hard facts most of the time. Even when everything seems to go against us, we still live on hope. Looking for that ray to shine through. So enjoy that feeling.
10 - End of the day, do whatever it takes to increase your scores. Try LIMA. Try PNP. Go to study. Learn French. Improve your English. Whatever it takes. And then hope for the best.
11 - Your welcome.

I have a sacred plant it has moved toward canadian direction and its leaves are making sign M. So acc to my scores it going to be 467 sonewhere in march

 

[Almostther]

* You're welcome

Also, the hamster rules.
Next draw 481 and 2100 ITAs x

A deficit of 16 will be welcome if it comes true.. Although I am way too far, I like the ray of optimism...

 

[raven00090]

* You're welcome

Also, the hamster rules.
Next draw 481 and 2100 ITAs x

I am just about ready to end that hamster. Grr. I say 420 with 3500 ITAs. Also, the sky is red and the earth is a rectangle.

 

[thestunner316]

wow...jeez man the thread became a bit of a mud slinging competition instead of providing people with hope

heres my $0.0002

anyone over 470 has a very very good chance of getting an ITA in the next few months...
for anyone who is below 450 still, i would strongly consider OINP whenever it reopens... (similar to what i did, waited 10 months and now finally i have nomination.. but its worth the wait)

do whatever you have to do to increase your scores... even 1 point could be the difference... i mean just imagine a guy being stuck on 469 for months, finally had a clear hope thinking their ITA would come in the next 1-2 draws (based on a draw of 470), only for it to be pushed back with the new changes in the EE points system, so they get pushed back in the queue again... just trying to say here is - every single point counts... i would not stop writing ielts until i have CLB10 in all aspects (if thats what it takes)

to increase score, try applying for PNPs... i know you may think it costs too much or its too painful, but think of it this way... PNP virtually GUARANTEES an ITA... there is NOTHING else in the EE system anymore which guarantees an ITA (after LMIA points were reduced) so do some research, spend some time... think think think ... analyse...

if you try hard enough and luck is with you - there is absolutely no reason why you cant migrate to canada (or australia or any other country for that matter)

good luck

 

[aniket2789]

Speculations with high riff

Draw 50th - 480
Draw 51st - 470
Draw 52nd - 460

Hope this comes true before the 6th draw in 2017

 

[kryt0n]

I am just about ready to end that hamster. Grr. I say 420 with 3500 ITAs. Also, the sky is red and the earth is a rectangle.

Fav quote here

 

[aniket2789]

Is there a possibility of draw this week as it is the last working week of the year.