Ray of Hope - 44th Draw

[Wolverine17]

Thanks Fatani for enlightening us...

My very conservative and cautious worst scenario guess:

For October 5th draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 481-483 with 1,300-1,500 ITAs.
For October 19th draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 480-481 with ~1,500 ITAs.
For November 2nd draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 478-480 with ~1,600-1,650 ITAs (there has never been a draw with more than this number of ITAs before).

After that, things can return to normal (read: pre-May 2016 scenario). A total of 4,500 ITAs may be issued in these 3 coming draws according to this speculation, thus clearing out the build-up of candidates with a score of 481 and above. InshAllah.

According to what you are saying there is no hope for anyone under 480

 

[thestunner316]

According to what you are saying there is no hope for anyone under 480

thats only for the next 3 draws, if number of ITAs are high, consistently... then scores will drop - no question about it.

 

[DamhaSirah]

According to what you are saying there is no hope for anyone under 480

For next 1-3 draws that is...

 

[Pinga]

Guess it would be ~1400 ITA's with cutoff as 481/482

 

[Wolverine17]

For next 1-3 draws that is...

Do you it will decrease after

 

[Wolverine17]

How many hours till the next draw?

 

[Swapniru]

hey Guys

Do not know, where I am. Initially Opened Express entry profile in May 2015 to have 442 points. But cut-off never came down below 450.

Birthday brought down 5 points, but at the same time, both, applicant and spouse Canadian experience fetched more points to reach 465. Profile expired in May 2016 with no invitation yet. Re-created profile in May 2016 with 465 points. Birthday brought down points to 460 in Sept.

There is not much scope for CELPIP to improve scores.

More than 2 years in Canada on work permit, still awaiting Invitation. Ontario PNP is not open. Am I doing anything wrong. Getting frustrated.

Any suggestions ?

 

[Wolverine17]

hey Guys

Do not know, where I am. Initially Opened Express entry profile in May 2015 to have 442 points. But cut-off never came down below 450.

Birthday brought down 5 points, but at the same time, both, applicant and spouse Canadian experience fetched more points to reach 465. Profile expired in May 2016 with no invitation yet. Re-created profile in May 2016 with 465 points. Birthday brought down points to 460 in Sept.

There is not much scope for CELPIP to improve scores.

More than 2 years in Canada on work permit, still awaiting Invitation. Ontario PNP is not open. Am I doing anything wrong. Getting frustrated.

Any suggestions ?

Be patient ,scores will drope hopefully

 

[Swapniru]

Thanks for your reply Wolverine17.

I have been patient since last 1 and half year. At one point of time my score was 465 and cut-off was 467, only to know next draw shoot up to 480+ and never came down.

Fine with having patience as far as I am on right way. Just want to make sure I am not sitting idly.

 

[Wolverine17]

Thanks for your reply Wolverine17.

I have been patient since last 1 and half year. At one point of time my score was 465 and cut-off was 467, only to know next draw shoot up to 480+ and never came down.

Fine with having patience as far as I am on right way. Just want to make sure I am not sitting idly.

Hopefully scores will drop sooner or later at least thats what i believe,if there is any chance to improve your ielts score i would defintely recommend doing that ,learning french is another more difficult option that you might consider as well.

 

[Chiptole]

Hopefully scores will drop sooner or later at least thats what i believe,if there is any chance to improve your ielts score i would defintely recommend doing that ,learning french is another more difficult option that you might consider as well.

Fetching points for french is extremely tough if you are not native or living in a french based environment.

Hang on buddy...you hv waited so long.... May the upcoming draws be kind to you.

 

[binjoy]

Thanks for your reply Wolverine17.

I have been patient since last 1 and half year. At one point of time my score was 465 and cut-off was 467, only to know next draw shoot up to 480+ and never came down.

Fine with having patience as far as I am on right way. Just want to make sure I am not sitting idly.

Hi Swapniru, I would be lying if I said I totally understand your frustration. Having said that, I have almost lost hope in the system. I have been waiting in the pool for only a month and a half and its already getting on my nerves. The system is unfair in many ways. No "fall changes" have come so far. People above 30 keep losing points. And that shows to say they don't want experienced professionals. Anyway, lets wait for tomorrow's draw. Good luck to you and me :'(

 

[volodyalysak]

Just bunch of speculation here, are there any of you who has real data of how many EE entrants above 480 sitting in the pool ? NO, so stop predicting scores out of the blue. Wait and hopefully get ITA, thats all what i can say.

 

[DamhaSirah]

So the day is finally here which we had been waiting for since last 2 weeks...

Btw, any idea when the mid-year report is going to be released by CIC?

 

[Chiptole]

Just bunch of speculation here, are there any of you who has real data of how many EE entrants above 480 sitting in the pool ? NO, so stop predicting scores out of the blue. Wait and hopefully get ITA, thats all what i can say.

This thread is entirely based on speculation. No one here is claiming to be accurate. So sit back and enjoy the prediction game.