Ray of Hope - 44th Draw

[fatani]

Don't worry, I guess only about 500 people will be stuck at 481... It is true that 250 people get added to the pool in every draw with high scores, but that high score can be anything (475-483), not necessarily 481 alone...

I think if this is true that 2000 people are on 481 and let suppose they issue 2000 ITA but as the draws has not gone below 481 there will be lots of these type of single scores where there will 1500-2000 people like on 470 or 475 or even more than 1.5-2k people because its been ages that the scores has fallen below that range. So suppose if they clear 481 today and suppose the next number is 475 where for example 3-3.5k waiting in line and the cut off falls to 476 in coming 3-4 draws and then there will be only 700-800 people on or above 476 so how they can draw 4k people at once. As per my suggestion to clear these scores there should be a system. Like first comes first so for example they have decided that they have to draw 1500 people today and only 1000 are on or above 482 so they should show 482 1000 invites 481* 500 invites so they should draw 500 on the basis of who were the first 500 to get registered on 481 in terms of date and time. I think this is the only proper and fair way to clear the backlog of thousands of people on one single digit score.

* means selective people

 

[TrackIT]

I'm very curious just like every other member on this forum, when can be the draw out ?
I guess the regular time has passed already!

 

[thestunner316]

I am sitting and waiting idle at 463, i just hope CRS comes down as everyone is predicting, just hope we all get in no matter whichever source quotes it.

you should keep your eyes open for OINP, if and when it opens in november

 

[sanha#1]

I'm very curious just like every other member on this forum, when can be the draw out ?
I guess the regular time has passed already!

Its declared at 12:00 UTC

 

[rubinderjit]

I think if this is true that 2000 people are on 481 and let suppose they issue 2000 ITA but as the draws has not gone below 481 there will be lots of these type of single scores where there will 1500-2000 people like on 470 or 475 or even more than 1.5-2k people because its been ages that the scores has fallen below that range. So suppose if they clear 481 today and suppose the next number is 475 where for example 3-3.5k waiting in line and the cut off falls to 476 in coming 3-4 draws and then there will be only 700-800 people on or above 476 so how they can draw 4k people at once. As per my suggestion to clear these scores there should be a system. Like first comes first so for example they have decided that they have to draw 1500 people today and only 1000 are on or above 482 so they should show 482 1000 invites 481* 500 invites so they should draw 500 on the basis of who were the first 500 to get registered on 481 in terms of date and time. I think this is the only proper and fair way to clear the backlog of thousands of people on one single digit score.

* means selective people

If there are 1500 -2000 people on CRS of 481, then following also has be true:
- No. of people with scores of 471-480: ~25000
- No. of people with scores of 461-460: ~35000
- No. of people with scores of 451-460: ~45000

Now how plausible is that? Be realistic guys....

If you look at year end report of 2015 there were only 13537 candidates in the range of 400-449 although cutoff never went below 450. And if you look at the breakup of 400-449 you will realise that as CRS scores move higher, no. of people in that range fall.
440 - 449 2,486
430 - 439 2,842
420 - 429 2,185
410 - 419 2,899
400 - 409 3,125

If the buildup of entire year was 13537 in range of 400-449, how much do you think will be the buildup for 3-4 months in range of 450-480? And how many at 481? BIG QUESTION, ISN'T IT?

 

[Monashkhan]

When will be the draw results announced?

 

[sanha#1]

When will be the draw results announced?

The trend has been..12:00 UTC

 

[Sluffy]

If there are 1500 -2000 people on CRS of 481, then following also has be true:
- No. of people with scores of 471-480: ~25000
- No. of people with scores of 461-460: ~35000
- No. of people with scores of 451-460: ~45000

Why?

If you look at year end report of 2015 there were only 13537 candidates in the range of 400-449 although cutoff never went below 450. And if you look at the breakup of 400-449 you will realise that as CRS scores move higher, no. of people in that range fall.
440 - 449 2,486
430 - 439 2,842
420 - 429 2,185
410 - 419 2,899
400 - 409 3,125

If the buildup of entire year was 13537 in range of 400-449, how much do you think will be the buildup for 3-4 months in range of 450-480? And how many at 481? BIG QUESTION, ISN'T IT?

On the day of report Jan3. 2016 there were 1613 people with the range 450-499

The previous round was on December 22 with CRS 460 and 1503 ITAs
The pre-previous was on December 4 was CRS 461 and 1451 ITAs

Around 1500 came between 2 draws with the score 460+

So 1500 ITAs for 460+ or 450+ sometimes
1000 ITAs for 470+
750 ITAs for 482+

So in 11 draws

2750 with the score 470-481

5500 with the score 460-469

Sorry

So the typical draw last year was

500 with the score 450-470
250 with the score 470-481
750 with the score 482+

 

[Pawshi]

But the reason for limited draw of last year and this year (so far) is because of the backlog prior to express entry. That is what many forums are saying. So two streams - express entry and prior to express entry were eating the space of economic immigration.

As that backlog will be erased in next few months, the draw size should get bigger as only express entry would only be the way to get in. Yes, there may be additional points given for siblings, or other stuffs...but draw size should get bigger and bigger.

 

[prads_s]

draw any minute.

 

[DamhaSirah]

Draw at any moment...

 

[Canada2425]

draw any minute.

Still an hour to go as per the trend!

 

[Priyank11]

Where can i find the scores for todays draw??

 

[thourb]

Still an hour to go as per the trend!

Nope. Time now is 12:10 UTC. Last couple of draws have been right around now.

 

[Canada2425]

Where can i find the scores for todays draw??

http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/mi/index.asp?expand=mi-pr-express#mi-pr-express