Shouldn’t all those 471 pointers have been cleared in the last December’s round? Sorry if I’m being annoying, I’m a bit new to all this. I’m currently at 471 myself. So close but still seems so far.
Ray of Hope - 136th Draw
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Reasons probably why the tie-breaker was May 9 2019:
- There was a huge influx of students going to Canada 2014 onwards. These have now graduated and obtained Post Study Work Permits. Their Canadian education and work experience are fetching higher points to add to CRS. Even if they had created a profile last year, completing an additional year of work in Canada could have fetched then an additional 25 points on their CRS.
- The number of PNPs issued last year has been higher than the year before. These applicants have started to get points awarded towards their CRS recently.
- More awareness of the Canadian Immigration system amongst the educated and skilled youth have increased the inflow 450+
If you compare the table published today vs the one published on Jan 8 2020, you will see that the number of applicants in pool between the score of 400 -450 has dropped. The highest probability relates to point 1 and point 2 explained above.
Based on these reasons it is possible that the trend may continue.
I do not intend to demotivate anyone and I really wish that the CRS cut- offs drops in the coming draws.
It’ll be great and I wish there’s a draw next week. But I don’t think there’ll be one.
Based on the pattern of the last years, there ought to be a draw on Jan. 29th.
That’s just a general assumption which you’ve mentioned in other pages quite a few times, which is perfectly understandable. But I’m still a bit curious about the cut off date being back in May...
I believe the cut-off is the date you create your EE file rather than the date you reach the score. So maybe some guys created their files back in May and managed to increase their scores to 471 during the next months so they got picked before those who just entered the pool.
Completely agree. If you have drawn out a better analysis or have an expert opinion from someone, feel free to share with us. Thanks
To all that I know of IRCC comes up with an additional draw when it’s least expected and likewise they skip a draw or come up with an FST draw which is as good as skipping a draw. Thus I’m not expecting this one right now. While I really wish a B2B draw happens next week. I just don’t want to keep my hopes high and then feel disheartened.
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I understand your fear.
I lost out yesterday because of tie breaker but I am hopeful that the next draw comes down by at least one point
I understand your fear.
I lost out yesterday because of tie breaker but I am hopeful that the next draw comes down by at least one point
No you have to try again in 2025
yes. can't wait!! hoping by mid-end of april
AOR on 22jan 2020.... Wouldn't count on Final decision in april/may already