Ray of Hope - 136th Draw

[XSY_ghostlike]

If next draw is on Jan29, cutline will be precisely 468. (You guys knows the reason: There are ~1600 people at 468, but only ~600 people at 469)
If next draw is on Feb5, cutline will be 470.

(Assuming ITA count stays 3400)

 

[zee90999]

hello guys , first thing i hope that we wouldnt have a draw netx week , why because , 3 draws in january will affect february draw so in next month we will have only 1 draw and i hope no because if you see the history of draw it is after that one draw in february that score is increased , now i am sitting on 455 i konw i have no hope and even those at 465 same as me , we re forgetting one importatnt element that score between 450-471 have at least 1500 per score so even with a b2b score wont drop a lot all you have to do is to find a way to increase your score and this isnt easy good luck to everyone

1500 per score doesn’t look true to me. Could you share how you’ve drawn that analysis?

 

[zee90999]

If next draw is on Jan29, cutline will be precisely 468. (You guys knows the reason: There are ~1600 people at 468, but only ~600 people at 469)
If next draw is on Feb5, cutline will be 470.

(Assuming ITA count stays 3400)

Could you tell me if I have any chance in the next 2 - 3 draws and when with a score of 470 and EE profile created on 3rd Jan 2020

 

[XSY_ghostlike]

I am shocked to see people saying "Historically B2B drops points by 5, so next B2B gonna do the same".

Please think like this: How many people per score it was back then? How many it is now?

 

[zee90999]

I would say 75%.

Thanks.

My chances were just the same in the last draw.

I hope there are larger draws and have more people get through.

 

[zee90999]

I am shocked to see people saying "Historically B2B drops points by 5, so next B2B gonna do the same".

Please think like this: How many people per score it was back then? How many it is now?

I agree with you. I believe if there is a draw next week, it would probably be 467 / 468. Unfortunately and most likely if this doesn’t happen then the cut-off may be 469 with a draw at its regular interval.

 

[YiHello]

I chat a person with 490 CRS. The guys got ITAs twice in this Jan but he all rejects ITAs.And waits next draw. What is the points!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Waste others opportunities.

 

[Melchett]

I do not mean to paint a negative picture of Australia's migration. However, if I were thinking of migrating here permanently it would be good to hear what is actually happening on the ground. When I just got here, things weren't so bad. Although the process was a bit expensive, there was still hope because the points needed weren't so difficult to get. I'm just giving a perspective from the ground, based on the policy changes that happened in November and what seems to be the policy direction of the current government.

I do apologize, I thought your post was about Canada. I don't have personal experience with immigrating to Australia, but I do know their economy has been doing exceptionally well. At the same time, there seems to still be a lot of racism in the country from what I've heard, in addition to them cutting down on immigration and introducing lots of restrictions for prospective immigrants.

 

[LittleRain]

Could you tell me if I have any chance in the next 2 - 3 draws and when with a score of 470 and EE profile created on 3rd Jan 2020

I don't understand why you are worried with a 470. You will get ITA for sure...

 

[XSY_ghostlike]

I chat a person with 490 CRS. The guys got ITAs twice in this Jan but he all rejects ITAs.And waits next draw. What is the FUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I did the same. I got my crs increased before actually reaching 2 year canadian exp. I had to reject 2 ITAs and accepted Jan8 ITA. I was 490+.

I do not want to block other people but I really do not have other choices.

 

[YiHello]

I did the same. I got my crs increased before actually reaching 2 year canadian exp. I had to reject 2 ITAs and accepted Jan8 ITA. I was 490+

Then what is the point to get the ITAs. You just want to waste others opportunities? Anyone wants to write email to Canada Immigration together to reflect this kinds of situation?

 

[YiHello]

I did the same. I got my crs increased before actually reaching 2 year canadian exp. I had to reject 2 ITAs and accepted Jan8 ITA. I was 490+.

I do not want to block other people but I really do not have other choices.

You can update you real work experience instead of fake information.

 

[XSY_ghostlike]

You can update you real work experience instead of fake information.

I always used real information. Sometimes IRCC just grant points too early. It often happens in this forum.

 

[YiHello]

I always used real information. Sometimes IRCC just grant points too early. It often happens in this forum.

If there are some bugs in IRCC system, definitely we should let them know.

 

[NvzooTor]

If there are some bugs in IRCC system, definitely we should let them know.

System calculates only months, not days. I had to decline 2 (two) ITAs cause of that approach. Started to work on May 7, got my first and second ITA in April. Some people have to decline even 3 ITAs. Simply. No. Field. For. Days. Period.