Ray of Hope - 135th Draw

[SirManDudeGuy]

In your flow chart, health check slots in between ITA and sending of application. Meaning your doc visit has to be completed before submitting your application.

Thank you!

 

[arjun09]

If your score is higher than 460, there is high hope in 2020. Don’t stress. Be patient and you will hear some good news. Meanwhile consider some PNP options.

What you mean by considering PNP options? I am already in pool with 461. Do I have to apply for provinces?

 

[Mikem86]

Hey guys,

I literally submitted my application 2 hours before the draw, with the overall score of 474, which is higher than the lowest invited. My account says I am already a candidate; wondering if there is any more step I should do so as to get my application into the pool for real?

Hello everyone,
Update re my message above: Just checked my profile; I've received an invitation to apply. .

 

[Mikem86]

If your profile was fully submitted before the draw, you will get the invite. If not, you won't get invite this time but are in the pool now

Thanks! Just checked, and can confirm that I received it!

 

[Mikem86]

Hi there, can you please let us know if you do get an ITA. I may be in a similar position for the Jan 22 draw, where I could end up submitting the day of.

Hey,
Just checked my profile. I received an invitation to apply. So, my understanding is that so long as you submit before the draw, you'll be in.

 

[Hats2316]

Add me at 452

 

[joy857]

Guys I have question off context.
When I try to sign in sometimes I fall into an endless loop. Once I click continue I get forwarded to the immigration front page. I go to sign in again and once I sign I get forwarded to the front page .... Sometimes I delete cookies it works. Today it doesn't want to work. Any ideas how to avoid being forwarded to the wrong page?

Another option is to erase your history and cookies. This happened to me too and I erased my history for that browser and it worked fine. Hope it helps.

 

[iehsanali]

Hi does anyone know when the next AINP draw will be held? it was last held on 5th December 2019.

 

[Ilyushin76]

Add me at 452

Start looking for other options.

 

[Hats2316]

Plzz help .. can i change my noc after submitting my file?

 

[canadianboi7919]

Plzz help .. can i change my noc after submitting my file?

No

 

[zee90999]

Hope that happens! Do you think the cut-off will remain between 470-480 or go further down possibly to 468-469?

It takes a lot to get a 480. Even if your below 30 having a masters with proficient English communication...

It is highly unlikely that there will be a draw on 1/15/2020.
But if it happens, the cutline will be 467-468.

Keep in mind： the 460-468 (~600 people/score currently) has much much higher headcount density compared to 469-473 (~160 people/score currently).

how would you know that much of detail

 

[zee90999]

What you mean by considering PNP options? I am already in pool with 461. Do I have to apply for provinces?

Yes, you need to make applications to the provinces your NOC qualifies for...

 

[13nitinsharma]

Hello house. Cannot find many previous users. I think they have lost interest in this immigration scene.
Also @13nitinsharma, what's your status now? Haven't heard anything, or have I missed the good news?

I'm here only my friend. My application is currently in process, I'll share the good news as soon as I get it

What's your current status? Any progress with your application?

 

[tony87]

The next cutline will be 472-473 on Jan 22nd.
The calculation is about the same as my previous post:
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/ray-of-hope-134th-draw.669700/page-8

Just to be more intuitive, let me introduce an idiot-proof way to predict the score:

Assuming the draw interval is constant 14 days, and flow-in rate is constant:
When ITA count is 3600, the equilibrium score is 471.
When ITA count is 3450, the equilibrium score is 472.
When ITA count is 3300, the equilibrium score is 473.

e.g, When the draw count stays at 3600, the score will keep going up/down until it reaches 471, and it will stays 471 after that.

I will recalibrate the equilibrium score after each draw, for continous accuracy.

Then there'll be FST draws and four-week gaps between regular draws, and all hell will break loose again like what happened in 2019.