The next cutline will be 472-473 on Jan 22nd.
The calculation is about the same as my previous post:
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/ray-of-hope-134th-draw.669700/page-8
Just to be more intuitive, let me introduce an idiot-proof way to predict the score:
Assuming the draw interval is
constant 14 days, and
flow-in rate is constant:
When ITA count is 3600, the equilibrium score is 471.
When ITA count is 3450, the equilibrium score is 472.
When ITA count is 3300, the equilibrium score is 473.
e.g, When the draw count stays at 3600, the score will keep going up/down until it reaches 471, and it will stays 471 after that.
I will recalibrate the equilibrium score after each draw, for continous accuracy.[/
what if they make a draw next week? what is your prediction for score ? because they made 3 draws in jan 2019 and 2017 i guess.