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Ray of Hope - 129th Draw

kimat

Star Member
Apr 16, 2010
78
38
how is this a set back?
Because PNP adds 600 points to those selected. So they are the ones who will have the highest CRS scores in the pool and they will be the ones cleared in the next few draws, making others wait while the cutoff keeps creeping upwards.
 

Thmsrhn

Full Member
Oct 23, 2019
29
3
Dear @Jasmine1998 ,below is my estimation calculation of CRS cut off for 30th October draw:

After 2nd October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and cut off 464, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -839)
451-600 =6,810(9,871-3061)

441-450= 8,739


Note: As cut off was 464, it means that the 6,810 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-464 only. Let's assume that 6,810 are distributed equally to 451-464 score range. Thus, it makes 6,810/14= 486 profiles per score.

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 11, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200=509
451-600=9,632
441-450=8,833


It means in 9 days from Oct 2nd to Oct 11th, there where:
601-1,200 = 57 profile/day (509/9days)

451-600 = 314 prof/day (9,632-6,810 = 2,822/9days)

441-450 = 10 prof/day(8,833-8,739= 94/9days)


So, by 30th October, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=1,592(509+1083(57x19days)
451-600=15,598(9,632+5,966(314x19d)
441-450= 9,023(8,833+190(10x19days))


Suppose that from the newly added 8,788 (2,822+5,966) profile from 2nd Oct to 30th Oct, it will be distributed equally to (451 - 481 to 600) as seen in the internal tracker. Thus,it will make 8,788/31=283profile/score.


With 3,900 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 473-475
3,900 minus:
-1,592(601-1200)
-283 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-283 (of 480 newly added score)
-283 (of 479 newly added score)
-283 (of 478 newly added score)
-283 (of 477 newly added score)
-283 (of 476 newly added score)
-283 (of 475 newly added score)
-283 (of 474 newly added score)
-44 (of 283 of 473 newly added score)
I think you got to adjust this calculation keeping in mind that nearly 2000 candidates got
 

smash1984

Champion Member
Oct 7, 2018
2,084
850
Thanks for your input,
Some monthlys the closing balance is about $8000. Is that accepted?
I think you should be ok if your average of 6 months comes around 16000. However, it shouldn't be like 8000, 8000, 8000, 8000, 8000, 56000

Such a trend would seem suspicious.
 

AJ1208

Member
Oct 2, 2019
13
5
Hoping cic surprises us with draw by double the numbers i.e 3900*2 on the occasion of winning the elections or may be Diwali bonus:p

Happy Diwali everyone!! Cheers!
 
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ripul

Hero Member
Jan 29, 2019
384
192
Thanks for your input,
Some monthlys the closing balance is about $8000. Is that accepted?
As long as your source of funds are justified, it would be fine. But from where did you get rest of the $8k
 
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dgnbach

Star Member
Oct 21, 2019
97
46
Hey guys, this might be not related but do I need to get gift deed notarized? or simply my parents's signature is enough? I'm currently in Canada and I can't go with my parents to the notary place to get the gift deed notarized...
 

Ilyushin76

Hero Member
Mar 24, 2019
485
190
Hey guys, this might be not related but do I need to get gift deed notarized? or simply my parents's signature is enough? I'm currently in Canada and I can't go with my parents to the notary place to get the gift deed notarized...
Notarized documents hold legal value.
 

Sabeen99

Hero Member
Jun 14, 2018
337
51
Hey guys, this might be not related but do I need to get gift deed notarized? or simply my parents's signature is enough? I'm currently in Canada and I can't go with my parents to the notary place to get the gift deed notarized...
It doesn't need to be notarized. But make sure you submit additional proof, i.e. bank statement, cheque.
 

Dheana90

Hero Member
Apr 8, 2019
588
719
India
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
6332
I think you got to adjust this calculation keeping in mind that nearly 2000 candidates got
I think you meant to say "2000 ITA from SINP",dear?

ITA is not a nomination. ITA is only a notification of interest from Saskatchewan to selected individuals who have submitted EOI to Saskatchewan province for provincial sponsorship. Nomination will be awarded only after those selected candidates apply for nomination to Saskatchewan province. The processing will take time atleast 60days and I don't all think that all the 2000 candidates who got ITA from SINP will be submitting their applications at the same time and will be approved at the same time either. It's case-by-case basis. Some applications might take longer processing time than others and vice versa. So, those ITA issued by SINP has no impact on the calculation of CRS cut off score for the expected 30th October draw, dear...because the actual nominations for those who received ITA from SINP on 21st and 24th October will be most likely be approved by the end of December atleast.
 
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robin6869

Hero Member
Jul 31, 2017
278
252
I think you meant to say "2000 ITA from SINP",dear?

ITA is not a nomination. ITA is only a notification of interest from Saskatchewan to selected individuals who have submitted EOI to Saskatchewan province for provincial sponsorship. Nomination will be awarded only after those selected candidates apply for nomination to Saskatchewan province. The processing will take time atleast 60days and I don't all think that all the 2000 candidates who got ITA from SINP will be submitting their applications at the same time and will be approved at the same time either. It's case-by-case basis. Some applications might take longer processing time than others and vice versa. So, those ITA issued by SINP has no impact on the calculation of CRS cut off score for the expected 30th October draw, dear...because the actual nominations for those who received ITA from SINP on 21st and 24th October will be most likely be approved by the end of December atleast.
So those getting 1000 in december will ruin even B2B draw. Whats wrong with them. If they need people in other provinces, shut down EE just have pnp and rural programs,