Thats not how this works. The draws will continue because the government does not stop. Neither does it work like it does in the US where the president personally selects huge number of department heads
Ray of Hope - 129th Draw
- Thread starter NikSharma01
- Start date
Thats not how this works. The draws will continue because the government does not stop. Neither does it work like it does in the US where the president personally selects huge number of department heads
So you expect almost a 4 week gap? Nah. There will be a draw next Wednesday
CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS
CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA (updated on Oct 16, 2019 11:15 am UTC):-
CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA (updated on Oct 16, 2019 11:15 am UTC):-
- 460+ (Total 15): | veritas1994: 1049 | yemjim: 1045 | Dingusitis: 476 | stepass: 474 | vinegarandsalt: 473 | EricD: 471 | mudjawd: 468 | Ca_karan: 464 | Woqi114: 463 | roadtofreedom: 463 | PinalThakkar: 462 | Leftarmover: 461 | ntachi: 461 | AJ1208: 461 | shergill12: 461|
- 455-460 (Total 74) – | PrynkP: 460 | Ankoorva: 460 | DivyaS: 460 | Bahariesmoon88: 460 | Wanttoleavenow: 460 | Manish Patel: 459 | patel_d07: 459 | SolwayFirth: 459 | Sarunmoz: 459 | vishnusk1995: 459 | anukaran: 459 | awley: 459 | Sunsunny: 458 | ahsanshahbaz: 458 | fperk_83 : 458 | Milanarora: 457 | sahils123: 457 | Hope457: 457 | vinoth388: 457 | y996: 457 | cromaine: 457 | Twindream: 457 | Thumper : 457 | ArijitRoy: 457 | Limitless: 457 | Sapan1086: 457 | SG1507: 457 | ankitpanchal: 457 | Ankitg88: 457 | Manishprasher: 457 | Angel1113: 456 | cino86: 456 | Gsaggy: 456 | PrasadK: 456 | Silverwitch: 456 | tharibak: 456 | Hk07: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Ishakharub: 456 | blessedveev: 456 | Maya53: 456 | Mitya-kun:456 | Captain789: 456 | Eqbal: 456 | Jay2019: 456 | Priyanka2010: 456 | Indian dentist1: 456 | daksh1803: 456 | Mustafa Ghias: 456 | nklrwt: 456 | VKA: 456 | scarlettN: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | merlz: 455 | Manish Patel: 455 | Dream Come-True: 455 | Harsha009: 455 | ruha: 455 | dreamcanada0224: 455 | Khushi dhanoa: 455 | greenshma_aju: 455 | aagosh6188: 455 | cdddelhi: 455 | Daksh1: 455 | Dr Seun: 455 | Hannan Khan: 455 |
- 454-450 (Total 61) - nadal87: 454 | johnlennonsouza: 454 | abdulkhadar.moh: 454 | chirag171987: 454 | Mspa: 454 | SASH8288: 454 | thatguy1: 454 | snehamary007: 454 | ArsheyaBegum: 454 | itas: 454 | aun_syed: 454 | TD0911: 454 | MMUNEEBA: 454 | Jasmine172: 454 | strawy96: 453 | Aigbemare: 453 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | guyshir: 453 | lignumvitae: 453 | jp3189n : 453 | Jak2019: 453 | faith_works: 453 | Medhansh: 453 | Lizzybenzo: 453 | Canadaball: 453 | Sunrok: 453 | Tivativalu: 452 | daughty: 452 | Suhasrs: 452 | masha27o: 452 | Jatinder_singh: 452 | delga: 452 | hmhk202: 452 | drrakeshdent: 452 | Artk: 452 | Catnat: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | captainUT: 451 | Sharath957: 451 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450 | JamesKang: 450 | AtitudeAdjustment: 450 | deepika450: 450 | tanveer041: 450 |
- 445-449 (Total 62) - Div_newbie:449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | Nikhil Pal: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | Rohitbnaik: 449 | os32: 449 | Vibuthi: 449 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | adil_0262: 448 | Shanky1202: 448 | Aartavsharma: 448 | tonyzz: 448 | a.altigani: 448 | matteis:447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | CananEE123: 446 | Islander5548: 446 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | siataheri:445 | IeltsDream2019: 445 |
- 441-444 (Total 37)- Shaanoh: 444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | nns14: 444 | theafjioman: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443 | CanucksRajiv : 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | akhil994: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441 | vanibhoopathy: 441 |
- 435-440 (Total 17) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | prince_lords: 439 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 | Hemilshah80: 435
- Below 435 (Total 8) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | Kleverveld: 428 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | rajapanesar: 422 | Sdabas: 421 |
Last edited:
After seeing the pool distribution, the good news is the flow of PNP slowed down a bit compared to the previous interval. My calculation is that the next cut-off will be:
465 (if next draw is Oct 23)
470 (if next draw is Oct 30)
All numbers above are based on 3900 ITA per draw, and equal distribution of newly added profiles between 450s/460s/470-600 intervals
My detailed calculation:
https://onedrive.live.com/?authkey=!AIZPsbVDi3g_DPw&cid=8E69E61DB486B3E2&id=8E69E61DB486B3E2!5713&parId=8E69E61DB486B3E2!2622&action=locate
465 (if next draw is Oct 23)
470 (if next draw is Oct 30)
All numbers above are based on 3900 ITA per draw, and equal distribution of newly added profiles between 450s/460s/470-600 intervals
My detailed calculation:
https://onedrive.live.com/?authkey=!AIZPsbVDi3g_DPw&cid=8E69E61DB486B3E2&id=8E69E61DB486B3E2!5713&parId=8E69E61DB486B3E2!2622&action=locate
I'm new here and new to this as I entered the pool 2 weeks ago .. my score is 475, I know its above average but I am very worried it will jump higher than it due to the Federal Skilled trade today! Do you guys think it is highly possible cut off score to be 475 or higher by next draw?
And personally I am hoping they will be another draw next Wed and we won't have to wait till the end of this month.
Good luck everyone ... blessings to all.
And personally I am hoping they will be another draw next Wed and we won't have to wait till the end of this month.
Good luck everyone ... blessings to all.
After seeing the pool distribution, the good news is the flow of PNP slowed down a bit compared to the previous interval. My calculation is that the next cut-off will be:
465 (if next draw is Oct 23)
470 (if next draw is Oct 30)
All numbers above are based on 3900 ITA per draw, and equal distribution of newly added profiles between 450s/460s/470-600 intervals
My detailed calculation:
https://onedrive.live.com/?authkey=!AIZPsbVDi3g_DPw&cid=8E69E61DB486B3E2&id=8E69E61DB486B3E2!5713&parId=8E69E61DB486B3E2!2622&action=locate
Any hopes for CRS 460 by December as per your excel sheet?
On a rough calculation there were 280+ profiles of 451-600 entering the pool everyday in the past fortnight and as I remembered it has been this way for a couple of months. So every fortnight there are 4000+ new profiles with 451-600 score, plus PNPs (fluctuated figures), but only 3600-3900 will be taken out. I guess this means anything under 451 is completely hopeless unless the inflow starts to go down. So currently 440s must fight another way out such as PNPs, spouse not accompanying, etc.... Wish we have more detailed pool distribution data such as 451-460, 461-470 and so on.
That s awesome! Thanks for the scientific inputAfter seeing the pool distribution, the good news is the flow of PNP slowed down a bit compared to the previous interval. My calculation is that the next cut-off will be:
465 (if next draw is Oct 23)
470 (if next draw is Oct 30)
All numbers above are based on 3900 ITA per draw, and equal distribution of newly added profiles between 450s/460s/470-600 intervals
My detailed calculation:
https://onedrive.live.com/?authkey=!AIZPsbVDi3g_DPw&cid=8E69E61DB486B3E2&id=8E69E61DB486B3E2!5713&parId=8E69E61DB486B3E2!2622&action=locate
My understanding is that to claim the job offer points, either you should have an LMIA or a letter from the company guaranteeing to keep you employed for a minimum of one year after getting PR approved
Sorry since my inflow rate needs to be adjusted according to the lastest pool distribution, so I can't tell about that. However, the inflow estimate for 460+ is 3200-3300 / 14days using the current rate of profile inflow. Therefore if 3900 ITA per draw continues, 460 is a hopeful score, as the accumulation on 460-465 will be "digested" as time goes by.