Ray of Hope - 126th Draw

[cino86]

We are on the same boat bro! Good luck to us!

In the same boat as well. Very hopeful by the end of this year.

 

[guyshir]

@facethereality and @navinball are presenting their views on the forms. They have their own rationale to state. If you think the points they present are spreading negativity and you are losing hope. I seriously question your hope, and even your belief to depend on someone's comments for seeking hope.

I, here at 453 score, creating profile as typing this, am 100% certain that I will be in Canada! If not soon, but definitely!

 

[EnthuChap]

I already provided my reasonable explanation ~ just stated the fact only, nothing negative

U should have also stated that despite the specified targets, 20% more ITAs were issued. U r trying your best to prove your irrelevance mate.

 

[Priyanka2010]

I have my Masters validated by WES as PG Diploma. Is there any other agency which will validate Indian Maters equivalent to Canadian Masters. ? Please suggest.

Try IQAS

 

[Not_Your_Donkey_Kong]

I struggle to understand @facethereality 's intention? What do you get in return by spreading negativity instead of hoping for good things to happen? Unless you provide reasonable explanation, it is my firm belief that there is a mental problem to be fixed.

Does that guy exist anymore? I just pushed ignore button on his profile, and I kinda forgot he existed. Lol

 

[arjenrobben_781]

Are you inland or outland?

Get three different letters with 3 different letterheads and companies name

Write a brief LOE to explain why they are the same contact and address

I'm outland mate, I appreciate for your reply thanks a lot

 

[arjenrobben_781]

Get whatever format your company uses. You can't do that much. Just accept the letters, and explain everything in your LoE.

Thank your very much mate for your help

 

[RAliyev]

Does that guy exist anymore? I just pushed ignore button on his profile, and I kinda forgot he existed. Lol

He becomes happy when crs score goes up and cannot tolerate decrease of the cut off as people start to succeed

 

[Not_Your_Donkey_Kong]

He becomes happy when crs score goes up and cannot tolerate decrease of the cut off as people start to succeed

He's freaking annoying.

I'm finding it so hard to comprehend as well. Like is he an enemy of progress and only loves when awful things happen? Get the hell off the thread if you only want to spread negative news and can't stand to see people succeed.

He is one of those guys who want to keep Canada to themselves. A hypocrite. I have shown him the mirror more than once, but when do fools learn.

 

[a16107]

Does that guy exist anymore? I just pushed ignore button on his profile, and I kinda forgot he existed. Lol

I copy what he said ~

"Dear Folks, score above 455 is extremely good score and please have some patience as there are people sitting at 440s and still hopeful. Dont panic there are a lot of good news around the corner and around 40K ITA yet be issued before year end so you will be picked without failure."


Don't spread any fake hope, the ITA target is only 81400 this year and 59800 already issued ~ which mean only 21600 ITA left this year (21600 / 3600 ITA = 6 draws left) I think they will conduct 1-2 more draw but that's it....no reason for b2b draw again and ita increase

They are 5100 ITA ahead compare to last year. As long as they meet the annual target of 81400, they are good to go and enjoy their Christmas break.

They can choose to invite more but not required.

 

[RAliyev]

LOL I am happy, their hard work is paid off. There were 3600 people with CRS 463+ invited last week and draw happen biweekly. I am happy for those CRS463 - 1200's talents and no idea why people like you are angry to me?

If your CRS didn't meet, you should work harder and no complaint here plz. (Not waiting fake hope and act like it is CIC fault)

You are not frank. Btw, you are not happy because of the fact that candidates with score over and above 463 succeeded. You are happy because those who are waiting at 450s temporarily cannot get ITA. But, your happiness will end very soon, InshAllah ! No one indeed needs your trivial reality in this thread

 

[Jets13]

It may seem to be reasonable for you, but not for those who hope to overcome ITA problems. So, I remain in my abovementioned belief. Good luck!

I have criticized @facethereality in a previous post, saying there was a proper way to educate people.

In this case though I agree with him and am on his side. A poster made a claim that 40k ITA are left and that "you will be picked without failure". If that is not true then that is seriously misleading people.

He provided facts and a reasonable explanation, in this one instance im with him...he was not being negative.

edit: if his numbers are incorrect then that is a different story.

 

[Jets13]

Like I do not understand the negativity as well. People need to keep their silly predictions to themselves, if cic wants to release a lower cut off they would, no one works with them and absolutely no one gets a say as to what happens in the nearest future. Guys keep your head up and do not let a stranger let you lose hope.

people come to these threads and specifically ask for their chances and ask for their "silly" predictions though.

 

[Jets13]

N

No one has the power to control what should and should not be asked on the thread. But if you know you are all about negativity it's not compulsory to respond. It's called ray of hope for a reason. Like dang. Good luck to everyone though.

But what is the point if everyone just came on and agreed and gave everyone hope in some cases when it is irrational.
Suppose I was at 425, and everyone was saying "keep it up don't worry keep hope! Don't worry!"
Id much rather have a person give me a dose of reality and say "listen you have no chance your score is not good enough you need to improve your score"

 

[Not_Your_Donkey_Kong]

Don't spread any fake hope, the ITA target is only 81400 this year and 59800 already issued ~ which mean only 21600 ITA left this year (21600 / 3600 ITA = 6 draws left) I think they will conduct 1-2 more draw but that's it....no reason for b2b draw again and ita increase

They are 5100 ITA ahead compare to last year. As long as they meet the annual target of 81400, they are good to go and enjoy their Christmas break.

They can choose to invite more but not required.

Okay. I just un-ignored you, because someone just talked about you posting a factual analysis.
Now let's get this clear. I didn't ignore you because I am a narrow minded person, rather because you do not know how to get your point across and because you often behave like a 'Schadenfreude' (someone who derives pleasure from the sufferings of other). And also because you are never up to a reasonable discussion.
But nevermind, let's get to the point, since you seem to be resorting to facts now.

Firstly, I do appreciate this analysis. It is well noted. The calculations are fine. But you seem to have made one huge mistake while considering the variables. You have mistakenly took the figure so mentioned in the annual target as the number of invitations to be handed out in an year. And that's why your analysis is flawed.
If you would check the heading of the data chart from where you borrowed this figure of 81400, you 'd realise that it talks about 'IMMIGRATION LEVELS' and not 'invitations to be issued'. Now I don't need to bring out definitions to explain to you the difference between immigration levels and invitations, right?

So tell me, how did you account for the leakages i.e the wasted ITAs? Since the target talks about 'immigration' and since a certain percentage of invitations are bound to be wasted, on account of incomplete applications, non acceptance of ITA, or refusals, tell us, how have you adjusted those against the annual target?

Secondly, you have deliberately focused only on the 'mid target' for 2019. You have chosen to ignore, that a figure of 86000 too exists on the higher end, and if CIC goes by that (which it may, given the fact that it issued 89000 ITAs against a target of 76000 in 2018), then it is somewhat behind its target.

Now I am not saying that the assumption that CIC will issue 90000+ invitations this year is bound to be correct, it may well be off, but your assumption that it may stick to 81400 only, is also not bound to be correct, and most certainly will not be (as explained in my two points above).

Anyway, kudos to you for bringing out an analysis. But next time you do, try to do it in an unbiased fashion and be open to corrections.

Regards.

P.S - You actually seem like a nice person, and I don't want to get into an unnecessary online feud. So why not cut the negativity and be a bit more understanding and helpful.