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Ray of Hope - 124th Draw

C

captainUT

Full Member
May 23, 2019
42
16
miucat said:
Feeling so hopeless...
My CRS is 455 and was stayed in the pool for 2 months+.
This was the stupidest decision of my life that I asked my spouse not doing anything for the score cause I though we had enough and tried to save some money. :((((
Now we need at least two months to get my spouse ECA result, and our work permit will expire on January.
I got 50 points with my current LMIA supported work permit, we are running out of time.

I have prepare some worst case plan:
1. Apply for LMIA again
2. Apply for main applicant only
3. Move to Ontario, get ONIP

I think I will go for 1 ASAP, then wait for the result hopefully in one month(Global talent stream), then If it was nagative LMIA we will go to 2 or 3.

During these period we will keep preparing English exam for both main applicant and spouse, also spouse ECA.

Any suggestions?
Click to expand...
Well I believe the best way is to go for OINP ASAP which will only take less than 2 months ( I just got it approved 2 weeks which only takes 1.5 months) and you will receive ITA 100% sure if you get approved. Dont try to save that 1500 dollars.

I am not sure whether your LMIA will be approved, just my point of view.
 
A

Angel1113

Hero Member
Jun 6, 2019
808
937
Ontario
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
4212
AOR Received.
24 June 2020
Med's Done....
05-06-2020
captainUT said:
Hi Angel1113,

Please update my score from 451 to 1021. My OINP was approved 2 weeks ago and I believe I should be received the ITA by the end of today or tomorrow.

Thanks
Click to expand...
No need you are out. By the way congratulations and good luck. :)
 
M

Milanarora

Full Member
Mar 16, 2019
38
35
Punitsingh said:
As u asked for rough idea, so here it is with minimum calculation:

As most of the 466 are cleared so I consider CRS as 465 which means in 19 days 3600 candidates having score > 465 were added

So if a draw happens after 9 days then how many 465+ would be added in 9 days as compared to 19 days= 3600/2 =1800

So remaining 1800 of ITA will be issued to candidates on 465 or below

Rough idea says 7 Candidates per positions per day get added.
So on each position from 460-465 there may be 7 x 28 = 196 candidates

So in bandwidth of 1800 how many positions will be cleared = 1800/196 = 9.18

Now 466-9 should not mean 457 because accumulation on 459 and below is much higher than 196

But I believe CRS should be around 459 if:
1. Draw happens on 21st Aug
2. New 600+ candidates added in 9 days should not be more than 500 ( as in 19 days they were 1000 approx)
Click to expand...
What do you think about the draw size? I think they will increase it to 3900 ITA's in September after FST draw.
 
E

enibeni23

Star Member
Jun 28, 2019
101
79
Midwest USA
NOC Code......
2121
facethereality said:
I vote for Aug 28

even in Aug 21,,,the CRS will be hard to recover due to this damage.

still remain 460
Click to expand...
Face reality ji... as your signature says...u have your permanent residency already... life's probably working out well for you ( I am happy for you). I have looked at your posts, you seem to be here to constantly discourage people. Perhaps your desire to be more realistic in expectations may be clouding your ability to be helpful for people in other ways. What's the point of saying obvious stuff (not disputing what you are saying) in a way which is very pessimistic. This attitude if it flows into your personal life will make life very mechanistic and very sad. I am concerned for you.
 
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J

JtJames

Newbie
Aug 12, 2019
1
0
Hi Everybody,

I have a question here. Can anyone who is married apply PR through CEC without her spouse?

This is my situation, on July 24, my wife got ITA with her CRS as 461 without spouse. But meanwhile, she has another files with the spouse as CRS score of 459.

Now her work permit is going to be expired. Can she just accept her ITA without spouse?

Thank you guys
 
P

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
Punitsingh said:
As u asked for rough idea, so here it is with minimum calculation:

As most of the 466 are cleared so I consider CRS as 465 which means in 19 days 3600 candidates having score > 465 were added

So if a draw happens after 9 days then how many 465+ would be added in 9 days as compared to 19 days= 3600/2 =1800

So remaining 1800 of ITA will be issued to candidates on 465 or below

Rough idea says 7 Candidates per positions per day get added.
So on each position from 460-465 there may be 7 x 28 = 196 candidates

So in bandwidth of 1800 how many positions will be cleared = 1800/196 = 9.18

Now 466-9 should not mean 457 because accumulation on 459 and below is much higher than 196

But I believe CRS should be around 459 if:
1. Draw happens on 21st Aug
2. New 600+ candidates added in 9 days should not be more than 500 ( as in 19 days they were 1000 approx)
Click to expand...
However I seriously doubt jus 500 PNP approval in next 9 days, actually no one knows, it’s a guess on basis of past 19 days
 
P

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
Midnight Blessing said:
Hi Bro, at first thanks for being very realistically logical in your deductions. You deserve a wow.

Lastly, about the pnp candidate's do you think most of the nominated candidates got noi in todays draw or majority are remained for the next draw? What can be the logical maximum for the 600+ score candidates for 21st?
Click to expand...
Majority of them still remaining
 
K

KiranD

Newbie
May 9, 2019
9
2
captainUT said:
Well I believe the best way is to go for OINP ASAP which will only take less than 2 months ( I just got it approved 2 weeks which only takes 1.5 months) and you will receive ITA 100% sure if you get approved. Dont try to save that 1500 dollars.

I am not sure whether your LMIA will be approved, just my point of view.
Click to expand...
I have a question..???
When your OINP application got approved..?? And does the approval depends on where you currently live ..like inside Ontario or Outside Ontario???
 
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