Ray of Hope - 124th Draw

[Punitsingh]

Ya, considering 19 days gap + approx 1000 candidates of 600+
It wasn’t a bad show

Moreover, most of 466 are clear, this draw is almost 465 despite below:
1. 5 days extra addition of 460+ candidates ( 5 x 185 = 925 extra candidates)
2. Approx 1000 candidates of 600+

So overall, great show

 

[strawy96]

What are your CRS predictions for a draw next week(if it happens)?

 

[jaibajrangbali]

How many draws are left for this year?

 

[Angel1113]

Please share your predictions for next draw. @NikSharma01 @Punitsingh @Dheana90 @Angel1113 @13nitinsharma

I know it is too early but even the rough idea will be appreciated. This might bring relief to all of us under 460.

462+/-1 if draw is conducted on August 21.

 

[Midnight Blessing]

Moreover, most of 466 are clear, this draw is almost 465 despite below:
1. 5 days extra addition of 460+ candidates ( 5 x 185 = 925 extra candidates)
2. Approx 1000 candidates of 600+

So overall, great show

If we see 21st August draw, it ll be the greatest positivity of the year that can deny a lots of heart attack, on the other hand a 28th draw ll mean end of Canada dream for 445-454 nontech people most probably.

 

[imusi]

462+/-1 if draw is conducted on August 21.

The earliest batch of July 12 OINP tech draw would have received their 600 pts by Aug 21. I am less optimistic than you.

 

[miucat]

Can ur spouse write IELTS ? She can give u up to 20points. I will be writing TEF by September to get to 480 plus

Both of us will try to get higher score by taking English test.

 

[Angel1113]

The earliest batch of July 12 OINP tech draw would have received their 600 pts by Aug 21. I am less optimistic than you.

Yuppp!! Very well aware of that. Here is the reason for my predictions:
- 9 day gap instead of 14
- last time score came down from 465 to 462 in June and the accumulation was from 4+ weeks this time it is only 19 days.
-last time the draw size was 3350 now it is 3600.
So inspite of high PNP candidates score will be 462+/-1

I am not saying I am 100% right but this is what my point of view is.

 

[jaibajrangbali]

My prediction for upcoming draws should be as follows:

Total of 10 draws for this year.

Aug 21st
Sep 4th
Sep 18th
Oct 2nd
Oct 16th
Oct 30th
Nov 13th
Nov 27th
Dec 11th
Dec 18th

Hope for the best cheers!!

 

[Punitsingh]

Please share your predictions for next draw. @NikSharma01 @Punitsingh @Dheana90 @Angel1113 @13nitinsharma

I know it is too early but even the rough idea will be appreciated. This might bring relief to all of us under 460.

As u asked for rough idea, so here it is with minimum calculation:

As most of the 466 are cleared so I consider CRS as 465 which means in 19 days 3600 candidates having score > 465 were added

So if a draw happens after 9 days then how many 465+ would be added in 9 days as compared to 19 days= 3600/2 =1800

So remaining 1800 of ITA will be issued to candidates on 465 or below

Rough idea says 7 Candidates per positions per day get added.
So on each position from 460-465 there may be 7 x 28 = 196 candidates

So in bandwidth of 1800 how many positions will be cleared = 1800/196 = 9.18

Now 466-9 should not mean 457 because accumulation on 459 and below is much higher than 196

But I believe CRS should be around 459 if:
1. Draw happens on 21st Aug
2. New 600+ candidates added in 9 days should not be more than 500 ( as in 19 days they were 1000 approx)

 

[Midnight Blessing]

As u asked for rough idea, so here it is with minimum calculation:

As most of the 466 are cleared so I consider CRS as 465 which means in 19 days 3600 candidates having score > 465 were added

So if a draw happens after 9 days then how many 465+ would be added in 9 days as compared to 19 days= 3600/2 =1800

So remaining 1800 of ITA will be issued to candidates on 465 or below

Rough idea says 7 Candidates per positions per day get added.
So on each position from 460-465 there may be 7 x 28 = 196 candidates

So in bandwidth of 1800 how many positions will be cleared = 1800/196 = 9.18

Now 466-9 should not mean 457 because accumulation on 459 and below is much higher than 196

But I believe CRS should be around 459 if:
1. Draw happens on 21st Aug
2. New 600+ candidates added in 9 days should not be more than 500 ( as in 19 days they were 1000 approx)

Hi Bro, at first thanks for being very realistically logical in your deductions. You deserve a wow.

Lastly, about the pnp candidate's do you think most of the nominated candidates got noi in todays draw or majority are remained for the next draw? What can be the logical maximum for the 600+ score candidates for 21st?

 

[Punitsingh]

Moreover, most of 466 are clear, this draw is almost 465 despite below:
1. 5 days extra addition of 460+ candidates ( 5 x 185 = 925 extra candidates)
2. Approx 1000 candidates of 600+

So overall, great show

So one thing is clear, if there wasn’t a 5 day delay, CRS would have fallen a little despite of approx 1000 , 600+ candidates

 

[Punitsingh]

The earliest batch of July 12 OINP tech draw would have received their 600 pts by Aug 21. I am less optimistic than you.

I think that batch has already started receiving 600 points and participated in today’s draw as there were 474 above 600 10 days ago on 2nd aug

 

[DEEP3694]

CRS 471,have not received a thing, and my work permit(pgwp) expires today...

I just received email about half hr ago. So have patience whoever had crs 466+

 

[captainUT]

CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS
CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA (updated on August 12):-

• 460+ (Total 03): | Harsha009: 463 | Sumedh: 462 | Rose1207: 460 |

• 455-460 (Total 61) – | nogachan301185: 459 | ExpressMan: 459 | Punit Singh: 459 | atuls: 459 | mehr_ibrahim: 459 | jaibajrangbali: 459 | imusi: 458 | Khanstan: 458 | Barinderpal: 458 | Kathy.m: 458 | SimAneja: 458 | hungta: 458 | MuibKhan: 458 | chirkut: 458 | Kenneth89: 458 | Herlo: 458 | vivi153: 458 | Dhaval Trivedi: 458 | jollystripes: 458 | jjk505: 458 | bhanu1986: 458 | Canucksrajiv: 458 | Milanarora: 457 | jamlabhai: 457 | #EEC: 457 | Priyasehgal22: 457 | sahils123: 457 | Hope457: 457 | diaju:457 | vinoth388: 457 | y996: 457 | cromaine: 457 | Twindream: 457 | yg96: 457 | cino86: 456 | Gsaggy: 456 | Teenz: 456 | PrasadK: 456 | Silverwitch: 456 | tharibak: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Angel1113: 456| missusd:456 | Akshay10: 456 | Ishakharub: 456 | blessedveev: 456 | Maya53: 456 | Mitya-kun:456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | yigitsk: 455 | merlz: 455 | Manish Patel: 455 | Dream Come-True: 455 | Harsha009: 455 | ruha: 455 | dreamcanada0224: 455 |

• 454-450 (Total 48) - nadal87: 454 | abdulkhadar.moh: 454 | chirag171987: 454 | SG1507: 454 | Mspa: 454 | SASH8288: 454 | thatguy1: 454 | ArsheyaBegum: 454 | itas: 454 | strawy96: 453 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | vivosvoco: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | guyshir: 453 | Tivativalu: 452 | daughty: 452 | Suhasrs: 452 | drrakeshdent: 452 | Catnat: 451 | Woqi114: 451 | cdddelhi: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | captainUT: 451 | tonydlaw24: 451 | Sharath957: 451 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | hakweye: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | mamuso: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450 | JamesKang: 450 | AtitudeAdjustment: 450 | deepika450: 450 |

• 445-449 (Total 62) - Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | dappy9: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | ssimmigration19: 449 | os32: 449 | patel_d07: 448 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | adil_0262: 448 | Shanky1202: 448 | Aartavsharma: 448 | ArsheyaBegum: 447 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | prince_lords:445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | IeltsDream2019: 445

• 441-444 (Total 40)- Shaanoh: 444 | NikSharma01:444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | nns14: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443| Lena32: 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | tani: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | tonyzz: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Mukeshprasada: 441 | akhil994: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | Sony K Koshy: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441

• 435-440 (Total 17) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 | Hemilshah80: 435

• Below 435 (Total 6) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421

Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list.

Hi Angel1113,

Please update my score from 451 to 1021. My OINP was approved 2 weeks ago and I believe I should be received the ITA by the end of today or tomorrow.

Thanks