Ray of Hope - 121st Draw

[Dheana90]

Hi Everyone,

Finally, my Ontario PNP file has been reached to final stage and will be approved anytime now. Hopefully, I'll get the nomination and 600 additional points before the next draw happens i.e., July 10.

Good luck to everyone, hope you all get your ITA's soon. Be positive, always

Congrats dear...Hope you get that 600points on you EE account soon.

 

[lazarus]

A steady inflow of EE applicants & steady outflow of ITA recipients is the need of the hour.
B2B draws will create an imbalance and thus scores are bound to go high. Also, longer the gap after any B2B draw, larger will be the number of applicants who create EE profiles after improving IELTS scores resulting in more wait times for lower score holders.

 

[Dheana90]

Thank you very much for the information.

No worries,dear

 

[asad_ali_awan]

Hi Guys,, as mentioned in AINP, one should have the validity of his profile to 90 days to avail the NOI from Albrta. The relationship of a blood relative as in my case would be an additional support to get NOI. Should I create a new profile as currently with the score of 445 I don't see much of hope in coming two to three draws may be more that score will reach this below? Although I am trying one more time to push the CRS closer to 450 in coming weeks. What should be done? should I revoke and resubmit the application? my NOC is 6231 which is not in demand nor in ineligible list. Also, in similar case for Ontario where new profiles are being picked.

 

[NikSharma01]

Hi everyone,

I apologize as this question has been asked several times. Based on the information available on this topic, I assume that in the next month, I will probably see my scores rise due to the express entry system allocating points for 3 yrs work experience a month early ( technically I should reach my whole 3-year mark on Sept 1st). It should propel my score from 450's to 470's. I anticipate that I will get an invitation to apply either in the draw on the 7th or 21st ( barring any extenuating circumstances or different draw patterns). With that in mind, I was hoping to get some information on whether I can accept the invitation next month. I have read through several threads in the forum which give conflicting information, some suggest that I reject the invitation, others suggest that I accept the invitation and wait until my three years is complete before I submit my application and inform CIC thru the cover letter about the issue.

I was hoping to get some clarification from someone who is experienced. At the current juncture, I do not have an ability to hire an immigration lawyer, therefore I was hoping to get some input from the fellow members. I would also appreciate if anyone can point to a resource where I can learn more about tackling my predicament.

your friend,
enibeni

Certainly, you can accept the invitation and submit your documents in September, because on 31st of August only you would be completing your 3 years benchmark! The EE-system calculates our work experience by the months only, not the dates!

So, no need to get confused mate. Just simply accept the invitation instantly in August. You're free to go anytime in September not before that, just bear that in your mind.

Note: you will be given 60 days period to submit the documents. So, yes waiting is acceptable.

 

[NikSharma01]

Hi Everyone,

Finally, my Ontario PNP file has been reached to final stage and will be approved anytime now. Hopefully, I'll get the nomination and 600 additional points before the next draw happens i.e., July 10.

Good luck to everyone, hope you all get your ITA's soon. Be positive, always

Oh that's a brilliant news! Heartiest congratulations mate..

 

[EnthuChap]

Hi Everyone,

Finally, my Ontario PNP file has been reached to final stage and will be approved anytime now. Hopefully, I'll get the nomination and 600 additional points before the next draw happens i.e., July 10.

Good luck to everyone, hope you all get your ITA's soon. Be positive, always

What a great news my friend. I wish the very best for you.

 

[NikSharma01]

There are two views to look at 1 week draw:

Logical/mathematical view:
There is no difference between (1week draw followed by 3 week draw ) and 2 biweekly draws as both way we are going to clear 6700 candidates by 24th July

Emotional view: everybody can have different opinions ,I respect that and hence, I have no comments

Moreover considering the ITA target to be achieved by cic, a one week draw might be followed by 2 week draws, nobody knows, cic has is very unpredictable

However one week draw solves the problem of 457-460 candidates temporarily if it happens today. Hence best solution is increase ITA size

So I am vouching for:
1. One week draw today
2. Increased ITA

Here, I completely disagree with your opinion mate.

Yes, logically there is no difference between 1-week draw and 3-weeks draws, as both would be covering 4 weeks in total. However, technically there is a great difference between these two.

Let's say 1-week draw happened and the cut-off will drop back in the range of 455-457. But! But!! But! Followed by the 3-weeks draw the cut-off will go back in the 465+ range.
The primary reason for this is the accumulation of applications over the period of 3-weeks into the pool. The Evidence is Feb 20th draw, because of which we've been suffering already.!

Technically the CRS is affected as below:

Case 1:
More the gap between the draws = High Cut-off
Less the gap between the draws = Low Cut-off

Case 2:
More the number of ITAs = Low Cut-off
Less the number of ITAs = High Cut-off

 

[Philips49]

Hi Everyone,

Finally, my Ontario PNP file has been reached to final stage and will be approved anytime now. Hopefully, I'll get the nomination and 600 additional points before the next draw happens i.e., July 10.

Good luck to everyone, hope you all get your ITA's soon. Be positive, always

Congrats pls how long does the process take for Ontario?

 

[13nitinsharma]

Congrats pls how long does the process take for Ontario?

It normally takes 30-60 days for the whole application to be processed.

Here are the application stages: Submission >> Assessment >> Decision in Progress >> Approved

 

[hove&B]

There are two views to look at 1 week draw:

Logical/mathematical view:
There is no difference between (1week draw followed by 3 week draw ) and 2 biweekly draws as both way we are going to clear 6700 candidates by 24th July

Emotional view: everybody can have different opinions ,I respect that and hence, I have no comments

Moreover considering the ITA target to be achieved by cic, a one week draw might be followed by 2 week draws, nobody knows, cic has is very unpredictable

However one week draw solves the problem of 457-460 candidates temporarily if it happens today. Hence best solution is increase ITA size

So I am vouching for:
1. One week draw today
2. Increased ITA

Your analysis and predictions have always been spot on but i will have to disagree with this.

Jan 30th ITA 3350 CRS 438
Feb 20th ITA 3350 CRS 457....your analysis above doesnt fit in

Like i have always been saying, the solution to the current situation is not B2B draw but increased ITA.

 

[hove&B]

Hi Everyone,

Finally, my Ontario PNP file has been reached to final stage and will be approved anytime now. Hopefully, I'll get the nomination and 600 additional points before the next draw happens i.e., July 10.

Good luck to everyone, hope you all get your ITA's soon. Be positive, always

Congratulations in advance.
Very well deserved.

 

[Punitsingh]

The precedent that we have is that CIC gives a 3 week gap after a back to back draw. A 3 week gap means CRS will shoot up and then we all wait for it to further drop back and this extends the wait of many applicants. It does a favour to those who get picked up but it sure leaves an after taste.

I would be happy if they can do a B2B draw without a three week gap later. It's July now and if CIC are to achieve their intake goals then we can only hope for positives and it shall be demonstrated soon by them.

Here, I completely disagree with your opinion mate.

Yes, logically there is no difference between 1-week draw and 3-weeks draws, as both would be covering 4 weeks in total. However, technically there is a great difference between these two.

Let's say 1-week draw happened and the cut-off will drop back in the range of 455-457. But! But!! But! Followed by the 3-weeks draw the cut-off will go back in the 465+ range.
The primary reason for this is the accumulation of applications over the period of 3-weeks into the pool. The Evidence is Feb 20th draw, because of which we've been suffering already.!

Technically the CRS is affected as below:

Case 1:
More the gap between the draws = High Cut-off
Less the gap between the draws = Low Cut-off

Case 2:
More the number of ITAs = Low Cut-off
Less the number of ITAs = High Cut-off

I completely agree that 3 week gap would take CRS to 465+

But, while looking at higher CRS ,We have to notice that accumulation of candidates from 455-460 would be drastically reduced from 84 days to 21 days due to clean up done by 1 week draw 21 days ago

In other words, one week draw will remove all accumulation since 1 May
So,
Case1:
1/3 week draw will have much higher CRS but with much lower accumulation of candidates from 455-460

Case:2
biweekly draw will have much lower CRS with much higher accumulation of candidates from 455-460

But both are just same thing considering the fact that in both scenarios(biweekly or 1/3 week), exactly equal no. Of candidates will be removed from pool in exactly same time duration

Hence both scenarios are just same , but CRS May look different

I mean to say that CRS score will look very different in both scenarios (biweekly or 1/3 week draw) but overall pool density will remain exactly same as in both scenarios equal no of candidates will be removed in equal duration

Case1:
Biweekly draw will show lower CRS but with higher Accumulation of candidates
Case2:
1/3 week draw will show higher CRS but wid much lower accumulation

But pool density remains exactly same in both cases

 

[Philips49]

Thank you

It normally takes 30-60 days for the whole application to be processed.

Here are the application stages: Submission >> Assessment >> Decision in Progress >> Approved

 

[Punitsingh]

Your analysis and predictions have always been spot on but i will have to disagree with this.

Jan 30th ITA 3350 CRS 438
Feb 20th ITA 3350 CRS 457....your analysis above doesnt fit in

Like i have always been saying, the solution to the current situation is not B2B draw but increased ITA.

I never said that CRS won’t increase after 3 week gap, it will definitely shoot up.

Only thing I am saying is that both type of draws will remove exactly same no of candidates till 24th July, hence total no. Of candidates in pool will remain same

Trust me, this analysis is also accurate, it is just complex to explain and understand