Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

[KMB2C2019]

Since draw #104 – November 14, 2018
ALL FSW draws were on wednesday, Most had 2 weeks gap, I think ONCE there was a 3 week gap and once there was only 1 week gap. So not going back too much into the past, if we look at RECENT history of draws, I think its safe to assume that draw will be today on the 22nd.

 

[#EEC]

Is there fix timing for draw or it can be at anytime of the day...

 

[mayjuly]

Is there fix timing for draw or it can be at anytime of the day...

Around noon UTC seems to be the most common time:

(These are draw times for all draws since Nov 8 2017)

 

[NikSharma01]

So finally, nerve-wrecking Wednesday is here again. Let's see what suprises its gonna bring for all of us. I'm looking forward to an increase in ITAs. Because generally after every FST draw, the increased ITAs have been witnessed in the following FSW draws!

The average time for draw is 5-9, but in previous few instances it was also seen the draws being held at 11pm.

 

[13nitinsharma]

(Updated till 11:30 AM IST today) CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA:

• 460+ (Total 6) - | Ali1122: 479 | indpnv: 473 | KayPi: 468 | ashwin863: 462 | ajangbar001: 461 | meet0708: 461

• 455-460 (Total 9) – ryeCatcher: 460 | MuibKhan: 458 | #EEC: 457 | sarak1812: 457 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Nsidhu: 455

• 450-454 (Total 23) - Folaroyal: 453 | madhav_91: 453 | Suhasrs: 452 | cdddelhi: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | 13nitinsharma: 450 | kalex123: 450 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | hakweye: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | DreamITA: 450 | mamuso: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450

• 445-449 (Total 51) - Shaanoh: 449 | Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | dappy9: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | patel_d07: 448 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | Tivativalu: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | Ranjitrip: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | LKRYA: 447 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | SASH8288: 446 | Sreedev83: 446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | prince_lords:445 | Uchyann: 445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | Yiss: 445 | IeltsDream2019: 445

• 441-444 (Total 32) - NikSharma01:444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | ravinder_singh:443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443| Eddiesol: 433 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | tani: 442 | MV18: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Mukeshprasada: 441 | akhil994: 441

• 435-440 (Total 14) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435

• Below 435 (Total 5) - Life79: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421

Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list.

PREDICTION FOR TODAY:
3,350 ITA's - Cut off : 457 +/- 1
3,500 ITA's - Cut off : 455 +/- 1
3,900 ITA's - Cut off : 453 +/- 1

 

[KMB2C2019]

No maintenance sign

Is that even a thing? Never followed the website too closely to see any maintenance notice.

 

[KMB2C2019]

I do some basic webdesign, and you dont need to give maintenance sign to update a website. you can play with the page in the backend without publishing it.

 

[Rajatsharma2304]

Alright guys, we all know that we're quiet shocked or not happy with today's Federal Skilled Trade draw but, at the end we've to digest this "odd draw" this time and move on with high hopes and chins up again!

Now, coming back to the prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There are 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another one week, there would be approx 200-220 applications which will be added to this range. That means, almost 2,200 invites will be eaten by this range in next week draw and we'll be left with 1,150 invites which will be distributed to applicants with 450 score. Moreover, now I can see they'll adding more invites to the current trend, that means, ITA's will be increased from 3,350 to 3,500/3900 now onwards. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 450/451
ITA's - 3,350/3,500
Tie Breaker Rule - Not sure.

Nitin - So, you are saying there would be 1,150 candidates with the score 450? My score is also 450 and filed the application on 6th May. Not sure if we will get it this time. All the best to you Bro.

 

[NikSharma01]

No maintenance sign

Maintenance is just an indication, which is still conjecture, so we cannot utterly rely on it. 99.9% draw is anticipated today onwards.

 

[prijijohn]

No maintenance sign

Whay is that so.. How come Maintenance comes in to picture.. if there is a maintenance notice there wont be a draw?

 

[mayjuly]

Whay is that so.. How come Maintenance comes in to picture.. if there is a maintenance notice there wont be a draw?

The last couple of draws (excluding the most recent FST draw) have been preceded by a maintenance notice the day before; there's no way to tell if the lack of a notice implies the lack of a draw as well, though.

 

[13nitinsharma]

No maintenance sign

Please don't stuck with maintenance notice again & again. Like I said earlier, Monday was holiday in Canada, then how can we expect CIC to post & schedule maintenance notice for Tuesday?

Anyways, draw will happen today even if this notice is not updated on the website. Good luck!

 

[pessacanada]

Good luck everyone in today's draw. Probably it will be 455 (+-1) with 3350 itas but want to see itas increased this time.

 

[EnthuChap]

Please don't stuck with maintenance notice again & again. Like I said earlier, Monday was holiday in Canada, then how can we expect CIC to post & schedule maintenance notice for Tuesday?

Anyways, draw will happen today even if this notice is not updated on the website. Good luck!

Furthermore, website is tested for a particular load and that's why they don't need to put it through a maintenance all the time. A back end tweaks do the job and not necessarily there will be a front end notice. Pls don't get stuck up to it guys!

 

[nitinkalra07]

My score is 449 and it got updated on 6-Feb. Waited for more than 3 months to get ITA and even the future wait is not known with this 3 weeks gap and one 3 week gap after 30th Jan, 2019.