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Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

KMB2C2019

Star Member
Jul 25, 2018
58
15
Since draw #104 – November 14, 2018
ALL FSW draws were on wednesday, Most had 2 weeks gap, I think ONCE there was a 3 week gap and once there was only 1 week gap. So not going back too much into the past, if we look at RECENT history of draws, I think its safe to assume that draw will be today on the 22nd.
 

NikSharma01

Champion Member
Jan 3, 2019
1,624
1,210
So finally, nerve-wrecking Wednesday is here again. Let's see what suprises its gonna bring for all of us. I'm looking forward to an increase in ITAs. Because generally after every FST draw, the increased ITAs have been witnessed in the following FSW draws!

The average time for draw is 5-9, but in previous few instances it was also seen the draws being held at 11pm.
 
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13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,163
Canada
(Updated till 11:30 AM IST today) CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA:
  • 460+ (Total 6) - | Ali1122: 479 | indpnv: 473 | KayPi: 468 | ashwin863: 462 | ajangbar001: 461 | meet0708: 461
  • 455-460 (Total 9) – ryeCatcher: 460 | MuibKhan: 458 | #EEC: 457 | sarak1812: 457 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Nsidhu: 455
  • 450-454 (Total 23) - Folaroyal: 453 | madhav_91: 453 | Suhasrs: 452 | cdddelhi: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | 13nitinsharma: 450 | kalex123: 450 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | hakweye: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | DreamITA: 450 | mamuso: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450
  • 445-449 (Total 51) - Shaanoh: 449 | Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | dappy9: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | patel_d07: 448 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | Tivativalu: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | Ranjitrip: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | LKRYA: 447 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | SASH8288: 446 | Sreedev83: 446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | prince_lords:445 | Uchyann: 445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | Yiss: 445 | IeltsDream2019: 445
  • 441-444 (Total 32) - NikSharma01:444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | ravinder_singh:443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443| Eddiesol: 433 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | tani: 442 | MV18: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Mukeshprasada: 441 | akhil994: 441
  • 435-440 (Total 14) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435
  • Below 435 (Total 5) - Life79: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421
Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list.

PREDICTION FOR TODAY:
3,350 ITA's - Cut off : 457 +/- 1
3,500 ITA's - Cut off : 455 +/- 1
3,900 ITA's - Cut off : 453 +/- 1
 
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KMB2C2019

Star Member
Jul 25, 2018
58
15
I do some basic webdesign, and you dont need to give maintenance sign to update a website. you can play with the page in the backend without publishing it.
 

Rajatsharma2304

Full Member
Aug 30, 2018
40
7
Alright guys, we all know that we're quiet shocked or not happy with today's Federal Skilled Trade draw but, at the end we've to digest this "odd draw" this time and move on with high hopes and chins up again!

Now, coming back to the prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There are 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another one week, there would be approx 200-220 applications which will be added to this range. That means, almost 2,200 invites will be eaten by this range in next week draw and we'll be left with 1,150 invites which will be distributed to applicants with 450 score. Moreover, now I can see they'll adding more invites to the current trend, that means, ITA's will be increased from 3,350 to 3,500/3900 now onwards. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 450/451
ITA's - 3,350/3,500
Tie Breaker Rule - Not sure.
Nitin - So, you are saying there would be 1,150 candidates with the score 450? My score is also 450 and filed the application on 6th May. Not sure if we will get it this time. All the best to you Bro.
 

mayjuly

Star Member
Apr 11, 2019
65
33
Whay is that so.. How come Maintenance comes in to picture.. if there is a maintenance notice there wont be a draw?
The last couple of draws (excluding the most recent FST draw) have been preceded by a maintenance notice the day before; there's no way to tell if the lack of a notice implies the lack of a draw as well, though.
 

13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,163
Canada
No maintenance sign
Please don't stuck with maintenance notice again & again. Like I said earlier, Monday was holiday in Canada, then how can we expect CIC to post & schedule maintenance notice for Tuesday?

Anyways, draw will happen today even if this notice is not updated on the website. Good luck!
 

pessacanada

Champion Member
May 5, 2017
1,190
3,099
Category........
FSW
Good luck everyone in today's draw. Probably it will be 455 (+-1) with 3350 itas but want to see itas increased this time.
 

EnthuChap

Hero Member
Jun 9, 2014
875
605
Toronto
Category........
PNP
Visa Office......
Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
0601
App. Filed.......
01-12-2019
Doc's Request.
22-01-2020
Nomination.....
26-11-2019
AOR Received.
01-12-2019
Med's Request
02-11-2019
Med's Done....
17-01-2020
Passport Req..
06-04-2021
LANDED..........
10-09-2021
Please don't stuck with maintenance notice again & again. Like I said earlier, Monday was holiday in Canada, then how can we expect CIC to post & schedule maintenance notice for Tuesday?

Anyways, draw will happen today even if this notice is not updated on the website. Good luck!
Furthermore, website is tested for a particular load and that's why they don't need to put it through a maintenance all the time. A back end tweaks do the job and not necessarily there will be a front end notice. Pls don't get stuck up to it guys!
 
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nitinkalra07

Member
Sep 21, 2018
14
1
My score is 449 and it got updated on 6-Feb. Waited for more than 3 months to get ITA and even the future wait is not known with this 3 weeks gap and one 3 week gap after 30th Jan, 2019.