Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

[prsingh]

Sir.. You may have received an EOI.. Go see your account

I checked and nothing's there...and I created my profile yesterday only....Sorry kinda new with EE stuff......
Where can I see the updates?I saw in Messages section. it shows one new message but there is no new message there.

 

[WantToImmigrate]

I checked and nothing's there...and I created my profile yesterday only....Sorry kinda new with EE stuff......
Where can I see the updates?I saw in Messages section. it shows one new message but there is no new message there.

Oh you created your profile yesterday.. Yea.. status of the application may have changed to submitted.. or something else.. What's your CRS score?

 

[SithLord]

HOLY BATMAN!! This just came out of nowhere

So most likely there could be a draw next week and the cut-off will probably be in mid 450s.

 

[a16107]

Oh usually how much up it goes?

450 is a new era for now

 

[prsingh]

Oh you created your profile yesterday.. Yea.. status of the application may have changed to submitted.. or something else.. What's your CRS score?

yeah may be.. its 449

 

[WantToImmigrate]

450 is a new era for now

 

[phuketlove]

456...
U think I have hope for the next draw?

 

[keyur sharma]

As I told you guys In May they usually do FST and PNP draws and again my prediction was right.

I am not happy for people who are at and above 450 .

 

[Anna_123]

Guys, a question,

Does the EE process slow down or stop during the summer holidays ? or does it continue just normally?

 

[SeniorStakes]

This is highly disappointing.

An initial analysis of the numbers suggests a speed of 250 for 451+ applications. This is the highest so far.

If a draw happens next week (most likely - 99.99 percent)

3350: Cut off will be 460 +/- 1
3500: Cut off will be 458 +/- 1
3900: Cut off will be 455 +/- 1

--- Folks below 450 should try to increase their score however possible.

--- Folks below 445 should pray for two back-to-back draws in the next two weeks and should also try to improve their CRS score.

 

[Nsidhu]

450 is a new era for now

Mine is 455 with spouse .. i hope there are some chances

 

[ArtJac218]

Alright guys, we all know that we're quiet shocked or not happy with today's Federal Skilled Trade draw but, at the end we've to digest this "odd draw" this time and move on with high hopes and chins up again!

Now, coming back to the prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There are 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another one week, there would be approx 200-220 applications which will be added to this range. That means, almost 2,200 invites will be eaten by this range in next week draw and we'll be left with 1,150 invites which will be distributed to applicants with 450 score. Moreover, now I can see they'll adding more invites to the current trend, that means, ITA's will be increased from 3,350 to 3,500/3900 now onwards. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 450/451
ITA's - 3,350/3,500
Tie Breaker Rule - Not sure.

@13nitinsharma ,


1985 cannot be the current no of candidates at 451 + right. If you see the score distribution, it is from a week back (May 10) and definitely there would be many people in who entered in these 5 days with 450+.

 

[Chavoshhh]

Guys, I dont wanna disrespect but why do you say that there will be an increase in the issue of ITAs in the rest of the year?

Currently, 31,750 candidates have been invited and, as far as I know, 81400 is the CIC's target. So, 81400 - 31750= 49650 ITAs are still available. (in an ideal situation = no rejected and/or fake profiles)

15 draws might still left
49650 / 15 = 3310 ITAs per draw

So I'm wondering if issuing 3350 ITAs per draw sounds normal! I dont find it sensible to increase the ITAs to 3900 per draws (I hope they do).

Please correct if im wrong.

Many thanks

 

[a16107]

456...
U think I have hope for the next draw?

i will say 60-70% ~ the last 3 weeks gap jump from 438 to 457

and we can't guarantee the draw is next week or next 2 weeks

 

[keyur sharma]

Next week prediction

CRS : Above 455
ITA: 3350 or they might increase up-to 3500

It looks like this year they will maintain CRS around 450.
There is no specific number is set for score but one of my senior (who is a big immigration Lawyer in GTA) told me that CRS for this year will be maintained at around 450