Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

[Nsidhu]

This is highly disappointing.

An initial analysis of the numbers suggests a speed of 250 for 451+ applications. This is the highest so far.

If a draw happens next week (most likely - 99.99 percent)

3350: Cut off will be 460 +/- 1
3500: Cut off will be 458 +/- 1
3900: Cut off will be 455 +/- 1

--- Folks below 450 should try to increase their score however possible.

--- Folks below 445 should pray for two back-to-back draws in the next two weeks and should also try to improve their CRS score.

455

 

[a16107]

Guys, I dont wanna disrespect but why do you say that there will be an increase in the issue of ITAs in the rest of the year?

Currently, 31,750 candidates have been invited and, as far as I know, 81400 is the CIC's target. So, 81400 - 31750= 49650 ITAs are still available. (in an ideal situation = no rejected and/or fake profiles)

15 draws might still left
49650 / 15 = 3310 ITAs per draw

So I'm wondering if issuing 3350 ITAs per draw sounds normal! I dont find it sensible to increase the ITAs to 3900 per draws (I hope they do).

Please correct if im wrong.

Many thanks

I do agree what you said but I don't want to say that in this moment ~

I think they may conduct few 3500 ITA draw to fulfill the fake/reject profile in year end but it doesn't really help much for lower the score

 

[Ali1122]

How can we be so certain that there would be a FSW draw in the next week? I mean last year they took around 14 days to Issue a normal draw after a FST draw. Worst case scenario people if there is a draw on the 29th of May what do You guys think the cut off would be?

 

[alfred0]

CIC's target is not for ITA numbers, it's for LANDED IMMIGRANTS/NEW PERMANENT RESIDENTS

 

[keyur sharma]

This is highly disappointing.

An initial analysis of the numbers suggests a speed of 250 for 451+ applications. This is the highest so far.

If a draw happens next week (most likely - 99.99 percent)

3350: Cut off will be 460 +/- 1
3500: Cut off will be 458 +/- 1
3900: Cut off will be 455 +/- 1

--- Folks below 450 should try to increase their score however possible.

--- Folks below 445 should pray for two back-to-back draws in the next two weeks and should also try to improve their CRS score.

I would say folks below 445 you have only 2 options.

Either go for PNP (If you ARE ELIGIBLE) or Forget it.

 

[Folaroyal]

Alright guys, we all know that we're quiet shocked or not happy with today's Federal Skilled Trade draw but, at the end we've to digest this "odd draw" this time and move on with high hopes and chins up again!

Now, coming back to the prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There are 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another one week, there would be approx 200-220 applications which will be added to this range. That means, almost 2,200 invites will be eaten by this range in next week draw and we'll be left with 1,150 invites which will be distributed to applicants with 450 score. Moreover, now I can see they'll adding more invites to the current trend, that means, ITA's will be increased from 3,350 to 3,500/3900 now onwards. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 450/451
ITA's - 3,350/3,500
Tie Breaker Rule - Not sure.

Yeah.. your analysis makes sense but me being generous, I'll say let's add 400-500 to the 451+ band because of the time accumulation.
My firm prediction....
If May 22, CRS - 450
If May 29, CRS - 451
Note: seeing over 3,000 in the 451+ band doesn't frequently happen.

 

[keyur sharma]

CIC's target is not for ITA numbers, it's for LANDED IMMIGRANTS/NEW PERMANENT RESIDENTS

True. And landed immigrants also includes Family’s sponsorships.

 

[anandthepilot]

Hi guys! I have a CRS of 441. I thought, considering last year draws, I could get an ITA... But reading messages I am currently loosing hope!

Do you know if anything changed between previous years and current one? Why is the CRA so high? Is there any reason?

And considering CRS 441, do you think I should forget about this for the current year?

Many thanks!

Even im at 441 with maxed out IELTS but dont loose hope. If you can increase score by taking any pg diploma course, do try.

 

[keyur sharma]

Even im at 441 with maxed out IELTS but dont loose hope. If you can increase score by taking any pg diploma course, do try.

Can you tell me one thing. If they take PG course score might increase but in other side they might loos points because of Age and also you don’t know what will be the score next year??

Last year score was in between 440and 450 this year it’s 450-455 . So next year it might go upto 460

 

[armaanwadhwa]

Hard to believe so many people piling up at 450 and above, unreal. It hardly reached 450 last year all year round. Any guesses if there could be a PNP for Ontario this month? At 447, thought it would be a cakewalk.

 

[keyur sharma]

Even im at 441 with maxed out IELTS but dont loose hope. If you can increase score by taking any pg diploma course, do try.

So what I suggest to people who are at 441 try for PNP.

 

[Chavoshhh]

CIC's target is not for ITA numbers, it's for LANDED IMMIGRANTS/NEW PERMANENT RESIDENTS

so how many ITAs do they roughly issue this year?

 

[keyur sharma]

so how many ITAs do they roughly issue this year?

Around 80000.

So out of 80000 you around 70000 applications will be approved . So landed immigrants will be 70000 PR(Via Express entry) around 10000-12000 Family sponsorship than there will be around 4000-5000 Refugees. And also don’t forget Spouse Immigration program.

 

[keyur sharma]

https://www.cicnews.com/2019/05/alberta-invites-3357-express-entry-candidates-with-crs-scores-as-low-as-300-to-apply-for-provincial-nomination-0512283.html#gs.c3s2sy

Once they get NOMINEES they will get 600 points.

 

[13nitinsharma]

Correction to my previous post. Prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There were 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score on May 10th who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another 10 days, there would be approx 200-220 applications on daily basis which will be added to this range (if draw happens next Wednesday). That means, almost 4,100 applicants above 451+ next week are ready. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 456/457
ITA's - 3,350