Ray of Hope - 112th Draw

[SeniorStakes]

Lol! Yes.

Hope your birthday is not around like it is for me!

 

[abhishek_89]

I kept the pool rate same. Do you expect it to slow down a bit?

I am using averages considering past 3 month data.

 

[SeniorStakes]

I am using averages considering past 3 month data.

There is a positive drift in the number if applications which the average doesn't account for. There is a gradual increase in the applications.

 

[Shaanoh]

Yes anything can happen really. I know people like to use their historical facts to form future predictions but nobody really knows what's going to happen until after it happens unless they work directly for IRCC. I've noticed that there are people in here quoting facts as if they're 100% sure when they're not and will only seek to justify or find a reason for the anomaly after it occurs because they had no clue it was coming. Nothing wrong with trying to make predictions as it's very helpful to some but I'm sticking with encouragement. If someone has a low score and there's something they can do to improve it, they should definitely tey their best to improve but in the mean time, some hope wouldn't hurt.

Ofcourse, After all it is the Ray of Hope thread.

Cheers
Shan

 

[13nitinsharma]

Hope your birthday is not around like it is for me!

It just passed in November, so I'm on the safer side buddy. Lol!

 

[Shaanoh]

Lol! A little humour is good in these frustrating times. Are you 30+?

Lol. That was a good one SS. I am at CRS 449. I have a feeling we both will get an ITA together. Indeed it is frustrating times. The b2b and 3 week goofed up our ITA in Previous draw. If sanity had prevailed with two week draws in Last two rounds, CRS would have been around 443/445. Having said that the penultimate draw had ensured lot of ppl with 430 got picked. Happy for them. Hope our turns comes soon.

Cheers
Shan

 

[kalex123]

I had received ITA in jan but declined it due some error in my application
now i have all the docs but I am waiting for ITA
BTW my score is 450

 

[SithLord]

What are the chances of a draw happening tomorrow (27th Feb)? If there is a draw tomorrow, then what would be the cut-off score?

I'm not sure there will be back to back draws again because of the huge backlogs but CIC always surprises us

 

[SithLord]

I had received ITA in jan but declined it due some error in my application
now i have all the docs but I am waiting for ITA
BTW my score is 450

450 is a good score

 

[NikSharma01]

I'm not sure there will be back to back draws again because of the huge backlogs but CIC always surprises us

I wish the draw to be out today onwards that is on 27th February, otherwise the next day. I would have received the ITA and applied by now, if there was no delay by WES in providing the ECA report to me. It's so frustrating!

 

[BumbleFrisbee]

Does no one believe it could come down to 438 any time soon?

 

[NikSharma01]

Does no one believe it could come down to 438 any time soon?

It can! If there will be back to back draws with consistent gaps, obviously 1 or 2 weeks is sufficient, not the 3 weeks indeed. If it would be like that, then CRS can bee seen back in 430s.

 

[Satyanarayana Arnepalli]

I am expecting that the worst is yet to come because of these two reasons:

1. Last year, CRS cut off peaked in March, not February.

2. When the score moved back from 456 to 446, it was a 12 day draw, not 14 day.

At this point, there is a backlog of 2000 450+ candidates. Also, a lot of people are suddenly applying for Canada PR.

I don't think the cut-off will go below 455 in near future.

I totally disagree with 455 in near future. Its very unlikely.... I think that it would be in the range of 443 -452 for the next couple of months.

 

[Satyanarayana Arnepalli]

It can! If there will be back to back draws with consistent gaps, obviously 1 or 2 weeks is sufficient, not the 3 weeks indeed. If it would be like that, then CRS can bee seen back in 430s.

I am sorry to say that , please forgot about 430 in near future for the next 3-4 months or more...

 

[SithLord]

I wish the draw to be out today onwards that is on 27th February, otherwise the next day. I would have received the ITA and applied by now, if there was no delay by WES in providing the ECA report to me. It's so frustrating!

What is your score?

Because of the number of backlogs its very hard to predict. Back to back draws is only going to add more pressure on them