Ray of Hope - 104th draw

[Grizz]

They might postpone the draw because of the French proficiency glitch?

Or they might drop the cut off to 400 as an apology?

 

[Kaya.94]

My prediction for everyone under 440 (especially including myself!!)

 

[g90]

Now where the hell this French proficiency glitch comes from?

Is there going to be a draw today or not? If it is then CRS cutoff can go high because of this glitch. And if it is not, even then the score cutoff is going to rise because of the number of days passing in between draws.
Scary indeed.....

 

[FormaggioVolante]

the draws that the happened the latest in the day were around 16:30 UTC, which means we still have about 3 hours left within their established window

 

[senthilkumarank]

Sure there will be a draw in sometime
But afraid that there may be a PNP specific draw today (as it happened in the last two years).
Hope it should be wrong today.

Spread positivity guys. Waiting eagerly with others for today's draw

 

[Abhiancha]

the draws that the happened the latest in the day were around 16:30 UTC, which means we still have about 3 hours left within their established window

i just did a small check due to my anxiety issues , Around 80% of the draws happened between 11 AM UTC and 2 PM UTC this year

 

[Abhiancha]

Sure there will be a draw in sometime
But afraid that there may be a PNP specific draw today (as it happened in the last two years).
Hope it should be wrong today.

Spread positivity guys. Waiting eagerly with others for today's draw

I heard PNP quotas for this year are exhausted, isn't it true?

 

[Grizz]

Predictive analysis underway.

 

[dhruvinho]

Predictive analysis underway.

Cutoff will be whatever_your_score_is + 1

 

[keyur sharma]

If draw happeens tHan
CRS:-446-447
ITA:- 3900( there are chances of PNP draw)


1. they gave Nominees to all people (around 600) who’s file
Was under process in Ontario

2. Saskatoon gave nominees as well ( 4 of
My frendz got that’s why I know )

3. It’s been more than 15 days

4. They might only do PNP draw because they did same before in November.

5. A lot of people coming from USA with masters and USA experience with much better score in IELTS.

6. Inland International students because they get extra 15 points for Canadian education.

 

[abnzyr18]

Prediction 445-447

I think 444 should be the score considering 16 days gap after the last draw. I am at 441 though

 

[abhishek_89]

hey @abhishek_89

hope you are fine bro, If I tell you to share your rough analysis on the cutoff range in January draws, what will the score ranges possibly? Lets assume the draw size will be 3000-3500. What score will be safe according to you in the first half of 2019? thanks man

I am not sure why you are considering the draw size as 3000-3500, but if the draws happen with 2 week gaps, approx cut off would be:
3000 ITAs - CRS 451
3500 ITAs - CRS 445
4000 ITAs - CRS 441

 

[abhishek_89]

Even im thinking the same, but the optimist in me has the following logic
For the trend to continue like this, a high number of profiles with scores above 440+ are to be added in the last couple of weeks. There can always be a scenario where not that many profiles of such scores get added to the pool. Hoping that it is the case this time!

That optimism will disappear after following the draws for few months!

 

[hgunawa]

Anyone's score gone back to normal yet? Because I doubt they would conduct a draw without the glitch being solved in the system.

 

[abhishek_89]

Considering the next draw occurs on Nov 14th with 3900 ITAs, the cut off should be around 446-448 considering the recent pool intake trends.

CRS technical glitch is bad news, they may postpone today's draw or if the draw happens the cut off might be higher than expected.