Ray of Hope - 104th draw

[abhishek_89]

Based on these numbers can anyone predict the next CRS cut-off score ?

And as the draw is going to be after 16 days, can we expect the score to go up from 442 ?

Considering the next draw occurs on Nov 14th with 3900 ITAs, the cut off should be around 446-448 considering the recent pool intake trends.

 

[abhishek_89]

It hardly matters bro.even if the CRS is high this time Canada has high targets for immigrants till 2021. Even if you run away they will catch you and make you migrate!

Demand is high but so is the supply. The number of folks applying for Canada PR (entering the EE pool) is crazy high and looks to be increasing after every draw.

 

[abhishek_89]

It wont be according to me
Since the day i started prepping for Canada PR a mere 2 months ago, i have heard about countless people trying for the same among my work colleagues and among my college friends, i even heard that a lot of my sisters' friends who currently reside in US, who are facing issues with their work visa, are also doing the same.
Please dont take my post as a discouragement but im just trying to post the picture i got.
Although its a good news that CIC is targeting to immigrate more by 2021, the unfortunately demand is increasing at the same rate. My suggestion would be to keep pushing your score as much as you can.

Very well said. This is the reality.

 

[Midnight Blessing]

Considering the next draw occurs on Nov 14th with 3900 ITAs, the cut off should be around 446-448 considering the recent pool intake trends.

hey @abhishek_89

hope you are fine bro, If I tell you to share your rough analysis on the cutoff range in January draws, what will the score ranges possibly? Lets assume the draw size will be 3000-3500. What score will be safe according to you in the first half of 2019? thanks man

 

[samikdg]

hey @abhishek_89

hope you are fine bro, If I tell you to share your rough analysis on the cutoff range in January draws, what will the score ranges possibly? Lets assume the draw size will be 3000-3500. What score will be safe according to you in the first half of 2019? thanks man

Good to see an old member back after quite some time

 

[aspirant89]

Here is my analysis and it is a long shot. Unless all the new applicants are of CEC, the score cannot shoot up drastically based on this year's trend. New off shore english applicants will be maxed out at 441(under 30 and bachelor's) or more with a master's. But you have to factor in these applicants are on a company sponsored h1b visa. So they would have spent 4-5 years in their home country before moving to US. So chances are if they hold a master's degree from outside usa with an H1b. They would already be beyond 30 years of age and start losing age points.
Only two ways I can see points going up is due to a large number of CEC applicants and US or any Masters graduates.

 

[naten]

No .. they would sign letters which i can get notarized.. not on letter head...

Oh then notary is your best bet.

 

[Abhiancha]

Considering the next draw occurs on Nov 14th with 3900 ITAs, the cut off should be around 446-448 considering the recent pool intake trends.

Even im thinking the same, but the optimist in me has the following logic
For the trend to continue like this, a high number of profiles with scores above 440+ are to be added in the last couple of weeks. There can always be a scenario where not that many profiles of such scores get added to the pool. Hoping that it is the case this time!

 

[hgunawa]

No draw today it seems

 

[FormaggioVolante]

No draw today it seems

meh, it was extremely unlikely anyways. i will be holding my breath for tomorrow though, i can't help it

 

[Tech_girl123]

Oh then notary is your best bet.

any chances of rejection ?

 

[hgunawa]

meh, it was extremely unlikely anyways. i will be holding my breath for tomorrow though, i can't help it

Best of luck to both of us then

Yeah tomorrow has more of a probability... I was hoping they would have one today considering they had two back to back Monday draws earlier. Oh well.

 

[Abhiancha]

any chances of rejection ?

I would say very less. Explain the details in LOE, and also add the business card of the manager if he is okay with it. Which should be enough

 

[Cooldeepu1]

Best of luck to both of us then

Yeah tomorrow has more of a probability... I was hoping they would have one today considering they had two back to back Monday draws earlier. Oh well.

Have any members in the forum have any update on the possible draw that is likely to happen today?

 

[Immi@098]

Hello All!
Need your advice on a situation that I am in.
I received my ECA report today and updated my profile to get the extra points for my education.The CRS should have been 440 with this update.However, when I checked my score it showed 455.I saw an additional 15 points for French language skills.Now,I suppose this is a technical glitch,since I have not taken any French test.I tried to update my language section(IELTS) again to see if the CRS changes to correct score, but it doesnt' seem to work.How should I handle this? I do not want to create a new profile because I am afraid I will loose out on tie breaker!(which has happened twice this year)
If a draw happens today, I will get an ITA with the incorrect score.
Is there a way to make my crs reflect the correct score without creating a new profile?
Thanks in advance.