Alberta’s
Short-Term
Employment
Forecast
2015-2017
Overview
The Short-Term Employment Forecast (STEF)
provides a three-year overview of occupations
expected to be in-demand during that period. The
STEF results, along with other labour market
information, can help inform decisions to be made
by various stakeholders such as: the Government of
Alberta (GoA) in the design of effective labour
market policies and programs; employers and
industry in the development of strategic workforce
plans; educational institutions and training providers
in the design/development of programs that are
more responsive to labour market needs; and youth
or students in their education and career choices. It
also provides awareness to newcomers and
prospective immigrants on the employment outlook
in Alberta.
This 3-year forecast helps bridge the gap between
what is happening in the immediate future and in
the long term; the long term as indicated by the
government’s 10-year forecast, Alberta’s
Occupational Demand and Supply Outlook 2013-
2023. The long-term forecast examines which
occupations are expected to grow and by how much
the overall supply of labour will expand. The current
10-year outlook forecasts that Alberta will create
407,000 new jobs and that 311,000 people will join
the work force by 2023. In contrast, STEF only
examines the demand outlook for various
occupations in the next three years. As such, the
STEF does not estimate potential labour shortages;
rather, it examines which occupations are expected
to be in high, moderately high, medium or low
demand. This is the fifth consecutive year that the
GoA has released this short-term forecast.
The forecast reflects the GoA’s commitment to
supply relevant labour market information to
industry, professional organizations, institutions and
the general public. This also reflects the GoA’s
undertaking to improve available labour forecasts to
help inform the development of workforce
strategies, by both the public and private sectors,
that will help mitigate any occupational shortages.
The Alberta STEF 2015-2017 examines 467
occupations and ranks them into the following four
demand categories: High; Moderately High;
Medium; and Low. The first stage of the process
involves assessing the occupations based on number
of quantitative and qualitative indicators. Thresholds
for all indicators are calculated through a scientific
methodology; the more thresholds an occupation
meet, the more in-demand it is expected to be. The
second stage is the validation of the results obtained
from the first round using the most recent available
labour market information (such as layoffs under the
Section 137 of the Alberta Employment Standards,
number of EI beneficiaries, and jobs available) to
ensure optimal accuracy of results.
Objectives
To develop evidence-based methodology to
produce forecasts that will support shortterm
planning and development of program
strategies by the GoA and other
stakeholders.
To deliver objective, accurate, and reliable
information to help Albertans make
informed employment and career-related
decisions.
To identify occupations that will be in high
or low demand in the labour market in the
near future, and allow decision-makers to
take action to avert or ease potential
imbalances.
To ensure consistency in data utilization
and interpretation within the GoA.
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 2
Methodology
The STEF methodology is based on robust
assessment of a number of quantitative and
qualitative information such as:
Key labour market statistics from the
Labour Force Survey;
Labour market information from
administrative datasets of the Federal
government, the GoA and the private
sector;
Industry forecasts; and
Results of GoA’s Oil Sands Information,
Labour Market Analysis and Projection
(OILMAP) workforce projection.
The STEF analyzes seven variables for each
occupation: six quantitative and one qualitative
measure. The single qualitative indicator is a
summary of three pieces of information. Please see
the chart below:
There are 467 occupations titles identified at the 4-
digit level of the National Occupational Classification
(NOC 2006) for which information are available.
Information for all 467 occupations are collected,
organized, calculated, analyzed, and summarised.
Analysis and assessment of the 467 occupations
involves a 2-stage process. First, each occupation is
assessed against the threshold value for each of the
seven variables. Depending on the number of
thresholds met, an occupation is either ranked as
High Demand; Moderately High Demand; Medium
Demand; or Low Demand. Second, the initial results
are validated to ensure optimal accuracy. The
validation process involves the use of the following
information: occupations impacted by layoffs under
Section 137 of the Alberta Employment Standards
Code; and the most recent data on Employment
Insurance beneficiaries and jobs postings.
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 3
Results
The following is a summary of the results for the 467
occupations analyzed and assessed:
14 occupations are expected to be in high
demand in the next three years;
54 occupations are expected to be in
moderately high demand in the next three
years;
110 occupations are expected to be
medium demand;
289 occupations are to be in low demand in
the next three years.
The attached Appendix shows the 2015-2017 STEF
results. Please refer to the Glossary on page 18 for
definition of terms.
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 4
Appendix
Short-Term Employment Forecast
High Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
2173 C073 Software Engineers and Designers
2174 C074 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers
2234 C134 Construction Estimators
2281 C181 Computer Network Technicians
3233 D233 Licensed Practical Nurses
6211 G011 Retail Trade Supervisors
6212 G012 Food Service Supervisors
6216 G016 Other Service Supervisors
7215 H015 Contractors and Supervisors, Carpentry Trades
7244 H214 Electrical Power Line and Cable Workers
7283 H133 Tilesetters
7284 H134 Plasterers, Drywall Installers and Finishers, and Lathers
7292 H142 Glaziers
7321 H421 Automotive Service Technicians, Truck and Bus Mechanics and Mechanical Repairers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 5
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Moderately High Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
0016 A016 Senior Managers - Goods Production, Utilities, Transportation and Construction
0113 A113 Purchasing Managers
0211 A121 Engineering Managers
0213 A122 Computer and Information Systems Managers
0621 A211 Retail Trade Managers
0631 A221 Restaurant and Food Service Managers
0651 A361 Other Services Managers
0711 A371 Construction Managers
0721 A141 Facility Operation and Maintenance Managers
0811 A381 Primary Production Managers (except Agriculture)
0911 A391 Manufacturing Managers
1111 B011 Financial Auditors and Accountants
1122 B022 Professional Occupations in Business Services to Management
1215 B415 Supervisors, Recording, Distributing and Scheduling Occupations
1231 B111 Bookkeepers
2131 C031 Civil Engineers
2133 C033 Electrical and Electronics Engineers
2141 C041 Industrial and Manufacturing Engineers
2171 C071 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants
2231 C131 Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians
2232 C132 Mechanical Engineering Technologists and Technicians
2241 C141 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technologists and Technicians
2253 C153 Drafting Technologists and Technicians
2282 C182 User Support Technicians
3111 D011 Specialist Physicians
3152 D112 Registered Nurses
3235 D235 Other Technical Occupations in Therapy and Assessment
5124 F024 Professional Occupations in Public Relations and Communications
6214 G014 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Supervisors
6215 G015 Cleaning Supervisors
6221 G121 Technical Sales Specialists - Wholesale Trade
6242 G412 Cooks
6271 G911 Hairstylists and Barbers
6435 G715 Hotel Front Desk Clerks
7213 H013 Contractors and Supervisors, Pipefitting Trades
7216 H016 Contractors and Supervisors, Mechanic Trades
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 6
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Moderately High Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
7219 H019 Contractors and Supervisors, Other Construction Trades, Installers, Repairers and Servicers
7242 H212 Industrial Electricians
7245 H215 Telecommunications Line and Cable Workers
7246 H216 Telecommunications Installation and Repair Workers
7251 H111 Plumbers
7253 H113 Gas Fitters
7261 H321 Sheet Metal Workers
7271 H121 Carpenters
7272 H122 Cabinetmakers
7281 H131 Bricklayers
7291 H141 Roofers and Shinglers
7293 H143 Insulators
7312 H412 Heavy-Duty Equipment Mechanics
7313 H413 Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Mechanics
7413 H713 Taxi and Limousine Drivers and Chauffeurs
7443 H533 Automotive Mechanical Installers and Servicers
8253 I013 Farm Supervisors and Specialized Livestock Workers
8432 I022 Nursery and Greenhouse Workers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 7
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Medium Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
0013 A013 Senior Managers - Financial, Communications Carriers and Other Business Services
0112 A112 Human Resources Managers
0114 A114 Other Administrative Services Managers
0121 A301 Insurance, Real Estate and Financial Brokerage Managers
0131 A311 Telecommunication Carriers Managers
0132 A312 Postal and Courier Services Managers
0212 A123 Architecture and Science Managers
0313 A323 School Principals and Administrators of Elementary and Secondary Education
0411 A331 Government Managers in Health and Social Policy Development and Program Administration
0413 A333 Government Managers in Education Policy Development and Program Administration
0414 A334 Other Managers in Public Administration
0611 A131 Sales, Marketing and Advertising Managers
0632 A222 Accommodation Service Managers
0712 A372 Residential Home Builders and Renovators
0912 A392 Utilities Managers
1112 B012 Financial and Investment Analysts
1113 B013 Securities Agents, Investment Dealers and Brokers
1114 B014 Other Financial Officers
1121 B021 Specialists in Human Resources
1213 B413 Supervisors, Library, Correspondence and Related Information Clerks
1221 B311 Administrative Officers
1223 B313 Personnel and Recruitment Officers
1225 B315 Purchasing Agents and Officers
1411 B511 General Office Clerks
2113 C013 Geologists, Geochemists and Geophysicists
2132 C032 Mechanical Engineers
2134 C034 Chemical Engineers
2145 C045 Petroleum Engineers
2153 C053 Urban and Land Use Planners
2154 C054 Land Surveyors
2161 C061 Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries
2172 C072 Database Analysts and Data Administrators
2212 C112 Geological and Mineral Technologists and Technicians
2242 C142 Electronic Service Technicians (Household and Business Equipment)
2243 C143 Industrial Instrument Technicians and Mechanics
2244 C144 Aircraft Instrument, Electrical and Avionics Mechanics, Technicians and Inspectors
2254 C154 Land Survey Technologists and Technicians
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 8
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Medium Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
2261 C161 Non-Destructive Testers and Inspectors
3112 D012 General Practitioners and Family Physicians
3131 D031 Pharmacists
3142 D042 Physiotherapists
3211 D211 Medical Laboratory Technologists and Pathologists' Assistants
3413 D312 Nurse Aides, Orderlies and Patient Service Associates
4112 E012 Lawyers and Quebec Notaries
4153 E023 Family, Marriage and Other Related Counsellors
4212 E212 Community and Social Service Workers
4214 E217 Early Childhood Educators and Assistants
5122 F022 Editors
5133 F033 Musicians and Singers
5134 F034 Dancers
5221 F121 Photographers
5241 F141 Graphic Designers and Illustrators
5252 F152 Coaches
6213 G013 Executive Housekeepers
6231 G131 Insurance Agents and Brokers
6232 G132 Real Estate Agents and Salespersons
6411 G111 Sales Representatives - Wholesale Trade (Non-Technical)
6431 G711 Travel Counsellors
6453 G513 Food and Beverage Servers
6651 G631 Security Guards and Related Occupations
6682 G982 Ironing, Pressing and Finishing Occupations
7211 H011 Supervisors, Machinists and Related Occupations
7212 H012 Contractors and Supervisors, Electrical Trades and Telecommunications Occupations
7214 H014 Contractors and Supervisors, Metal Forming, Shaping and Erecting Trades
7217 H017 Contractors and Supervisors, Heavy Construction Equipment Crews
7222 H022 Supervisors, Motor Transport and Other Ground Transit Operators
7231 H311 Machinists and Machining and Tooling Inspectors
7241 H211 Electricians (except Industrial and Power System)
7243 H213 Power System Electricians
7247 H217 Cable Television Service and Maintenance Technicians
7252 H112 Steamfitters, Pipefitters and Sprinkler System Installers
7262 H322 Boilermakers
7263 H323 Structural Metal and Platework Fabricators and Fitters
7264 H324 Ironworkers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 9
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Medium Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
7265 H326 Welders and Related Machine Operators
7282 H132 Concrete Finishers
7294 H144 Painters and Decorators
7295 H145 Floor Covering Installers
7311 H411 Construction Millwrights and Industrial Mechanics (except Textile)
7334 H434 Motorcycle and Other Related Mechanics
7335 H435 Other Small Engine and Equipment Mechanics
7351 H221 Stationary Engineers and Auxiliary Equipment Operators
7371 H621 Crane Operators
7372 H622 Drillers and Blasters - Surface Mining, Quarrying and Construction
7411 H711 Truck Drivers
7412 H712 Bus Drivers and Subway Operators and Other Transit Operators
7414 H714 Delivery and Courier Service Drivers
7431 H731 Railway Yard Workers
7452 H812 Material Handlers
7611 H821 Construction Trades Helpers and Labourers
7622 H832 Railway and Motor Transport Labourers
8221 I121 Supervisors, Mining and Quarrying
8222 I122 Supervisors, Oil and Gas Drilling and Service
8232 I132 Oil and Gas Well Drillers, Servicers, Testers and Related Workers
8252 I012 Agricultural and Related Service Contractors and Managers
8255 I015 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Contractors and Managers
8431 I021 General Farm Workers
8612 I212 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Labourers
9212 J012 Supervisors, Petroleum, Gas and Chemical Processing and Utilities
9213 J013 Supervisors, Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing
9451 J161 Sewing Machine Operators
9462 J172 Industrial Butchers and Meat Cutters, Poultry Preparers and Related Workers
9493 J223 Other Wood Products Assemblers and Inspectors
9494 J224 Furniture Finishers and Refinishers
9496 J226 Painters and Coaters – Industrial
9497 J227 Plating, Metal Spraying and Related Operators
9498 J228 Other Assemblers and Inspectors
9612 J312 Labourers in Metal Fabrication
9613 J313 Labourers in Chemical Products Processing and Utilities
9617 J317 Labourers in Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 10
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
0011 A011 Legislators
0012 A012 Senior Government Managers and Officials
0014 A014
Senior Managers - Health, Education, Social and Community Services and Membership
Organizations
0015 A015 Senior Managers - Trade, Broadcasting and Other Services, n.e.c.
0111 A111 Financial Managers
0122 A302 Banking, Credit and Other Investment Managers
0123 A303 Other Business Services Managers
0311 A321 Managers in Health Care
0312 A322 Administrators - Post-Secondary Education and Vocational Training
0314 A324 Managers in Social, Community and Correctional Services
0412 A332 Government Managers - Economic Analysis, Policy Development and Program Administration
0511 A341 Library, Archive, Museum and Art Gallery Managers
0512 A342 Managers - Publishing, Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and Performing Arts
0513 A343 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program and Service Directors
0641 A351 Commissioned Police Officers
0642 A352 Fire Chiefs and Senior Firefighting Officers
0713 A373 Transportation Managers
1211 B411 Supervisors, General Office and Administrative Support Clerks
1212 B412 Supervisors, Finance and Insurance Clerks
1214 B414 Supervisors, Mail and Message Distribution Occupations
1222 B312 Executive Assistants
1224 B314 Property Administrators
1226 B316 Conference and Event Planners
1227 B317 Court Officers and Justices of the Peace
1228 B318 Immigration, Employment Insurance and Revenue Officers
1232 B112 Loan Officers
1233 B113 Insurance Adjusters and Claims Examiners
1234 B114 Insurance Underwriters
1235 B115 Assessors, Valuators and Appraisers
1236 B116 Customs, Ship and Other Brokers
1241 B211 Secretaries (except Legal and Medical)
1242 B212 Legal Secretaries
1243 B213 Medical Secretaries
1244 B214 Court Recorders and Medical Transcriptionists
1413 B513 Records Management and Filing Clerks
1414 B514 Receptionists and Switchboard Operators
1422 B522 Data Entry Clerks
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 11
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
1423 B523 Desktop Publishing Operators and Related Occupations
1431 B531 Accounting and Related Clerks
1432 B532 Payroll Clerks
1433 B533 Customer Service Representatives – Financial Services
1434 B534 Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Clerks
1435 B535 Collectors
1441 B541 Administrative Clerks
1442 B542 Personnel Clerks
1443 B543 Court Clerks
1451 B551 Library Clerks
1452 B552 Correspondence, Publication and Related Clerks
1453 B553 Customer Service, Information and Related Clerks
1454 B554 Survey Interviewers and Statistical Clerks
1461 B561 Mail, Postal and Related Clerks
1462 B562 Letter Carriers
1463 B563 Couriers, Messengers and Door-to-Door Distributors
1471 B571 Shippers and Receivers
1472 B572 Storekeepers and Parts Clerks
1473 B573 Production Clerks
1474 B574 Purchasing and Inventory Clerks
1475 B575 Dispatchers and Radio Operators
1476 B576 Transportation Route and Crew Schedulers
2112 C012 Chemists
2115 C015 Other Professional Occupations in Physical Sciences
2121 C021 Biologists and Related Scientists
2122 C022 Forestry Professionals
2123 C023 Agricultural Representatives, Consultants and Specialists
2142 C042 Metallurgical and Materials Engineers
2143 C043 Mining Engineers
2144 C044 Geological Engineers
2146 C046 Aerospace Engineers
2147 C047 Computer Engineers (Except Software Engineers and Designers)
2148 C048 Other Professional Engineers, n.e.c.
2151 C051 Architects
2175 C075 Web Designers and Developers
2211 C111 Chemical Technologists and Technicians
2221 C121 Biological Technologists and Technicians
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 12
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
2222 C122 Agricultural and Fish Products Inspectors
2223 C123 Forestry Technologists and Technicians
2224 C124 Conservation and Fishery Officers
2225 C125 Landscape and Horticultural Technicians and Specialists
2233 C133 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians
2251 C151 Architectural Technologists and Technicians
2252 C152 Industrial Designers
2255 C155 Mapping and Related Technologists and Technicians
2262 C162 Engineering Inspectors and Regulatory Officers
2263 C163 Inspectors in Public and Environmental Health and Occupational Health and Safety
2264 C164 Construction Inspectors
2271 C171 Air Pilots, Flight Engineers and Flying Instructors
2272 C172 Air Traffic Control and Related Occupations
2275 C175 Railway Traffic Controllers and Marine Traffic Regulators
2283 C183 Systems Testing Technicians
3113 D013 Dentists
3114 D014 Veterinarians
3121 D021 Optometrists
3122 D022 Chiropractors
3123 D023 Other Professional Occupations in Health Diagnosing and Treating
3132 D032 Dietitians and Nutritionists
3141 D041 Audiologists and Speech-Language Pathologists
3143 D043 Occupational Therapists
3144 D044 Other Professional Occupations in Therapy and Assessment
3151 D111 Head Nurses and Supervisors
3212 D212 Medical Laboratory Technicians
3213 D213 Veterinary and Animal Health Technologists and Technicians
3214 D214 Respiratory Therapists, Clinical Perfusionists and Cardiopulmonary Technologists
3215 D215 Medical Radiation Technologists
3216 D216 Medical Sonographers
3219 D219 Other Medical Technologists and Technicians (except Dental Health)
3221 D221 Denturists
3222 D222 Dental Hygienists and Dental Therapists
3223 D223 Dental Technologists, Technicians and Laboratory Bench Workers
3231 D231 Opticians
3232 D232 Midwives and Practitioners of Natural Healing
3234 D234 Ambulance Attendants and Other Paramedical Occupations
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 13
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
3411 D311 Dental Assistants
3414 D313 Other Assisting Occupations in Support of Health Services
4111 E011 Judges
4121 E111 University Professors
4122 E112 Post-Secondary Teaching and Research Assistants
4131 E121 College and Other Vocational Instructors
4141 E131 Secondary School Teachers
4142 E132 Elementary School and Kindergarten Teachers
4143 E133 Educational Counsellors
4151 E021 Psychologists
4152 E022 Social Workers
4154 E024 Ministers of Religion
4155 E025 Probation and Parole Officers and Related Occupations
4161 E031 Natural and Applied Science Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4162 E032 Economists and Economic Policy Researchers and Analysts
4163 E033 Business Development Officers and Marketing Researchers and Consultants
4164 E034 Social Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4165 E039 Health Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4166 E035 Education Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4167 E036 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program Supervisors and Consultants
4168 E037 Program Officers Unique to Government
4169 E038 Other Professional Occupations in Social Science, n.e.c.
4211 E211 Paralegal and Related Occupations
4213 E213 Employment Counsellors
4215 E214 Instructors and Teachers of Persons with Disabilities
4216 E215 Other Instructors
4217 E216 Other Religious Occupations
5111 F011 Librarians
5121 F021 Authors and Writers
5123 F023 Journalists
5125 F025 Translators, Terminologists and Interpreters
5131 F031 Producers, Directors, Choreographers and Related Occupations
5132 F032 Conductors, Composers and Arrangers
5135 F035 Actors and Comedians
5136 F036 Painters, Sculptors and Other Visual Artists
5211 F111 Library and Archive Technicians and Assistants
5212 F112 Technical Occupations Related to Museums and Art Galleries
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 14
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
5222 F122 Film and Video Camera Operators
5225 F125 Audio and Video Recording Technicians
5226 F126
Other Technical and Co-ordinating Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the
Performing Arts
5227 F127 Support Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the Performing Arts
5231 F131 Announcers and Other Broadcasters
5232 F132 Other Performers
5242 F142 Interior Designers
5243 F143 Theatre, Fashion, Exhibit and Other Creative Designers
5244 F144 Artisans and Craftspersons
5251 F151 Athletes
5253 F153 Sports Officials and Referees
5254 F154 Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness
6233 G133 Retail and Wholesale Buyers
6241 G411 Chefs
6251 G941 Butchers, Meat Cutters, and Fishmongers - Retail and Wholesale
6252 G942 Bakers
6261 G611 Police Officers (except Commissioned)
6262 G612 Firefighters
6272 G912 Funeral Directors and Embalmers
6421 G211 Retail Salespersons and Sales Clerks
6432 G712 Pursers and Flight Attendants
6433 G713 Airline Sales and Service Agents
6441 G721 Tour and Travel Guides
6442 G722 Outdoor Sport and Recreational Guides
6443 G723 Casino Occupations
6451 G511 Maitres d'hotel and Hosts/Hostesses
6452 G512 Bartenders
6461 G621 Sheriffs and Bailiffs
6462 G622 Correctional Service Officers
6463 G623 By-law Enforcement and Other Regulatory Officers, n.e.c.
6465 G625 Other Protective Service Occupations
6471 G811 Visiting Homemakers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations
6472 G812 Elementary and Secondary School Teacher Assistants
6474 G814 Babysitters, Nannies and Parents' Helpers
6481 G921 Image, Social and Other Personal Consultants
6482 G922 Estheticians, Electrologists and Related Occupations
6483 G923 Pet Groomers and Animal Care Workers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 15
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
6484 G924 Other Personal Service Occupations
6611 G311 Cashiers
6621 G971 Service Station Attendants
6622 G972 Grocery Clerks and Shelf Stockers
6623 G973 Other Elemental Sales Occupations
6641 G961 Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen Helpers and Related Occupations
6661 G931 Light Duty Cleaners
6662 G932 Specialized Cleaners
6663 G933 Janitors, Caretakers and Building Superintendents
6671 G731 Operators and Attendants in Amusement, Recreation and Sport
6672 G732 Other Attendants in Accommodation and Travel
6681 G981 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Occupations
6683 G983 Other Elemental Service Occupations
7218 H018 Supervisors, Printing and Related Occupations
7221 H021 Supervisors, Railway Transport Operations
7232 H312 Tool and Die Makers
7314 H414 Railway Carmen/women
7315 H415 Aircraft Mechanics and Aircraft Inspectors
7318 H418 Elevator Constructors and Mechanics
7322 H422 Motor Vehicle Body Repairers
7331 H431 Oil and Solid Fuel Heating Mechanics
7332 H432 Electric Appliance Servicers and Repairers
7333 H433 Electrical Mechanics
7341 H511 Upholsterers
7342 H512 Tailors, Dressmakers, Furriers and Milliners
7344 H514 Jewellers, Watch Repairers and Related Occupations
7352 H222 Power Systems and Power Station Operators
7361 H721 Railway and Yard Locomotive Engineers
7362 H722 Railway Conductors and Brakemen/women
7373 H623 Water Well Drillers
7381 H521 Printing Press Operators
7383 H523 Other Trades and Related Occupations
7421 H611 Heavy Equipment Operators (except Crane)
7422 H612 Public Works Maintenance Equipment Operators
7432 H732 Railway Track Maintenance Workers
7437 H737 Air Transport Ramp Attendants
7441 H531 Residential and Commercial Installers and Servicers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 16
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
7442 H532 Waterworks and Gas Maintenance Workers
7444 H534 Pest Controllers and Fumigators
7445 H535 Other Repairers and Servicers
7612 H822 Other Trades Helpers and Labourers
7621 H831 Public Works and Maintenance Labourers
8211 I111 Supervisors, Logging and Forestry
8231 I131 Underground Production and Development Miners
8241 I151 Logging Machinery Operators
8251 I011 Farmers and Farm Managers
8254 I014 Nursery and Greenhouse Operators and Managers
8256 I016 Supervisors, Landscape and Horticulture
8411 I141 Underground Mine Service and Support Workers
8412 I142 Oil and Gas Well Drilling Workers and Services Operators
8421 I161 Chain Saw and Skidder Operators
8422 I162 Silviculture and Forestry Workers
8611 I211 Harvesting Labourers
8614 I214 Mine Labourers
8615 I215 Oil and Gas Drilling, Servicing and Related Labourers
8616 I216 Logging and Forestry Labourers
9211 J011 Supervisors, Mineral and Metal Processing
9214 J014 Supervisors, Plastic and Rubber Products Manufacturing
9215 J015 Supervisors, Forest Products Processing
9216 J016 Supervisors, Textile Processing
9221 J021 Supervisors, Motor Vehicle Assembling
9223 J023 Supervisors, Electrical Products Manufacturing
9224 J024 Supervisors, Furniture and Fixtures Manufacturing
9225 J025 Supervisors, Fabric, Fur and Leather Products Manufacturing
9226 J026 Supervisors, Other Mechanical and Metal Products Manufacturing
9227 J027 Supervisors, Other Products Manufacturing and Assembly
9231 J111 Central Control and Process Operators, Mineral and Metal Processing
9232 J112 Petroleum, Gas and Chemical Process Operators
9411 J121 Machine Operators, Mineral and Metal Processing
9413 J123 Glass Forming and Finishing Machine Operators and Glass Cutters
9414 J124 Concrete, Clay and Stone Forming Operators
9415 J125 Inspectors and Testers, Mineral and Metal Processing
9421 J131 Chemical Plant Machine Operators
9422 J132 Plastics Processing Machine Operators
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 17
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
9423 J133 Rubber Processing Machine Operators and Related Workers
9424 J134 Water and Waste Plant Operators
9431 J141 Sawmill Machine Operators
9432 J142 Pulp Mill Machine Operators
9434 J144 Other Wood Processing Machine Operators
9435 J145 Paper Converting Machine Operators
9436 J146 Lumber Graders and Other Wood Processing Inspectors and Graders
9442 J152 Weavers, Knitters and Other Fabric-Making Occupations
9461 J171 Process Control and Machine Operators, Food and Beverage Processing
9465 J175 Testers and Graders, Food and Beverage Processing
9471 J181 Printing Machine Operators
9472 J182 Camera, Platemaking and Other Prepress Occupations
9473 J183 Binding and Finishing Machine Operators
9474 J184 Photographic and Film Processors
9481 J211 Aircraft Assemblers and Aircraft Assembly Inspectors
9483 J213 Electronics Assemblers, Fabricators, Inspectors and Testers
9484 J214 Assemblers and Inspectors, Electrical Appliance, Apparatus and Equipment Manufacturing
9485 J215 Assemblers, Fabricators and Inspectors, Industrial Electrical Motors and Transformers
9486 J216 Mechanical Assemblers and Inspectors
9492 J222 Furniture and Fixture Assemblers and Inspectors
9495 J225 Plastic Products Assemblers, Finishers and Inspectors
9511 J191 Machining Tool Operators
9513 J193 Woodworking Machine Operators
9514 J194 Metalworking Machine Operators
9516 J196 Other Metal Products Machine Operators
9517 J197 Other Products Machine Operators
9611 J311 Labourers in Mineral and Metal Processing
9614 J314 Labourers in Wood, Pulp and Paper Processing
9615 J315 Labourers in Rubber and Plastic Products Manufacturing
9619 J319 Other Labourers in Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 18
Glossary
*NOC 2006: Refers to the National Occupational Classification (NOC). The NOC is the nationally accepted reference
on occupations in Canada. The NOC provides a standardized framework for organizing the world of work in a
coherent system. It is used to collect and organize occupational statistics and to provide labour market
information. For more information please visit:
http://www30.hrsdc.gc.ca/NOC/English/NOC/2006/Welcome.aspx
**NOC-S: Refers to the National Occupational Classification for Statistics. Statistics Canada's occupational
classification for 2006 is called the National Occupational Classification for Statistics 2006 (NOC-S 2006) to
distinguish it from the National Occupational Classification (NOC) put out by the Employment and Social
Development Canada (ESDC). (The two classifications differ only in the aggregation structure of the classification).
Both provide a complete listing of all the categories under which Canadian jobs are classified and their
descriptions. For more information please visit: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/concepts/occupation-professioneng.htm
Note: Statistics Canada and ESDC are working together to create one National Occupational Classification that
combines NOC and NOC-S. This classification will be introduced in 2016 using 2015 data.
Thresholds: Refers to cut-off values established for each of the seven variables used in the analysis against which
each occupation was compared. The cut-off values were based on data trends demonstrated by each variable. An
occupation may exhibit a value that is either equal to, greater than, or less than the cut-off value.
For more information on this forecast tool or to request a presentation of the material, contact
LFS.Analyst@gov.ab.ca
work.alberta.ca/labour/short-term-employment-forecast.html
ISBN 978-1-4601-2396-6
ISSN 2368-1039
© 2015 Government of Alberta. Printed in Canada for free distribution.
Published: October 2015
Short-Term
Employment
Forecast
2015-2017
Overview
The Short-Term Employment Forecast (STEF)
provides a three-year overview of occupations
expected to be in-demand during that period. The
STEF results, along with other labour market
information, can help inform decisions to be made
by various stakeholders such as: the Government of
Alberta (GoA) in the design of effective labour
market policies and programs; employers and
industry in the development of strategic workforce
plans; educational institutions and training providers
in the design/development of programs that are
more responsive to labour market needs; and youth
or students in their education and career choices. It
also provides awareness to newcomers and
prospective immigrants on the employment outlook
in Alberta.
This 3-year forecast helps bridge the gap between
what is happening in the immediate future and in
the long term; the long term as indicated by the
government’s 10-year forecast, Alberta’s
Occupational Demand and Supply Outlook 2013-
2023. The long-term forecast examines which
occupations are expected to grow and by how much
the overall supply of labour will expand. The current
10-year outlook forecasts that Alberta will create
407,000 new jobs and that 311,000 people will join
the work force by 2023. In contrast, STEF only
examines the demand outlook for various
occupations in the next three years. As such, the
STEF does not estimate potential labour shortages;
rather, it examines which occupations are expected
to be in high, moderately high, medium or low
demand. This is the fifth consecutive year that the
GoA has released this short-term forecast.
The forecast reflects the GoA’s commitment to
supply relevant labour market information to
industry, professional organizations, institutions and
the general public. This also reflects the GoA’s
undertaking to improve available labour forecasts to
help inform the development of workforce
strategies, by both the public and private sectors,
that will help mitigate any occupational shortages.
The Alberta STEF 2015-2017 examines 467
occupations and ranks them into the following four
demand categories: High; Moderately High;
Medium; and Low. The first stage of the process
involves assessing the occupations based on number
of quantitative and qualitative indicators. Thresholds
for all indicators are calculated through a scientific
methodology; the more thresholds an occupation
meet, the more in-demand it is expected to be. The
second stage is the validation of the results obtained
from the first round using the most recent available
labour market information (such as layoffs under the
Section 137 of the Alberta Employment Standards,
number of EI beneficiaries, and jobs available) to
ensure optimal accuracy of results.
Objectives
To develop evidence-based methodology to
produce forecasts that will support shortterm
planning and development of program
strategies by the GoA and other
stakeholders.
To deliver objective, accurate, and reliable
information to help Albertans make
informed employment and career-related
decisions.
To identify occupations that will be in high
or low demand in the labour market in the
near future, and allow decision-makers to
take action to avert or ease potential
imbalances.
To ensure consistency in data utilization
and interpretation within the GoA.
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 2
Methodology
The STEF methodology is based on robust
assessment of a number of quantitative and
qualitative information such as:
Key labour market statistics from the
Labour Force Survey;
Labour market information from
administrative datasets of the Federal
government, the GoA and the private
sector;
Industry forecasts; and
Results of GoA’s Oil Sands Information,
Labour Market Analysis and Projection
(OILMAP) workforce projection.
The STEF analyzes seven variables for each
occupation: six quantitative and one qualitative
measure. The single qualitative indicator is a
summary of three pieces of information. Please see
the chart below:
There are 467 occupations titles identified at the 4-
digit level of the National Occupational Classification
(NOC 2006) for which information are available.
Information for all 467 occupations are collected,
organized, calculated, analyzed, and summarised.
Analysis and assessment of the 467 occupations
involves a 2-stage process. First, each occupation is
assessed against the threshold value for each of the
seven variables. Depending on the number of
thresholds met, an occupation is either ranked as
High Demand; Moderately High Demand; Medium
Demand; or Low Demand. Second, the initial results
are validated to ensure optimal accuracy. The
validation process involves the use of the following
information: occupations impacted by layoffs under
Section 137 of the Alberta Employment Standards
Code; and the most recent data on Employment
Insurance beneficiaries and jobs postings.
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 3
Results
The following is a summary of the results for the 467
occupations analyzed and assessed:
14 occupations are expected to be in high
demand in the next three years;
54 occupations are expected to be in
moderately high demand in the next three
years;
110 occupations are expected to be
medium demand;
289 occupations are to be in low demand in
the next three years.
The attached Appendix shows the 2015-2017 STEF
results. Please refer to the Glossary on page 18 for
definition of terms.
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 4
Appendix
Short-Term Employment Forecast
High Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
2173 C073 Software Engineers and Designers
2174 C074 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers
2234 C134 Construction Estimators
2281 C181 Computer Network Technicians
3233 D233 Licensed Practical Nurses
6211 G011 Retail Trade Supervisors
6212 G012 Food Service Supervisors
6216 G016 Other Service Supervisors
7215 H015 Contractors and Supervisors, Carpentry Trades
7244 H214 Electrical Power Line and Cable Workers
7283 H133 Tilesetters
7284 H134 Plasterers, Drywall Installers and Finishers, and Lathers
7292 H142 Glaziers
7321 H421 Automotive Service Technicians, Truck and Bus Mechanics and Mechanical Repairers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 5
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Moderately High Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
0016 A016 Senior Managers - Goods Production, Utilities, Transportation and Construction
0113 A113 Purchasing Managers
0211 A121 Engineering Managers
0213 A122 Computer and Information Systems Managers
0621 A211 Retail Trade Managers
0631 A221 Restaurant and Food Service Managers
0651 A361 Other Services Managers
0711 A371 Construction Managers
0721 A141 Facility Operation and Maintenance Managers
0811 A381 Primary Production Managers (except Agriculture)
0911 A391 Manufacturing Managers
1111 B011 Financial Auditors and Accountants
1122 B022 Professional Occupations in Business Services to Management
1215 B415 Supervisors, Recording, Distributing and Scheduling Occupations
1231 B111 Bookkeepers
2131 C031 Civil Engineers
2133 C033 Electrical and Electronics Engineers
2141 C041 Industrial and Manufacturing Engineers
2171 C071 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants
2231 C131 Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians
2232 C132 Mechanical Engineering Technologists and Technicians
2241 C141 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technologists and Technicians
2253 C153 Drafting Technologists and Technicians
2282 C182 User Support Technicians
3111 D011 Specialist Physicians
3152 D112 Registered Nurses
3235 D235 Other Technical Occupations in Therapy and Assessment
5124 F024 Professional Occupations in Public Relations and Communications
6214 G014 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Supervisors
6215 G015 Cleaning Supervisors
6221 G121 Technical Sales Specialists - Wholesale Trade
6242 G412 Cooks
6271 G911 Hairstylists and Barbers
6435 G715 Hotel Front Desk Clerks
7213 H013 Contractors and Supervisors, Pipefitting Trades
7216 H016 Contractors and Supervisors, Mechanic Trades
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 6
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Moderately High Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
7219 H019 Contractors and Supervisors, Other Construction Trades, Installers, Repairers and Servicers
7242 H212 Industrial Electricians
7245 H215 Telecommunications Line and Cable Workers
7246 H216 Telecommunications Installation and Repair Workers
7251 H111 Plumbers
7253 H113 Gas Fitters
7261 H321 Sheet Metal Workers
7271 H121 Carpenters
7272 H122 Cabinetmakers
7281 H131 Bricklayers
7291 H141 Roofers and Shinglers
7293 H143 Insulators
7312 H412 Heavy-Duty Equipment Mechanics
7313 H413 Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Mechanics
7413 H713 Taxi and Limousine Drivers and Chauffeurs
7443 H533 Automotive Mechanical Installers and Servicers
8253 I013 Farm Supervisors and Specialized Livestock Workers
8432 I022 Nursery and Greenhouse Workers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 7
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Medium Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
0013 A013 Senior Managers - Financial, Communications Carriers and Other Business Services
0112 A112 Human Resources Managers
0114 A114 Other Administrative Services Managers
0121 A301 Insurance, Real Estate and Financial Brokerage Managers
0131 A311 Telecommunication Carriers Managers
0132 A312 Postal and Courier Services Managers
0212 A123 Architecture and Science Managers
0313 A323 School Principals and Administrators of Elementary and Secondary Education
0411 A331 Government Managers in Health and Social Policy Development and Program Administration
0413 A333 Government Managers in Education Policy Development and Program Administration
0414 A334 Other Managers in Public Administration
0611 A131 Sales, Marketing and Advertising Managers
0632 A222 Accommodation Service Managers
0712 A372 Residential Home Builders and Renovators
0912 A392 Utilities Managers
1112 B012 Financial and Investment Analysts
1113 B013 Securities Agents, Investment Dealers and Brokers
1114 B014 Other Financial Officers
1121 B021 Specialists in Human Resources
1213 B413 Supervisors, Library, Correspondence and Related Information Clerks
1221 B311 Administrative Officers
1223 B313 Personnel and Recruitment Officers
1225 B315 Purchasing Agents and Officers
1411 B511 General Office Clerks
2113 C013 Geologists, Geochemists and Geophysicists
2132 C032 Mechanical Engineers
2134 C034 Chemical Engineers
2145 C045 Petroleum Engineers
2153 C053 Urban and Land Use Planners
2154 C054 Land Surveyors
2161 C061 Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries
2172 C072 Database Analysts and Data Administrators
2212 C112 Geological and Mineral Technologists and Technicians
2242 C142 Electronic Service Technicians (Household and Business Equipment)
2243 C143 Industrial Instrument Technicians and Mechanics
2244 C144 Aircraft Instrument, Electrical and Avionics Mechanics, Technicians and Inspectors
2254 C154 Land Survey Technologists and Technicians
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 8
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Medium Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
2261 C161 Non-Destructive Testers and Inspectors
3112 D012 General Practitioners and Family Physicians
3131 D031 Pharmacists
3142 D042 Physiotherapists
3211 D211 Medical Laboratory Technologists and Pathologists' Assistants
3413 D312 Nurse Aides, Orderlies and Patient Service Associates
4112 E012 Lawyers and Quebec Notaries
4153 E023 Family, Marriage and Other Related Counsellors
4212 E212 Community and Social Service Workers
4214 E217 Early Childhood Educators and Assistants
5122 F022 Editors
5133 F033 Musicians and Singers
5134 F034 Dancers
5221 F121 Photographers
5241 F141 Graphic Designers and Illustrators
5252 F152 Coaches
6213 G013 Executive Housekeepers
6231 G131 Insurance Agents and Brokers
6232 G132 Real Estate Agents and Salespersons
6411 G111 Sales Representatives - Wholesale Trade (Non-Technical)
6431 G711 Travel Counsellors
6453 G513 Food and Beverage Servers
6651 G631 Security Guards and Related Occupations
6682 G982 Ironing, Pressing and Finishing Occupations
7211 H011 Supervisors, Machinists and Related Occupations
7212 H012 Contractors and Supervisors, Electrical Trades and Telecommunications Occupations
7214 H014 Contractors and Supervisors, Metal Forming, Shaping and Erecting Trades
7217 H017 Contractors and Supervisors, Heavy Construction Equipment Crews
7222 H022 Supervisors, Motor Transport and Other Ground Transit Operators
7231 H311 Machinists and Machining and Tooling Inspectors
7241 H211 Electricians (except Industrial and Power System)
7243 H213 Power System Electricians
7247 H217 Cable Television Service and Maintenance Technicians
7252 H112 Steamfitters, Pipefitters and Sprinkler System Installers
7262 H322 Boilermakers
7263 H323 Structural Metal and Platework Fabricators and Fitters
7264 H324 Ironworkers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 9
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Medium Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
7265 H326 Welders and Related Machine Operators
7282 H132 Concrete Finishers
7294 H144 Painters and Decorators
7295 H145 Floor Covering Installers
7311 H411 Construction Millwrights and Industrial Mechanics (except Textile)
7334 H434 Motorcycle and Other Related Mechanics
7335 H435 Other Small Engine and Equipment Mechanics
7351 H221 Stationary Engineers and Auxiliary Equipment Operators
7371 H621 Crane Operators
7372 H622 Drillers and Blasters - Surface Mining, Quarrying and Construction
7411 H711 Truck Drivers
7412 H712 Bus Drivers and Subway Operators and Other Transit Operators
7414 H714 Delivery and Courier Service Drivers
7431 H731 Railway Yard Workers
7452 H812 Material Handlers
7611 H821 Construction Trades Helpers and Labourers
7622 H832 Railway and Motor Transport Labourers
8221 I121 Supervisors, Mining and Quarrying
8222 I122 Supervisors, Oil and Gas Drilling and Service
8232 I132 Oil and Gas Well Drillers, Servicers, Testers and Related Workers
8252 I012 Agricultural and Related Service Contractors and Managers
8255 I015 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Contractors and Managers
8431 I021 General Farm Workers
8612 I212 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Labourers
9212 J012 Supervisors, Petroleum, Gas and Chemical Processing and Utilities
9213 J013 Supervisors, Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing
9451 J161 Sewing Machine Operators
9462 J172 Industrial Butchers and Meat Cutters, Poultry Preparers and Related Workers
9493 J223 Other Wood Products Assemblers and Inspectors
9494 J224 Furniture Finishers and Refinishers
9496 J226 Painters and Coaters – Industrial
9497 J227 Plating, Metal Spraying and Related Operators
9498 J228 Other Assemblers and Inspectors
9612 J312 Labourers in Metal Fabrication
9613 J313 Labourers in Chemical Products Processing and Utilities
9617 J317 Labourers in Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 10
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
0011 A011 Legislators
0012 A012 Senior Government Managers and Officials
0014 A014
Senior Managers - Health, Education, Social and Community Services and Membership
Organizations
0015 A015 Senior Managers - Trade, Broadcasting and Other Services, n.e.c.
0111 A111 Financial Managers
0122 A302 Banking, Credit and Other Investment Managers
0123 A303 Other Business Services Managers
0311 A321 Managers in Health Care
0312 A322 Administrators - Post-Secondary Education and Vocational Training
0314 A324 Managers in Social, Community and Correctional Services
0412 A332 Government Managers - Economic Analysis, Policy Development and Program Administration
0511 A341 Library, Archive, Museum and Art Gallery Managers
0512 A342 Managers - Publishing, Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and Performing Arts
0513 A343 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program and Service Directors
0641 A351 Commissioned Police Officers
0642 A352 Fire Chiefs and Senior Firefighting Officers
0713 A373 Transportation Managers
1211 B411 Supervisors, General Office and Administrative Support Clerks
1212 B412 Supervisors, Finance and Insurance Clerks
1214 B414 Supervisors, Mail and Message Distribution Occupations
1222 B312 Executive Assistants
1224 B314 Property Administrators
1226 B316 Conference and Event Planners
1227 B317 Court Officers and Justices of the Peace
1228 B318 Immigration, Employment Insurance and Revenue Officers
1232 B112 Loan Officers
1233 B113 Insurance Adjusters and Claims Examiners
1234 B114 Insurance Underwriters
1235 B115 Assessors, Valuators and Appraisers
1236 B116 Customs, Ship and Other Brokers
1241 B211 Secretaries (except Legal and Medical)
1242 B212 Legal Secretaries
1243 B213 Medical Secretaries
1244 B214 Court Recorders and Medical Transcriptionists
1413 B513 Records Management and Filing Clerks
1414 B514 Receptionists and Switchboard Operators
1422 B522 Data Entry Clerks
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 11
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
1423 B523 Desktop Publishing Operators and Related Occupations
1431 B531 Accounting and Related Clerks
1432 B532 Payroll Clerks
1433 B533 Customer Service Representatives – Financial Services
1434 B534 Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Clerks
1435 B535 Collectors
1441 B541 Administrative Clerks
1442 B542 Personnel Clerks
1443 B543 Court Clerks
1451 B551 Library Clerks
1452 B552 Correspondence, Publication and Related Clerks
1453 B553 Customer Service, Information and Related Clerks
1454 B554 Survey Interviewers and Statistical Clerks
1461 B561 Mail, Postal and Related Clerks
1462 B562 Letter Carriers
1463 B563 Couriers, Messengers and Door-to-Door Distributors
1471 B571 Shippers and Receivers
1472 B572 Storekeepers and Parts Clerks
1473 B573 Production Clerks
1474 B574 Purchasing and Inventory Clerks
1475 B575 Dispatchers and Radio Operators
1476 B576 Transportation Route and Crew Schedulers
2112 C012 Chemists
2115 C015 Other Professional Occupations in Physical Sciences
2121 C021 Biologists and Related Scientists
2122 C022 Forestry Professionals
2123 C023 Agricultural Representatives, Consultants and Specialists
2142 C042 Metallurgical and Materials Engineers
2143 C043 Mining Engineers
2144 C044 Geological Engineers
2146 C046 Aerospace Engineers
2147 C047 Computer Engineers (Except Software Engineers and Designers)
2148 C048 Other Professional Engineers, n.e.c.
2151 C051 Architects
2175 C075 Web Designers and Developers
2211 C111 Chemical Technologists and Technicians
2221 C121 Biological Technologists and Technicians
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 12
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
2222 C122 Agricultural and Fish Products Inspectors
2223 C123 Forestry Technologists and Technicians
2224 C124 Conservation and Fishery Officers
2225 C125 Landscape and Horticultural Technicians and Specialists
2233 C133 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians
2251 C151 Architectural Technologists and Technicians
2252 C152 Industrial Designers
2255 C155 Mapping and Related Technologists and Technicians
2262 C162 Engineering Inspectors and Regulatory Officers
2263 C163 Inspectors in Public and Environmental Health and Occupational Health and Safety
2264 C164 Construction Inspectors
2271 C171 Air Pilots, Flight Engineers and Flying Instructors
2272 C172 Air Traffic Control and Related Occupations
2275 C175 Railway Traffic Controllers and Marine Traffic Regulators
2283 C183 Systems Testing Technicians
3113 D013 Dentists
3114 D014 Veterinarians
3121 D021 Optometrists
3122 D022 Chiropractors
3123 D023 Other Professional Occupations in Health Diagnosing and Treating
3132 D032 Dietitians and Nutritionists
3141 D041 Audiologists and Speech-Language Pathologists
3143 D043 Occupational Therapists
3144 D044 Other Professional Occupations in Therapy and Assessment
3151 D111 Head Nurses and Supervisors
3212 D212 Medical Laboratory Technicians
3213 D213 Veterinary and Animal Health Technologists and Technicians
3214 D214 Respiratory Therapists, Clinical Perfusionists and Cardiopulmonary Technologists
3215 D215 Medical Radiation Technologists
3216 D216 Medical Sonographers
3219 D219 Other Medical Technologists and Technicians (except Dental Health)
3221 D221 Denturists
3222 D222 Dental Hygienists and Dental Therapists
3223 D223 Dental Technologists, Technicians and Laboratory Bench Workers
3231 D231 Opticians
3232 D232 Midwives and Practitioners of Natural Healing
3234 D234 Ambulance Attendants and Other Paramedical Occupations
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 13
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
3411 D311 Dental Assistants
3414 D313 Other Assisting Occupations in Support of Health Services
4111 E011 Judges
4121 E111 University Professors
4122 E112 Post-Secondary Teaching and Research Assistants
4131 E121 College and Other Vocational Instructors
4141 E131 Secondary School Teachers
4142 E132 Elementary School and Kindergarten Teachers
4143 E133 Educational Counsellors
4151 E021 Psychologists
4152 E022 Social Workers
4154 E024 Ministers of Religion
4155 E025 Probation and Parole Officers and Related Occupations
4161 E031 Natural and Applied Science Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4162 E032 Economists and Economic Policy Researchers and Analysts
4163 E033 Business Development Officers and Marketing Researchers and Consultants
4164 E034 Social Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4165 E039 Health Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4166 E035 Education Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers
4167 E036 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program Supervisors and Consultants
4168 E037 Program Officers Unique to Government
4169 E038 Other Professional Occupations in Social Science, n.e.c.
4211 E211 Paralegal and Related Occupations
4213 E213 Employment Counsellors
4215 E214 Instructors and Teachers of Persons with Disabilities
4216 E215 Other Instructors
4217 E216 Other Religious Occupations
5111 F011 Librarians
5121 F021 Authors and Writers
5123 F023 Journalists
5125 F025 Translators, Terminologists and Interpreters
5131 F031 Producers, Directors, Choreographers and Related Occupations
5132 F032 Conductors, Composers and Arrangers
5135 F035 Actors and Comedians
5136 F036 Painters, Sculptors and Other Visual Artists
5211 F111 Library and Archive Technicians and Assistants
5212 F112 Technical Occupations Related to Museums and Art Galleries
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 14
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
5222 F122 Film and Video Camera Operators
5225 F125 Audio and Video Recording Technicians
5226 F126
Other Technical and Co-ordinating Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the
Performing Arts
5227 F127 Support Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the Performing Arts
5231 F131 Announcers and Other Broadcasters
5232 F132 Other Performers
5242 F142 Interior Designers
5243 F143 Theatre, Fashion, Exhibit and Other Creative Designers
5244 F144 Artisans and Craftspersons
5251 F151 Athletes
5253 F153 Sports Officials and Referees
5254 F154 Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness
6233 G133 Retail and Wholesale Buyers
6241 G411 Chefs
6251 G941 Butchers, Meat Cutters, and Fishmongers - Retail and Wholesale
6252 G942 Bakers
6261 G611 Police Officers (except Commissioned)
6262 G612 Firefighters
6272 G912 Funeral Directors and Embalmers
6421 G211 Retail Salespersons and Sales Clerks
6432 G712 Pursers and Flight Attendants
6433 G713 Airline Sales and Service Agents
6441 G721 Tour and Travel Guides
6442 G722 Outdoor Sport and Recreational Guides
6443 G723 Casino Occupations
6451 G511 Maitres d'hotel and Hosts/Hostesses
6452 G512 Bartenders
6461 G621 Sheriffs and Bailiffs
6462 G622 Correctional Service Officers
6463 G623 By-law Enforcement and Other Regulatory Officers, n.e.c.
6465 G625 Other Protective Service Occupations
6471 G811 Visiting Homemakers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations
6472 G812 Elementary and Secondary School Teacher Assistants
6474 G814 Babysitters, Nannies and Parents' Helpers
6481 G921 Image, Social and Other Personal Consultants
6482 G922 Estheticians, Electrologists and Related Occupations
6483 G923 Pet Groomers and Animal Care Workers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 15
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
6484 G924 Other Personal Service Occupations
6611 G311 Cashiers
6621 G971 Service Station Attendants
6622 G972 Grocery Clerks and Shelf Stockers
6623 G973 Other Elemental Sales Occupations
6641 G961 Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen Helpers and Related Occupations
6661 G931 Light Duty Cleaners
6662 G932 Specialized Cleaners
6663 G933 Janitors, Caretakers and Building Superintendents
6671 G731 Operators and Attendants in Amusement, Recreation and Sport
6672 G732 Other Attendants in Accommodation and Travel
6681 G981 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Occupations
6683 G983 Other Elemental Service Occupations
7218 H018 Supervisors, Printing and Related Occupations
7221 H021 Supervisors, Railway Transport Operations
7232 H312 Tool and Die Makers
7314 H414 Railway Carmen/women
7315 H415 Aircraft Mechanics and Aircraft Inspectors
7318 H418 Elevator Constructors and Mechanics
7322 H422 Motor Vehicle Body Repairers
7331 H431 Oil and Solid Fuel Heating Mechanics
7332 H432 Electric Appliance Servicers and Repairers
7333 H433 Electrical Mechanics
7341 H511 Upholsterers
7342 H512 Tailors, Dressmakers, Furriers and Milliners
7344 H514 Jewellers, Watch Repairers and Related Occupations
7352 H222 Power Systems and Power Station Operators
7361 H721 Railway and Yard Locomotive Engineers
7362 H722 Railway Conductors and Brakemen/women
7373 H623 Water Well Drillers
7381 H521 Printing Press Operators
7383 H523 Other Trades and Related Occupations
7421 H611 Heavy Equipment Operators (except Crane)
7422 H612 Public Works Maintenance Equipment Operators
7432 H732 Railway Track Maintenance Workers
7437 H737 Air Transport Ramp Attendants
7441 H531 Residential and Commercial Installers and Servicers
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 16
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
7442 H532 Waterworks and Gas Maintenance Workers
7444 H534 Pest Controllers and Fumigators
7445 H535 Other Repairers and Servicers
7612 H822 Other Trades Helpers and Labourers
7621 H831 Public Works and Maintenance Labourers
8211 I111 Supervisors, Logging and Forestry
8231 I131 Underground Production and Development Miners
8241 I151 Logging Machinery Operators
8251 I011 Farmers and Farm Managers
8254 I014 Nursery and Greenhouse Operators and Managers
8256 I016 Supervisors, Landscape and Horticulture
8411 I141 Underground Mine Service and Support Workers
8412 I142 Oil and Gas Well Drilling Workers and Services Operators
8421 I161 Chain Saw and Skidder Operators
8422 I162 Silviculture and Forestry Workers
8611 I211 Harvesting Labourers
8614 I214 Mine Labourers
8615 I215 Oil and Gas Drilling, Servicing and Related Labourers
8616 I216 Logging and Forestry Labourers
9211 J011 Supervisors, Mineral and Metal Processing
9214 J014 Supervisors, Plastic and Rubber Products Manufacturing
9215 J015 Supervisors, Forest Products Processing
9216 J016 Supervisors, Textile Processing
9221 J021 Supervisors, Motor Vehicle Assembling
9223 J023 Supervisors, Electrical Products Manufacturing
9224 J024 Supervisors, Furniture and Fixtures Manufacturing
9225 J025 Supervisors, Fabric, Fur and Leather Products Manufacturing
9226 J026 Supervisors, Other Mechanical and Metal Products Manufacturing
9227 J027 Supervisors, Other Products Manufacturing and Assembly
9231 J111 Central Control and Process Operators, Mineral and Metal Processing
9232 J112 Petroleum, Gas and Chemical Process Operators
9411 J121 Machine Operators, Mineral and Metal Processing
9413 J123 Glass Forming and Finishing Machine Operators and Glass Cutters
9414 J124 Concrete, Clay and Stone Forming Operators
9415 J125 Inspectors and Testers, Mineral and Metal Processing
9421 J131 Chemical Plant Machine Operators
9422 J132 Plastics Processing Machine Operators
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 17
Appendix (continued)
Short-Term Employment Forecast
Low Demand Occupations (continued)
NOC 2006* NOC-S** Occupation Title
9423 J133 Rubber Processing Machine Operators and Related Workers
9424 J134 Water and Waste Plant Operators
9431 J141 Sawmill Machine Operators
9432 J142 Pulp Mill Machine Operators
9434 J144 Other Wood Processing Machine Operators
9435 J145 Paper Converting Machine Operators
9436 J146 Lumber Graders and Other Wood Processing Inspectors and Graders
9442 J152 Weavers, Knitters and Other Fabric-Making Occupations
9461 J171 Process Control and Machine Operators, Food and Beverage Processing
9465 J175 Testers and Graders, Food and Beverage Processing
9471 J181 Printing Machine Operators
9472 J182 Camera, Platemaking and Other Prepress Occupations
9473 J183 Binding and Finishing Machine Operators
9474 J184 Photographic and Film Processors
9481 J211 Aircraft Assemblers and Aircraft Assembly Inspectors
9483 J213 Electronics Assemblers, Fabricators, Inspectors and Testers
9484 J214 Assemblers and Inspectors, Electrical Appliance, Apparatus and Equipment Manufacturing
9485 J215 Assemblers, Fabricators and Inspectors, Industrial Electrical Motors and Transformers
9486 J216 Mechanical Assemblers and Inspectors
9492 J222 Furniture and Fixture Assemblers and Inspectors
9495 J225 Plastic Products Assemblers, Finishers and Inspectors
9511 J191 Machining Tool Operators
9513 J193 Woodworking Machine Operators
9514 J194 Metalworking Machine Operators
9516 J196 Other Metal Products Machine Operators
9517 J197 Other Products Machine Operators
9611 J311 Labourers in Mineral and Metal Processing
9614 J314 Labourers in Wood, Pulp and Paper Processing
9615 J315 Labourers in Rubber and Plastic Products Manufacturing
9619 J319 Other Labourers in Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities
Alberta’s Short-Term Employment Forecast, 2015-2017 18
Glossary
*NOC 2006: Refers to the National Occupational Classification (NOC). The NOC is the nationally accepted reference
on occupations in Canada. The NOC provides a standardized framework for organizing the world of work in a
coherent system. It is used to collect and organize occupational statistics and to provide labour market
information. For more information please visit:
http://www30.hrsdc.gc.ca/NOC/English/NOC/2006/Welcome.aspx
**NOC-S: Refers to the National Occupational Classification for Statistics. Statistics Canada's occupational
classification for 2006 is called the National Occupational Classification for Statistics 2006 (NOC-S 2006) to
distinguish it from the National Occupational Classification (NOC) put out by the Employment and Social
Development Canada (ESDC). (The two classifications differ only in the aggregation structure of the classification).
Both provide a complete listing of all the categories under which Canadian jobs are classified and their
descriptions. For more information please visit: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/concepts/occupation-professioneng.htm
Note: Statistics Canada and ESDC are working together to create one National Occupational Classification that
combines NOC and NOC-S. This classification will be introduced in 2016 using 2015 data.
Thresholds: Refers to cut-off values established for each of the seven variables used in the analysis against which
each occupation was compared. The cut-off values were based on data trends demonstrated by each variable. An
occupation may exhibit a value that is either equal to, greater than, or less than the cut-off value.
For more information on this forecast tool or to request a presentation of the material, contact
LFS.Analyst@gov.ab.ca
work.alberta.ca/labour/short-term-employment-forecast.html
ISBN 978-1-4601-2396-6
ISSN 2368-1039
© 2015 Government of Alberta. Printed in Canada for free distribution.
Published: October 2015
